General November Weather

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RichyDunedin
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by RichyDunedin »

Just left Milford Sound. Very heavy rain, hail and sleet most of today. Got a good Fiordland drenching. Few rumbles of thunder.Was lucky to get out as snow was settling quick either side of the tunnel and the road was closed at 5pm, most likely until Thursday. Now in Mossburn and it's blowing a gale. Pretty consistently blows a westerly gale everyday this time of year.
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NZstorm
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by NZstorm »

Paul Mallinson wrote: Yes, the Total Totals does 'blow out' in cold air masses. We have 'normalised' this index so that the key value of 50 applies to a much wider range of airmasses. We call it the Normalised Total Totals and it works pretty well.

Paul
Interesting, thanks Paul.
melja
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by melja »

Not sure what the M/S is seeing but they have it a tad chilly in Hokitika on Thursday :wave:
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Razor
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by Razor »

Plenty of lightning out over the alps at present. Some good gusts here in town too from the NW
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Richard
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by Richard »

Had some of the nastiest gusts over night for some time,now calmed down a lot with heavy rain.
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by SnwAddct »

Ripper of a day here so far, hope it continues..
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David
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by David »

SnwAddct wrote:Ripper of a day here so far, hope it continues..
Here was an attempt at a panorama shot this morning at Eastern Beach, taken on my new smart phone:
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trickytiger
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by trickytiger »

Richard wrote:Had some of the nastiest gusts over night for some time,now calmed down a lot with heavy rain.
wasn't too bad here in Culverden max gust was only 79.6km, I have heard there is more flipped pivots around the area though...
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by Richard »

trickytiger wrote:
Richard wrote:Had some of the nastiest gusts over night for some time,now calmed down a lot with heavy rain.
wasn't too bad here in Culverden max gust was only 79.6km, I have heard there is more flipped pivots around the area though...
Just got back from the Peaks area where there's a few trees down
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General November Weather

Unread post by jamie »

When will this horrid weather end? I'm getting sick of cold showery westerly or s'westerly flows.

Looks like a short reprieve coming but then it's back to this **** weather
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

full on el nino type weather for sure...
temperatures been colder than normal for a change (except for eastern NI areas?)
I remember one El-nino the strong cold SW wind went right through January!
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David
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by David »

This month seems more like an extension of October. My average temperature for the month so far is 14.5°C, October's average was 14.2.
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spwill
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by spwill »

The pattern ahead for the next week looks generally warmer, West/NW flows. A few humid days in the mix. Ridging over northern NZ so quiet here on the precipitation side. Might be breezy at times.

Re Sat weather for Auckland , GFS showing a light precipitation risk in the evening, dps around 15C so a warmer feel .
cbm
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by cbm »

Manukau heads obs wrote:full on el nino type weather for sure...
temperatures been colder than normal for a change (except for eastern NI areas?)
I remember one El-nino the strong cold SW wind went right through January!
If it's the year I remember in the 90's there was a slight frost in low lying spots (around Cambridge) in January, which damaged maize crops and snow fell at the Chateau golf course.
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

jamie wrote:When will this horrid weather end? I'm getting sick of cold showery westerly or s'westerly flows.

Looks like a short reprieve coming but then it's back to this **** weather
Just like down here with these persistent NWsters :eek:
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Unread post by 03Stormchaser »

I have my wedding Saturday week (29th). Ceremony is outside, so from tomorrow I will be pouring over the weather models! Anyone willing to make a prediction this far out? :D
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by NZstorm »

The big El Nino event that set the bench mark for cold summers was 1983.

Apparently this El Nino event is forecast to be weak so these windy cool conditions should eventually subside as we go into summer. I don't think an official El Nino has been declared yet anyway.
03Stormchaser wrote:I have my wedding Saturday week (29th). Ceremony is outside, so from tomorrow I will be pouring over the weather models! Anyone willing to make a prediction this far out? :D
The models will fluctuate a bit with the timing of a major polar trough.
There is a clip on line of a Kansas wedding with a tornado in the back ground!
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by spwill »

El Nino like pattern any way. Probably a windy low rainfall pattern in the weeks ahead for many areas, north and east of NZ. I reckon our Summer will be good after New Year.
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by NZstorm »

I can remember past El Nino summers in Auckland being very good after Xmas.

Looking like good potential for lightning over the Southern Alps tomorrow given the jet stream and moisture (850mb dp 10C).
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by treetop »

Looks mixed weather untill Wed then a return to strong/gale SW. Hope of a trough and storms up here looking unlikely now as NW winds keep kicking in. I agree with spwill not looking summery until 2015 unless you live in Hawkes Bay/Gisbourne
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by treetop »

Further out to next friday looks like a snow event for the South
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

warm and humid here now...big change from yesterday morning
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David
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by David »

Feeling a bit muggy today, currently 21°C, dewpoint 17°C
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by Nev »

Kaikoura Aero's 32C yesterday is impressive for Nov - not sure if it's a site record though?

However, Kaikoura's 29.5C (Peninsula) yesterday looks to be its 2nd highest Nov temp since records began in 1963 - the highest being 32.8C in 1964. The only other times it has exceeded 28.0C in Nov was with 29.4C in 1982 and 1975.
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