T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by mikestormchaser »

where do you go to see the current DP in chch atm? i just checked a random site and it said a DP of 12C witch if was fairly accurate would be awesome moisture
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by Razor »

30 degrees @ 11am wow
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Unread post by 03Stormchaser »

Thunder in methven area already. Can see a couple inland CBs from Chch
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Unread post by 03Stormchaser »

Do looks good Mikey, 12c at present. If these conditions continue, could get interesting
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by mikestormchaser »

ooooooh steve, why does it have to be today lol , we could all chase instead? then dinner? :lol: b ball might get canceld anyways lol
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Unread post by 03Stormchaser »

Wind has swung back round to the NW in chc, temp still looking good at 31c.
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by Orion »

Southerly gusting fairly strongly all of a sudden here just now.
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by Dean. »

Low level wind change ahead of the main front seemed to kill off any chances here in Mid Canterbury.Building to the south again now. :-)
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by melja »

Radar looks good now in south canterbury
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by Dean. »

Main front arriving
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Unread post by 03Stormchaser »

S has hit, 6C temp drop! 31-23C
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by NZstorm »

I had a report of thunder west of Timaru around the middle of the day. An elevated storm coming across from the Alps.

The expected development on the southerly buster isn't eventuating which is typical in these situations.
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Southerly through here @ 1:15pm, with a slight cooling in temperature but not all that promising looking now, although .... :smile:
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by petem8nz »

Really enjoying Burwood Weather Stations lightning tracker. Very informative. http://www.nzwebnet.co.nz/lightning.php
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by Razor »

I'm in Lincoln, impressive Cb formations rapidly developing
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by dogmelon »

Is anything going to happen up town way, or are those boil-ups going to stay in that river that they're currently in?
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by snowstormwatcher »

thunder here from the NW eariler on, now just overcast with a strong southerly.
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by dogmelon »

Gee this thunderstorm forecasting thing is fickle. Metservice is brave to even bother with that risk map and severe watch set up they do.
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by Tornado Tim »

dogmelon wrote:Gee this thunderstorm forecasting thing is fickle. Metservice is brave to even bother with that risk map and severe watch set up they do.
Yup Thunderstorm forecasting is fickle, but wait till around 5PM or so, before casting judgement.

Also meteservice doesnt base judgement of the GFS alone, there are heaps of models and model products that are not the in the public domain (i.e that Metservice, BOM and other Meteorological organisations have have pay for).
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

its not over yet
latest rain radar run look like this are about to explode
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by Razor »

Looks over rover from here
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

note that the southerly change you have is only a surface feature currently
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by spwill »

Looks like nothing is developing on the wind change as it moves through Canterbury, the Metservice high risk/ possible severe is with that southerly wind change.

Certainly warmed up there ahead of the change.
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by cantygal »

Low level cloud rushing in at Kirwee.

That won't help things I wouldn't think
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov

Unread post by spwill »

I see Metservice still have a severe thunderstorm watch up for Chch, the southerly went through there two hr ago.
They should atleast update their outlook
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