Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

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Dale
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by Dale »

I wasnt born then, missed out by around 9 months, but summer has returned to the west coast, albeit briefly.
Double digits this morning with light rain has been persistant throughout the day, warm fetch of troppo air upon us, and a cold slot upstairs. This mass, or mess.. going to be a rainmaker for here but I just dont see a massive snow in for the SI.. not calling myself a gun forecaster but I just cannot see it happening. Happy to be proved wrong here :)
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by melja »

often the big snows here are not very well forecasted from many days out so time will tell.
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by Razor »

Models have flip flopped, windflows remaining primarily westerly quarter throught the next week now, apart from a brief flick from the SSW . Little if any action for the eastern seaboard. As always, this shows its far too early to be speculating on "cold outbreaks" that are several days out
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Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by jamie »

I never saw once what some were getting excited about. It always looked westerly to me.
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by snowykiwi »

melja wrote:Weather maps look much the same as August 1 1975 :-k
what was the weather event of August 1 1975 please. I was around then living in Dunedin. I remember a good snow event we had down there in the winter of 1977 when we had snow for three days on the hills and on the third day the snow fell to sea level.
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by matttbs »

I'm pretty sure the 1975 event is not at all related to snow as it is named 'the great nor'westerly storm' which caused significant damage to the greater Canterbury region. Metservice have a pretty good blog article on this
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by Tornado Tim »

At Mt Ruapahu this weekend, will be interesting Weather thats for sure.....
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by spwill »

Tasmania will be in the firing line with a sharp looking cold system crossing the Island on Friday/early Sat, wintry showers/snow on the hills and thunder in the mix for them

melja wrote:Might be of tramping to the the Magdalen hut in the lewis pass this weekend so could be interesting with the hut at around 750m asl.
keep an eye on the weather forecast, looks like a cold trough will be crossing the area Sunday :-)
ECMWF for Sunday
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melja
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by melja »

tich wrote:End of July/beginning of August 2014 - prolonged period of nor'westers over SI. 2014, not the same period of time in 1975 repeated.
It was in reply to this comment by tich. The 1975 event was the big NW blow over Canterbury and thought to be bigger than the sept one last year.
The topic title just mentions a cold pool of air and nothing about snow! Nw winds of strength often come pre these cold pools of air _b

Thanks for that spwill, yeah weather looks like a very disturbed W-NW and this brings heavy NW type snow to the high country. May have to delay as the better half only has short legs :lol:
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Dale
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by Dale »

Winds are beginning to ramp up over here with some real hefty showers earlier around lunchtime.. lets see how things go, estimated forecasts of gusts to around 110 km/h for later on. Slot that stuff over the alps, it could be a wild ride allright.
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by Orion »

Brief description in this article

http://blog.metservice.com/2009/07/the- ... gust-1975/

of the 1975 event, includes a pressure-map.
Widespread damage especially to forests; prolonged power outages in rural areas; thankfully the worst happened overnight as I recall.
Others may remember more details.
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by Richard »

I remember that '75' blow well living in Rangiora, it blew over on old oven we had outside.There wasn't much weather behind the main belt of winds,just a dry SW.
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

"Big Blow" of 1975, I have written about in other topics on this forum, so I wont comment on it much here. I think it did more damage in Canterbury than last year's September's Big blow event. :-k
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by Bradley »

Blue skies is going for snow to 300m on sunday talbot so at this stage could be a nice wee sprinkle of between 5-15cm...
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by cantygal »

Lost a roof in the '75 storm and last year lost heaps of gums and pines that were way taller than 40 years ago.
Wind clocked at 163kph last September and 160 in '75 so a similar strength here x
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by matttbs »

Just wondering, when was the last time Canterbury went without a dump of snow for the entire winter?
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by Bradley »

What do you consider a 'dump' Matt? 5cm? 15cm? A foot?
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by Richard »

Bradley wrote:What do you consider a 'dump' Matt? 5cm? 15cm? A foot?
And a what height above sea level

Heavy shower of rain here at the moment
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by Bradley »

I have family members who live in Sheffield (300m asl) who said in the 60 years they have lived there they have NEVER had a year without at least one lot of snow to a depth of at least 5cm...hope this answers your question...
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by matttbs »

I guess I mean when was the last time the Canterbury plains (so about 450masl or less) had gone through a whole winter without receiving a true southerly storm dropping 10cm or more? I hope that makes sense..
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by Bradley »

I would say never then if 450m asl is your cut off point!
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by Orion »

I remember that Mayfield went through a spell with no snowfalls in the mid to late '90s, after I'd made a point of acquiring clothes to dress snowmen in :rolleyes:
But there can be falls of snow in nearly any month up there, I've seen it falling from March through to November, inclusive.
Ashburton - May through to November.
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by matttbs »

I wonder if this year will be the first time? Nowhere in Canterbury has really seen decent snow yet right?
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by melja »

Man you guys have a short memory, snow fell to around 200m including cust, oxford, springfield in early July and snow fell in late may from memory too.
Some post by you matttbs.

Re: Possible heavy snow 2nd - 4th July
Postby matttbs on Wed 02/07/2014 11:55

My place just inland of mayfield got 4cm
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Re: Possible heavy snow 2nd - 4th July
Postby matttbs on Wed 02/07/2014 14:12

I just drove the inland route from darfield to mayfield. There was actually quite a bit of snow around glen tunnel through to mt hutt, around about 8 - 10cm in places.
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Re: Sub Antarctic Mass of cold air This week.

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

The title of this topic is becoming misleading for the posts that are being posted.
Maybe some tidying is needed ?
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