T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov
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For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
These topics are a read-only archive and may be subject to out-of-date information.
For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov
where do you go to see the current DP in chch atm? i just checked a random site and it said a DP of 12C witch if was fairly accurate would be awesome moisture
Mike
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Thunder in methven area already. Can see a couple inland CBs from Chch
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Do looks good Mikey, 12c at present. If these conditions continue, could get interesting
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov
ooooooh steve, why does it have to be today lol , we could all chase instead? then dinner? b ball might get canceld anyways lol
Mike
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Wind has swung back round to the NW in chc, temp still looking good at 31c.
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov
Low level wind change ahead of the main front seemed to kill off any chances here in Mid Canterbury.Building to the south again now.
Last edited by Dean. on Sat 22/11/2014 13:40, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov
Main front arriving
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S has hit, 6C temp drop! 31-23C
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov
I had a report of thunder west of Timaru around the middle of the day. An elevated storm coming across from the Alps.
The expected development on the southerly buster isn't eventuating which is typical in these situations.
The expected development on the southerly buster isn't eventuating which is typical in these situations.
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov
Southerly through here @ 1:15pm, with a slight cooling in temperature but not all that promising looking now, although ....
JohnGaul
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov
Really enjoying Burwood Weather Stations lightning tracker. Very informative. http://www.nzwebnet.co.nz/lightning.php
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I'm no expert but I love severe weather!
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov
I'm in Lincoln, impressive Cb formations rapidly developing
Christchurch Rocks
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov
Is anything going to happen up town way, or are those boil-ups going to stay in that river that they're currently in?
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov
thunder here from the NW eariler on, now just overcast with a strong southerly.
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov
Gee this thunderstorm forecasting thing is fickle. Metservice is brave to even bother with that risk map and severe watch set up they do.
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov
Yup Thunderstorm forecasting is fickle, but wait till around 5PM or so, before casting judgement.dogmelon wrote:Gee this thunderstorm forecasting thing is fickle. Metservice is brave to even bother with that risk map and severe watch set up they do.
Also meteservice doesnt base judgement of the GFS alone, there are heaps of models and model products that are not the in the public domain (i.e that Metservice, BOM and other Meteorological organisations have have pay for).
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov
its not over yet
latest rain radar run look like this are about to explode
latest rain radar run look like this are about to explode
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov
note that the southerly change you have is only a surface feature currently
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov
Looks like nothing is developing on the wind change as it moves through Canterbury, the Metservice high risk/ possible severe is with that southerly wind change.
Certainly warmed up there ahead of the change.
Certainly warmed up there ahead of the change.
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov
Low level cloud rushing in at Kirwee.
That won't help things I wouldn't think
That won't help things I wouldn't think
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Re: T-storms risk - Sat 22 Nov
I see Metservice still have a severe thunderstorm watch up for Chch, the southerly went through there two hr ago.
They should atleast update their outlook
They should atleast update their outlook