Canterbury Show Week Weather

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

I thought I would start a topic on this for weather for the coming Show Week for Christchurch/Canterbury.
Looks as though it would be a coolish sort of week, with a southerly influence but daytime heating could cause some convectiveness and possibly convergence events happening which should result with thunderstorm development which, sadly, could cause damaging hail to form.
A fine day ,however, should event for Show Day and make it a pleasant WE for many.

[TonyT]

Windy is the word which comes to mind....

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Might be good or interesting for Cup day. A feisty North to NE blowing here at the moment.

[Orion]

Some interesting-looking clouds beginning to boil up to south-east, also to north-east.
Wind getting gusty, and seems, since this morning, to have backed right round the clock to westerly again.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Feisty NW blowing here now on this Cup Day.
I see that it still NE in town ?

[Razor]

Yes steady NE in town. Some minor convection out to the SSE over BP way at present

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Gusty persistent NW winds here which are quite annoying
MS did have a warning overnight about NW gales, but this afternoon's ones seem to be more persistence, here, than in the period they had on their warning, for some reason?

[03Stormchaser]

NE is quite fresh at times. Radar has indicated a few high readings about mid Canterbury late today. Wouldn't be surprised if it was decent hail.

[Orion]

I believe I just heard thunder...

[03Stormchaser]

Yeah storm about Hinds looking at the radar. Hail and lightning producer. Really popped up well a head of the change out of nothing

[Storm Struck]

Just looking at the cell offshore from oamaru looks like some rotation there maybe a few waterspouts, but yeah there could be some storms on the coastline up to banks tonight probably around 10pm-12am with a brief SW change.

[mikestormchaser]

that's a good point jase, just seen that cell on radar, may well be a slight hook there.
Some intense hail in that cell aswel, perhaps not warned severe though of course being offshore.

[jamie]

In way back to auckland I saw a small cell that was clearly rotating. Couldn't get a photo but the updraft definitely had a cork screw. No idea where we were tho. It was rather small cell and looked very LP

[mikestormchaser]

Well im going to say moderate to high risk for canterbury tomorrow, i could be missing something vital in terms of forcasting a thunderstorm, but from what i see i think it looks good.
Only thing i cant see very well is how much instability is about as the bsch gfs models are down! annoying!!

[Orion]

Seems to be thunder out there again just now, and a chill breath from the south-east.

[Manukau heads obs]

made me laugh the tv breakfast reporters...the sun is out now but we expected hail showers about now going by the forecast...well the sun suddenly came out because a hail shower just missed you ,lol

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Today would be a rather coolish day to be at the Show. There was a wintry type of hail shower that went through but most of the inky black looking stuff remained north of the city.
Variable weather here, NE for a while but now back to the NW, with possibly a SW coming up later.
EDIT: I've given up on any thunderstorm chances now. not enough oomph, to get things going

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

A wee bit of a mention on the front page of this morning's PRESS about yesterday's weather including a photograph of the hail on the roads around Methven.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

It was a fine day for the Show today.
No NW winds to speak of, that was traditional in years past, although recent years, Show day has been much cooler.