General March Weather

Nev · Unread post by **Nev** » Sun 01/03/2015 06:40

Our first day of autumn looking more like a typically classic day in Feb... lol

Another dry month? Hoping for a little more than anticipated this coming week…

Manukau heads obs · Sun 01/03/2015 06:59

yeah, only looks some drizzle for us here mid week and then maybe a short period of rain with the wind change to the SW...then a new big high...indian summer...again...

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Sun 01/03/2015 07:53

Indian summer is the last thing needed,no sign of decent rain in the models for the next week for the eastern areas,there is if you look at the MS 10 day,last night they had a classic for 7 day out, "showery westerlies', as if that even happens.

Warm night here with 17deg the low,wonder if we will reach the same high today as the last two days with 28deg.

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Sun 01/03/2015 09:25

A prolonged period of Nw's looks on the cards with the end of the week looking windy hot and dry for the east so no end in sight of the dry.
Good heavy showers here on the west coast over night making it hard to sleep at times, 58mm from 6pm last night recorded here at kumara junction.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sun 01/03/2015 13:35

A humid week coming up for Auckland before fresher weather arrives later in the week.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Mon 02/03/2015 06:44

The system over the north of the country late Wednesday/Thursday has the potential to be a significant rain maker.
Latest run of gfs is showing very moist subtropical airmass coupled with good upper level divergence/approaching jet stream.
Also possibility of embedded thunder. Something to keep an eye on.

climsystems · Unread post by **climsystems** » Mon 02/03/2015 15:06

Interested in the latest seasonal forecast? ExtendWeather.com just posted the latest three month temperature, rainfall and potential evapotranspiration deficit forecast for New Zealand with high res maps. These are updated every ten days using CFSv2 data and our own proprietary methods. Thanks to all our friends and collaborators for the support in getting the site live. It is looking like at least another couple of dry and unseasonaally warm months for those who need rain the most. www.extendweather.com

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 02/03/2015 20:56

I can't wait until the scattered rain starts falling,

Probably wake up like the other morning with another heavy outburst, around 3:30am ?

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Mon 02/03/2015 21:43

wow scattered rain!! imagine that

Good rain band over central south Island at the moment ,just hope it moves north

Dean. · Unread post by **Dean.** » Tue 03/03/2015 05:34

Trace of rain recorded here.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 03/03/2015 07:06

Just plenty of high cloud for the next couple of days unfortunately. The far north may catch the rain.

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Tue 03/03/2015 07:15

Saturday is starting to look good for some northeastern areas of the South Island

Manukau heads obs · Tue 03/03/2015 07:31

we got free tickets via school to go to cricket at Eden Park on saturday...could be some showers from the west...with fine intervals and a bit cooler than has been

David · Unread post by **David** » Tue 03/03/2015 07:44

Nice sunrise this morning but I couldn't really get an accurate colour representation on my camera

Was hoping that the rain would stay in the models... Looks like I should keep garden watering in my schedule!

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Tue 03/03/2015 09:02

Longer range, I'm guessing we will have a west /southwest pattern affecting NZ weather at times for the next few weeks as the westerlies come a bit further north.

Manukau heads obs · Tue 03/03/2015 10:55

the BOM model have saturday as being a bit stormy....at this stage

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 03/03/2015 20:49

Yes, quite a nasty looking weather set up for the weekend.
Possible severe squalls/thunder with the front over the west of the North Island.
Thundery over the South Island.

500mb gfs

Manukau heads obs · Tue 03/03/2015 22:28

not cricket weather then on saturday

Chris Raine · Unread post by **Chris Raine** » Wed 04/03/2015 00:50

Been a tad wet on the West Coast today, First decent rain in a few months at Runanga 55.8mm last 24 hours mostly late this afternoon and evening now easing as front finally pushes through

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Wed 04/03/2015 07:05

Manukau heads obs wrote:not cricket weather then on saturday

Have to see how far north the 500mb vortex actually comes on Saturday. But does look like a brief squally front in the afternoon and then an improvement.

As for today, looks like Waikato could catch a heavy convergence shower this afternoon. High cloud will limit heating/instability though.

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Wed 04/03/2015 07:10

Already precipitation falling here. Not enough to wet the dust yet

Vertigo · Unread post by **Vertigo** » Wed 04/03/2015 18:52

10 days out, but I see an intense tropical storm developing near Fiji and tracking this way. Fingers crossed.

David · Unread post by **David** » Thu 05/03/2015 10:10

A stunning morning here. A bit on the humid side, dewpoint is at 19C. Photo from Eastern Beach this morning, my favourite walking spot

Orion · Unread post by **Orion** » Thu 05/03/2015 10:58

David wrote:A stunning morning here. A bit on the humid side, dewpoint is at 19C. Photo from Eastern Beach this morning, my favourite walking spot

Looks very pleasant indeed

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Thu 05/03/2015 12:08

The weekend's system doesn't look to be much of a rain producer for eastern SI but looking ahead to 14th Metvuw have a cyclone that may bring something promising,but its the size that it could potentially be too.

NZ Weather Forum