NZ Weather Forum

where do you go to see the current DP in chch atm? i just checked a random site and it said a DP of 12C witch if was fairly accurate would be awesome moisture

30 degrees @ 11am wow

Thunder in methven area already. Can see a couple inland CBs from Chch

Do looks good Mikey, 12c at present. If these conditions continue, could get interesting

ooooooh steve, why does it have to be today lol , we could all chase instead? then dinner? b ball might get canceld anyways lol

Wind has swung back round to the NW in chc, temp still looking good at 31c.

Southerly gusting fairly strongly all of a sudden here just now.

Low level wind change ahead of the main front seemed to kill off any chances here in Mid Canterbury.Building to the south again now.

Radar looks good now in south canterbury

Main front arriving

S has hit, 6C temp drop! 31-23C

I had a report of thunder west of Timaru around the middle of the day. An elevated storm coming across from the Alps.

The expected development on the southerly buster isn't eventuating which is typical in these situations.

Southerly through here @ 1:15pm, with a slight cooling in temperature but not all that promising looking now, although ....

Really enjoying Burwood Weather Stations lightning tracker. Very informative. http://www.nzwebnet.co.nz/lightning.php

I'm in Lincoln, impressive Cb formations rapidly developing

Is anything going to happen up town way, or are those boil-ups going to stay in that river that they're currently in?

thunder here from the NW eariler on, now just overcast with a strong southerly.

Gee this thunderstorm forecasting thing is fickle. Metservice is brave to even bother with that risk map and severe watch set up they do.

dogmelon wrote:Gee this thunderstorm forecasting thing is fickle. Metservice is brave to even bother with that risk map and severe watch set up they do.

Yup Thunderstorm forecasting is fickle, but wait till around 5PM or so, before casting judgement.

Also meteservice doesnt base judgement of the GFS alone, there are heaps of models and model products that are not the in the public domain (i.e that Metservice, BOM and other Meteorological organisations have have pay for).

its not over yet
latest rain radar run look like this are about to explode

Looks over rover from here

note that the southerly change you have is only a surface feature currently

Looks like nothing is developing on the wind change as it moves through Canterbury, the Metservice high risk/ possible severe is with that southerly wind change.

Certainly warmed up there ahead of the change.

Low level cloud rushing in at Kirwee.

That won't help things I wouldn't think

I see Metservice still have a severe thunderstorm watch up for Chch, the southerly went through there two hr ago.
They should atleast update their outlook