General November Weather

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NZ Thunderstorm Soc
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General November Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Well, it should be a nice day to start off November's weather. :smile:
I wonder what sort of weather El Niña>? will bring us this month as it's been not very interesting, so far :(
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melja
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Unread post by melja »

Yeah and bugger all NW , still not very El Nino here.
Bradley
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by Bradley »

Models have really ramped up the moisture levels for Canterbury tomorrow and early Wednesday, should be a decent warm advective event by the looks of it. Latest from Metservice:
CANTERBURY: Snow is likely above 400 metres from mid-afternoon Tuesday until late Wednesday morning. During this time, 10 to 15cm of snow may accumulate above 600 metres. There is a chance that the snow level could drop as low as 200 metres about the inland Canterbury Plains early Wednesday morning.
Razor
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by Razor »

Hopefully its rain, not snow for the farmers
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NZstorm
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by NZstorm »

Good precip for the whole country at least.

Looks like a low thunder risk for the upper North Island with the overnight front. Also a low risk over Taupo/BOP tomorrow afternoon if there can be any surface heating.

Australia getting all the CAPE as usual and there was a tornado in Victoria on Sunday.
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03Stormchaser
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by 03Stormchaser »

Southerly hit with some grunt this afternoon after what was a pleasant day of about 23C. Models have backed off the total moisture some what
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03Stormchaser
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by 03Stormchaser »

Could be a chance of a chase on sunday in Canterbury aswell
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Unread post by melja »

TV one said Hokatika had 69mm of rain today when I count only about 17mm on met service so poor reporting giving false impression of a horrible wet day.
Chris Raine
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by Chris Raine »

Unless Metservice took the Hokitika Gorge rainfall figure mid afternoon from the Regional Council website currently sitting on 103.6mm for 24 hours, I don't where the 69mm figure came from , Certainly not Hokitika airport .I had only 7.6mm at Runanga by 5pm tonight out of the front mostly heavy drizzle and light rain
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by Razor »

Another fizzer on.the rain front. Would have been nice to have had some decent falls today
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melja
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Unread post by melja »

Just 1.6mm here in Rangiora.
Richard
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by Richard »

Picked up 4.5mm here
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David
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by David »

A very welcome 11mm in Howick this morning, mainly 7am-9.30am. Looking colder tonight!
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NZstorm
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by NZstorm »

Looking potentially dry next 10 days for Auckland.

Coolish 17C today but warmer temps are inbound. November can give a good temperature lift.
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03Stormchaser
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General November Weather

Unread post by 03Stormchaser »

03Stormchaser wrote:Could be a chance of a chase on sunday in Canterbury aswell
Think I got ahead with myself with this one. Suffering from bad case of chasing withdrawals
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Rogue
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by Rogue »

Yeah, I saw the GFS change its mind not long after you posted haha
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03Stormchaser
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Unread post by 03Stormchaser »

Tell me about it, clutching at straws with every model run these days
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Unread post by Richard »

03Stormchaser wrote:Tell me about it, clutching at straws with every model run these days
Might have to take up Morris dancing instead Steve
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03Stormchaser
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Unread post by 03Stormchaser »

I'm getting desperate, who knows what I might do in this state haha
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Storm Struck
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by Storm Struck »

If it keeps going the way it is with no storms and little rain, we might be joining the drizzle appreciation club :lol: .
A total of about 14mm in 8 days all of which im sure will be gone in a week, the pattern is abit stuck at the moment very ridged with slow moving fronts.
El Nino is unpredictable though, December January could be very unstable months
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
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SnwAddct
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by SnwAddct »

Ripper of a day today! First BBQ get together tonight and then off to a fireworks display so very happy.
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David
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by David »

Stunner of a day here, looks like 23 on the cards this afternoon 8)
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Richard
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by Richard »

Stunner day here too, got to 27.8deg
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NZstorm
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by NZstorm »

23.9C in Grey Lynn. A warm day for early November.
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NZstorm
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by NZstorm »

Looking like dps 17C for Auckland tomorrow but only good for drizzle given warm upper air.

As for the trough over the South Island today, upper levels too warm, pointing to minimal lightning risk. Perhaps an isolated storm over south to mid Canterbury later in the day but risk looks low.