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Re: General April Weather
Posted: Sun 27/04/2014 20:51
by Michael
Have 10 litres petrol just for the blower ready here,should be used up by 6 weeks if el nino begins lol
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Sun 27/04/2014 20:55
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Michael wrote:Have 10 litres petrol just for the blower ready here,should be used up by 6 weeks if el nino begins lol
I've six for the lawn mower, if kneaded.
General April Weather
Posted: Sun 27/04/2014 22:10
by jamie
Outside temp jumping quickly at the moment with the increasing NW wind. Hopefully we catch a good squally thunderstorm during the night.
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Mon 28/04/2014 07:00
by NZstorm
Very little instability in that overnight front.
Looks a good day for cold air cb's over western North Island. Sea surface temps are still quite warm 18-20C between New Plymouth and Auckland.
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Mon 28/04/2014 07:03
by Manukau heads obs
That front sure collapsed as it crossed
Squally here...58 kts
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Mon 28/04/2014 07:21
by NZstorm
The gfs had modelled it to be quite weak for thunder. The kinematics looked ok but instability was almost zilch.
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Mon 28/04/2014 07:34
by spwill
3.7C in Queenstown with rain, Winter has arrived in the south. The overnight snow across the ski fields might be a couple of weeks too early to be of use.
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Mon 28/04/2014 11:41
by David
NZstorm wrote:The gfs had modelled it to be quite weak for thunder. The kinematics looked ok but instability was almost zilch.
How are the chances looking early tomorrow morning? Metservice have us on a moderate risk again.
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Mon 28/04/2014 12:26
by NZstorm
David wrote:NZstorm wrote:The gfs had modelled it to be quite weak for thunder. The kinematics looked ok but instability was almost zilch.
How are the chances looking early tomorrow morning? Metservice have us on a moderate risk again.
From late afternoon till tomorrow morning the risk of isolated thunder for Auckland. A trough early in the morning has some energy with it but overall this is not a significant thunder set up. Raglan would be a good spot for some overnight rumbles.
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Mon 28/04/2014 13:37
by spwill
Yes the upper air is very cold, thunder possible for areas near our west coast.
Coolest day of the year here, currently 17C, fresh westerly, sunshine/cloud mix, Cb out to sea
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Mon 28/04/2014 15:42
by Manukau heads obs
Nice looking CB to my south
Very blown off to the SSE tops
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Mon 28/04/2014 16:15
by David
Gone very grey and gloomy here at the moment. Cooler today with a max of 18.
Posted: Tue 29/04/2014 06:25
by melja
53mm so far this event ,so I've topped 204mm MTD.
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Tue 29/04/2014 10:07
by Michael
Thought I wouldn't need the blower the westerly did it yesterday but the last hour or so,a 2 hour job with the broom and 1/2hr with the blower.
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Tue 29/04/2014 10:51
by melja
I see M/S going for -7C in the Mackenzie Basin tonight, bit extreme
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Tue 29/04/2014 11:03
by spwill
Central Otago will be at its best next few days with peak Autumn colour against those snow covered Mnts, doesn't happen every year.
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Tue 29/04/2014 12:08
by melja
I think the trees are well past it, well in the Mackenzie over Anzac weekend they were.
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Tue 29/04/2014 12:33
by Nev
melja wrote:I see M/S going for -7C in the Mackenzie Basin tonight, bit extreme
Although records aren't all that complete for the Pukaki/Twizel area, -7.0C in 1973 is the lowest April temp recorded there since records began in 1972.
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Tue 29/04/2014 12:36
by Michael
Terrible in Chch and Canterbury,these folks will have had enough by now,saw it on tv.
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Tue 29/04/2014 17:31
by shovelopikis
With all the high risk warnings of severe thunderstorms in taranaki, and high gusts, no thunder or lightning observed- only a few on radar for that 48 hour period but most were located offshore all around NZ, especially BOP
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Tue 29/04/2014 18:20
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Yeah, that happens quite often.
The potential is there but nothing much happens.
Don't forget it's a "Risk" so it means that there is a possibility that, it won't happen.
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Tue 29/04/2014 18:28
by NZstorm
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:Yeah, that happens quite often.
The potential is there but nothing much happens.
Don't forget it's a "Risk" so it means that there is a possibility that, it won't happen.
At the end of the day a forecast is just an opinion.
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Tue 29/04/2014 18:37
by CHCH Weather Chaser
Just hit 200mm for the month now and 465mm for the YTD. Same stage last year 140mm!
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Tue 29/04/2014 18:51
by spwill
melja wrote:I think the trees are well past it, well in the Mackenzie over Anzac weekend they were.
http://www.takeabreak.co.nz/accommodati ... nstown.asp
The Autumn colour will be starting to go but early May is still a good time.
Re: General April Weather
Posted: Tue 29/04/2014 20:21
by shovelopikis
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:Yeah, that happens quite often.
The potential is there but nothing much happens.
Don't forget it's a "Risk" so it means that there is a possibility that, it won't happen.
No doubt about that, but its more of how severe warnings were out where the bulk of the strikes (estimating a good 80%) were in squalls off shore
are winter TS harder to pinpoint in compared to summer convergence in NZ?