Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
Forum rules
These topics are a read-only archive and may be subject to out-of-date information.
For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
These topics are a read-only archive and may be subject to out-of-date information.
For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
- NZstorm
- Posts: 11333
- Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 19:38
- Location: Grey Lynn, Auckland
- Has thanked: 342 times
- Been thanked: 361 times
Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
Looking like the low will bring rain to the upper half of the North Island late Saturday to Monday time frame. 150mm not out of question for upper Northland. Gales in exposed parts of Northland/Auckland. Perhaps thunder in the far north Sunday also.
- Nev
- Moderator
- Posts: 6230
- Joined: Tue 07/03/2006 15:24
- Location: Waiheke Island, Hauraki Gulf
- Has thanked: 474 times
- Been thanked: 1073 times
Re: General December Weather
I see today's MS Severe Weather Outlook now has a 'high confidence' of rainfall reaching warning levels, along with severe easterly gales for Northland, Auckland and Coromandel Peninsula on Sunday…
MetService - Severe Weather Outlook
Issued: 2:42pm Friday 12 Dec 2014
Valid from Sunday 14 December 2014 to Wednesday 17 December 2014
A low over the northern Tasman Sea approaches the far north of the North Island during Sunday, directing a moist easterly flow over the South Island, while a ridge remains slow-moving over the South Island. The low is expected to move slowly away to the easing [sic] during Monday and Tuesday.
There is high confidence of rainfall accumulations reaching warning criteria in Northland, Auckland and Coromandel Peninsula on Sunday, with low confidence on Monday. For Waikato, Bay of Plenty and northern Gisborne, there is moderate confidence of heavy rain on Sunday, decreasing to low on Monday. In addition, there is high confidence of severe easterly gales for Northland, Auckland and Coromandel Peninsula during Sunday.
The weather settles for a time on Tuesday. However, on Wednesday, a second low approaches the west of the North Island from the north Tasman Sea, while the ridge over the South Island weakens and moves away to the east.
There is low confidence of heavy rain and severe northerly gales affecting Northland to Waikato, including Coromandel Peninsula, Bay of Plenty and Taupo during Wednesday.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
-
- Posts: 12305
- Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 16:30
- Location: West Coast Road, Manukau Peninsula, North Island
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
- Contact:
- Nev
- Moderator
- Posts: 6230
- Joined: Tue 07/03/2006 15:24
- Location: Waiheke Island, Hauraki Gulf
- Has thanked: 474 times
- Been thanked: 1073 times
Re: Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
Thought it might be worth starting a thread for this event. ![Smile :smile:](./images/smilies/icon_smile.gif)
![Smile :smile:](./images/smilies/icon_smile.gif)
-
- Posts: 12305
- Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 16:30
- Location: West Coast Road, Manukau Peninsula, North Island
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
- Contact:
Re: Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
closing in like already...just how the models originally had it for today a week ago...
instead of sunday or even monday at one stage...they have been all over the place with this system this week
hopefully that patchy rain on the rain radar stays north of Waiuku until after the xmas parade (2pm)...at least we wont need to apply sun block to all the kids![Smile :)](./images/smilies/icon_smile.gif)
instead of sunday or even monday at one stage...they have been all over the place with this system this week
hopefully that patchy rain on the rain radar stays north of Waiuku until after the xmas parade (2pm)...at least we wont need to apply sun block to all the kids
![Smile :)](./images/smilies/icon_smile.gif)
- Nev
- Moderator
- Posts: 6230
- Joined: Tue 07/03/2006 15:24
- Location: Waiheke Island, Hauraki Gulf
- Has thanked: 474 times
- Been thanked: 1073 times
Re: Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
Whangarei also has its Christmas Festival this evening.
MS still confident enough to issue a rain warning this morn for tonight/tomorrow morn. Summary…
![Think :-k](./images/smilies/eusa_think.gif)
MS still confident enough to issue a rain warning this morn for tonight/tomorrow morn. Summary…
MetService - Severe Weather Warnings
ISSUED BY MetService AT 9:38 am 13-Dec-2014
Heavy rain for northern New Zealand on Sunday.
A low is expected to approach the Far North today (Saturday), then move slowly across Northland during Sunday. A frontal system associated with the low should bring a period of heavy rain as it crosses northern New Zealand. The heaviest falls are expected in Northland during Sunday morning, where 140mm could accumulate in a 12 hour period. Meanwhile, for northern Auckland and also about the Coromandel Peninsula, 80 to 100mm could accumulate during Sunday…
- David
- Posts: 7587
- Joined: Sat 18/08/2007 21:02
- Location: Howick, Auckland
- Has thanked: 418 times
- Been thanked: 832 times
- Contact:
Re: Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
I note that in their Severe weather outlook yesterday, all of Auckland was in the high-risk zone, but the warning issued this morning only has northern Akl...
- NZstorm
- Posts: 11333
- Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 19:38
- Location: Grey Lynn, Auckland
- Has thanked: 342 times
- Been thanked: 361 times
Re: Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
North Auckland has a lot of steep terrain with good exposure to the east, so good orographic enhancement there.David wrote:I note that in their Severe weather outlook yesterday, all of Auckland was in the high-risk zone, but the warning issued this morning only has northern Akl...
-
- Posts: 289
- Joined: Wed 09/04/2008 20:00
- Location: Kerikeri, Bay of Islands, NZ
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
- Contact:
Re: Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
So far nothing to speak of wind or wet wise ![Smile :)](./images/smilies/icon_smile.gif)
Heavy overcast all day but only a few drops of rain so far.
![Smile :)](./images/smilies/icon_smile.gif)
Heavy overcast all day but only a few drops of rain so far.
- littleheaven
- Posts: 236
- Joined: Thu 27/01/2011 10:55
- Location: Auckland
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
Rain becoming more persistent although not particularly heavy, here on the North Shore. I'm just glad it held off long enough for my company's kid's party at the zoo. Quite pleasant other than a few spits of rain there.
Claire
Glenfield, Auckland
Glenfield, Auckland
- David
- Posts: 7587
- Joined: Sat 18/08/2007 21:02
- Location: Howick, Auckland
- Has thanked: 418 times
- Been thanked: 832 times
- Contact:
Re: Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
Marine warning for 55 knot gusts in the Hauraki Gulf tomorrow, and 65 knot gusts north of Whangaparoa!
-
- Posts: 12305
- Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 16:30
- Location: West Coast Road, Manukau Peninsula, North Island
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
- Contact:
- David
- Posts: 7587
- Joined: Sat 18/08/2007 21:02
- Location: Howick, Auckland
- Has thanked: 418 times
- Been thanked: 832 times
- Contact:
Re: Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
Similar here - 36mm of welcome rain so far. Not much wind yet though.
- NZstorm
- Posts: 11333
- Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 19:38
- Location: Grey Lynn, Auckland
- Has thanked: 342 times
- Been thanked: 361 times
Re: Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
Getting windy here. 44mm so far in my gauge.
-
- Posts: 262
- Joined: Thu 14/10/2004 12:42
- Location: Laingholm, Auckland
- Has thanked: 51 times
- Been thanked: 8 times
Re: Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
49mm here so far, but nothing noteworthy in terms of wind (yet).
-
- Posts: 9920
- Joined: Sun 29/06/2003 22:39
- Location: Mt Eden Auckland
- Has thanked: 856 times
- Been thanked: 870 times
Re: Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
A good soaking, no watering of the garden/ lawns this side of Xmas
Interesting to see there will be some very humid air just north of Auckland today, dewpoint around 20C for Northland perhaps North Auckland, instability/ heavy shower risk up there.
Dewpoint around 15C for Ak City today.
![Smirk :>](./images/smilies/smirk.gif)
Interesting to see there will be some very humid air just north of Auckland today, dewpoint around 20C for Northland perhaps North Auckland, instability/ heavy shower risk up there.
Dewpoint around 15C for Ak City today.
Last edited by spwill on Sun 14/12/2014 08:58, edited 1 time in total.
- Nev
- Moderator
- Posts: 6230
- Joined: Tue 07/03/2006 15:24
- Location: Waiheke Island, Hauraki Gulf
- Has thanked: 474 times
- Been thanked: 1073 times
Re: Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
36mm here for this event so far.
Tiritiri just reached gusts to 100 km/h, the Waitemata up to 91 km/h and even the Tamaki Strait (Sth'n Waiheke) up to 85 km/h.
Tiritiri just reached gusts to 100 km/h, the Waitemata up to 91 km/h and even the Tamaki Strait (Sth'n Waiheke) up to 85 km/h.
-
- Posts: 12305
- Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 16:30
- Location: West Coast Road, Manukau Peninsula, North Island
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
- Contact:
-
- Posts: 5907
- Joined: Fri 25/02/2011 21:35
- Location: Hamilton NZ
- Has thanked: 22 times
- Been thanked: 273 times
- Contact:
Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
Lucky you Brian. Only 20mm here but this is great rain none the less
- Nev
- Moderator
- Posts: 6230
- Joined: Tue 07/03/2006 15:24
- Location: Waiheke Island, Hauraki Gulf
- Has thanked: 474 times
- Been thanked: 1073 times
Re: Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
Still only 37mm here. Rain has eased off a little for now.
Still blustery though - Tiritiri was gusting to at least 115 km/h.
Still blustery though - Tiritiri was gusting to at least 115 km/h.
- David
- Posts: 7587
- Joined: Sat 18/08/2007 21:02
- Location: Howick, Auckland
- Has thanked: 418 times
- Been thanked: 832 times
- Contact:
Re: Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
Sure is a cold day for December here. Only 16 degrees so far. Rain cleared 9.30am, had 42mm total.
-
- Posts: 12305
- Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 16:30
- Location: West Coast Road, Manukau Peninsula, North Island
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
- Contact:
Re: Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
what was your total Brassnz?
I am usually similar to you in this setup
I am usually similar to you in this setup
- Nev
- Moderator
- Posts: 6230
- Joined: Tue 07/03/2006 15:24
- Location: Waiheke Island, Hauraki Gulf
- Has thanked: 474 times
- Been thanked: 1073 times
Re: Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
Friend who just arrived on a delayed flight from Sydney to Akld Aero texted to say it was a rough landing and people were screaming. ![Surprised :eek:](./images/smilies/icon_surprised.gif)
![Surprised :eek:](./images/smilies/icon_surprised.gif)
-
- Posts: 12305
- Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 16:30
- Location: West Coast Road, Manukau Peninsula, North Island
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
- Contact:
Re: Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
Re adjusted my rain total down to 49mm
as had rain gauge setting wrong.
as had rain gauge setting wrong.
- Nev
- Moderator
- Posts: 6230
- Joined: Tue 07/03/2006 15:24
- Location: Waiheke Island, Hauraki Gulf
- Has thanked: 474 times
- Been thanked: 1073 times
Re: Heavy Rain and Strong Winds for upper N.I. - Dec 13-15
Lost power for about an hour just after 8pm last night, although winds probably peaked roughly around midnight last night. MS have Whangaparaoa recording gusts to 124 km/h in the hour to 11pm, although they may have been stronger after that. Whangaparaoa also recorded an impressive 59mm for this event.