T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Sat 22/11/2014 10:53

where do you go to see the current DP in chch atm? i just checked a random site and it said a DP of 12C witch if was fairly accurate would be awesome moisture

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Sat 22/11/2014 10:55

30 degrees @ 11am wow

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Sat 22/11/2014 11:00

Thunder in methven area already. Can see a couple inland CBs from Chch

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Sat 22/11/2014 11:03

Do looks good Mikey, 12c at present. If these conditions continue, could get interesting

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Sat 22/11/2014 11:11

ooooooh steve, why does it have to be today lol , we could all chase instead? then dinner?

b ball might get canceld anyways lol

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Sat 22/11/2014 11:58

Wind has swung back round to the NW in chc, temp still looking good at 31c.

Orion · Unread post by **Orion** » Sat 22/11/2014 12:03

Southerly gusting fairly strongly all of a sudden here just now.

Dean. · Unread post by **Dean.** » Sat 22/11/2014 13:10

Low level wind change ahead of the main front seemed to kill off any chances here in Mid Canterbury.Building to the south again now.

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Sat 22/11/2014 13:32

Radar looks good now in south canterbury

Dean. · Unread post by **Dean.** » Sat 22/11/2014 13:33

Main front arriving

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Sat 22/11/2014 13:43

S has hit, 6C temp drop! 31-23C

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sat 22/11/2014 13:49

I had a report of thunder west of Timaru around the middle of the day. An elevated storm coming across from the Alps.

The expected development on the southerly buster isn't eventuating which is typical in these situations.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Sat 22/11/2014 13:57

Southerly through here @ 1:15pm, with a slight cooling in temperature but not all that promising looking now, although ....

petem8nz · Unread post by **petem8nz** » Sat 22/11/2014 14:27

Really enjoying Burwood Weather Stations lightning tracker. Very informative. http://www.nzwebnet.co.nz/lightning.php

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Sat 22/11/2014 14:49

I'm in Lincoln, impressive Cb formations rapidly developing

dogmelon · Unread post by **dogmelon** » Sat 22/11/2014 14:55

Is anything going to happen up town way, or are those boil-ups going to stay in that river that they're currently in?

snowstormwatcher · Unread post by **snowstormwatcher** » Sat 22/11/2014 15:12

thunder here from the NW eariler on, now just overcast with a strong southerly.

dogmelon · Unread post by **dogmelon** » Sat 22/11/2014 15:16

Gee this thunderstorm forecasting thing is fickle. Metservice is brave to even bother with that risk map and severe watch set up they do.

Tornado Tim · Unread post by **Tornado Tim** » Sat 22/11/2014 15:36

dogmelon wrote:Gee this thunderstorm forecasting thing is fickle. Metservice is brave to even bother with that risk map and severe watch set up they do.

Yup Thunderstorm forecasting is fickle, but wait till around 5PM or so, before casting judgement.

Also meteservice doesnt base judgement of the GFS alone, there are heaps of models and model products that are not the in the public domain (i.e that Metservice, BOM and other Meteorological organisations have have pay for).

Manukau heads obs · Sat 22/11/2014 15:41

its not over yet
latest rain radar run look like this are about to explode

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Sat 22/11/2014 15:51

Looks over rover from here

Manukau heads obs · Sat 22/11/2014 15:55

note that the southerly change you have is only a surface feature currently

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sat 22/11/2014 15:59

Looks like nothing is developing on the wind change as it moves through Canterbury, the Metservice high risk/ possible severe is with that southerly wind change.

Certainly warmed up there ahead of the change.

cantygal · Unread post by **cantygal** » Sat 22/11/2014 16:01

Low level cloud rushing in at Kirwee.

That won't help things I wouldn't think

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sat 22/11/2014 16:05

I see Metservice still have a severe thunderstorm watch up for Chch, the southerly went through there two hr ago.
They should atleast update their outlook

NZ Weather Forum

T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov