Valid to: Midnight Sunday 8 Nov 2015
Issued at: 8:28am Sunday 8 Nov 2015
A weakening front and associated rainband is forecast to move onto the South Island West Coast today. There is a low risk of one or two elevated thunderstorms embedded within this rainband later this morning and afternoon, as indicated on the chart.
Meanwhile, a combination of afternoon heating, colder upper level temperatures and onshore winds are expected to produce showers over Southland, Otago and South Canterbury. There is a broad low risk of one or two of these showers turning thundery during the afternoon or early evening. However, this risk of thunderstorms is considered nearer to moderate south of the Rangitata River down to North Otago, as indicated on the chart. Any thunderstorms that eventuate are expected to produce localised heavy rain of 10 to 20mm per hour and also hail of less than 10mm in diameter.
No thunderstorms or significant convection expected elsewhere.
General November Weather
Forum rules
These topics are a read-only archive and may be subject to out-of-date information.
For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
These topics are a read-only archive and may be subject to out-of-date information.
For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
- 03Stormchaser
- Moderator
- Posts: 4428
- Joined: Tue 09/12/2003 12:11
- Location: Prebbleton
- Has thanked: 104 times
- Been thanked: 184 times
- Contact:
Re: General November Weather
Cant see any really great chance for storms today. Metservice Outlook below:
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
NZ Largest Storm Chasing Facebook Pagehttp://www.facebook.com/nzstormchasers
NZ Largest Storm Chase Community https://www.facebook.com/groups/NZStormchasersGroup
NZ Stormchasers TV https://www.youtube.com/@NZStormchasers
NZ Largest Storm Chase Community https://www.facebook.com/groups/NZStormchasersGroup
NZ Stormchasers TV https://www.youtube.com/@NZStormchasers
- Richard
- Posts: 8378
- Joined: Tue 14/07/2009 07:32
- Location: Medbury, Inland North Canterbury
- Has thanked: 1661 times
- Been thanked: 802 times
Re: General November Weather
Maybe a low risk of storms but at least we are getting some steady rain at the moment
- 03Stormchaser
- Moderator
- Posts: 4428
- Joined: Tue 09/12/2003 12:11
- Location: Prebbleton
- Has thanked: 104 times
- Been thanked: 184 times
- Contact:
Re: General November Weather
Just brought the washing in as a nice looking shower moves, should be some steady rain for a wee while now.Richard wrote:Maybe a low risk of storms but at least we are getting some steady rain at the moment
NZ Largest Storm Chasing Facebook Pagehttp://www.facebook.com/nzstormchasers
NZ Largest Storm Chase Community https://www.facebook.com/groups/NZStormchasersGroup
NZ Stormchasers TV https://www.youtube.com/@NZStormchasers
NZ Largest Storm Chase Community https://www.facebook.com/groups/NZStormchasersGroup
NZ Stormchasers TV https://www.youtube.com/@NZStormchasers
- NZstorm
- Posts: 11333
- Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 19:38
- Location: Grey Lynn, Auckland
- Has thanked: 342 times
- Been thanked: 361 times
Re: General November Weather
03Stormchaser wrote:Cant see any really great chance for storms today
Given warm upper level conditions the storm would need to be elevated.
-
- Posts: 9920
- Joined: Sun 29/06/2003 22:39
- Location: Mt Eden Auckland
- Has thanked: 856 times
- Been thanked: 870 times
Re: General November Weather
Trough mid week looks like it will produce a few storms for some parts of NZ, not much instability showing in the GFS with it however the upper levels are cold + time of year.
A humid day for Auckland tomorrow.
A humid day for Auckland tomorrow.
- Richard
- Posts: 8378
- Joined: Tue 14/07/2009 07:32
- Location: Medbury, Inland North Canterbury
- Has thanked: 1661 times
- Been thanked: 802 times
Re: General November Weather
It was an amazing shower, it started quickly got rather heavy and stopped within about 30 sec. Showers from that NW wave cloud can be like that as you know.03Stormchaser wrote:Just brought the washing in as a nice looking shower moves, should be some steady rain for a wee while now.Richard wrote:Maybe a low risk of storms but at least we are getting some steady rain at the moment
-
- Posts: 2713
- Joined: Sat 03/06/2006 20:11
- Location: Rolleston, Canterbury
- Has thanked: 356 times
- Been thanked: 608 times
Re: General November Weather
Been keeping eye on Wednesday for few days now.spwill wrote:Trough mid week looks like it will produce a few storms for some parts of NZ, not much instability showing in the GFS with it however the upper levels are cold + time of year.
.
Mike
Stormchasers.co.nz
Stormchasers.co.nz
-
- Posts: 18491
- Joined: Wed 12/03/2003 22:08
- Location: Raukapuka Geraldine
- Has thanked: 1769 times
- Been thanked: 1412 times
Re: General November Weather
I was up @ Mt. Eden this WE, not the mountain itself but in that area.
Nice weather but noticeable humidity today.
Nice weather but noticeable humidity today.
JohnGaul
NZThS
NZThS
-
- Moderator
- Posts: 5138
- Joined: Fri 10/02/2006 15:14
- Location: Halswell, Christchurch
- Has thanked: 725 times
- Been thanked: 932 times
Re: General November Weather
Sitting on only 17 mm of rain here (southern Christchurch) since the middle of September, its sure getting dry fast
Christchurch Rocks
-
- Posts: 18491
- Joined: Wed 12/03/2003 22:08
- Location: Raukapuka Geraldine
- Has thanked: 1769 times
- Been thanked: 1412 times
Re: General November Weather
Yes, something like that.
I'm thinking now that the thunderstorm season looks likely, now, to be a non-event in Canterbury despite the strong prominence of the El Niño
I'm thinking now that the thunderstorm season looks likely, now, to be a non-event in Canterbury despite the strong prominence of the El Niño
JohnGaul
NZThS
NZThS
- David
- Posts: 7587
- Joined: Sat 18/08/2007 21:02
- Location: Howick, Auckland
- Has thanked: 418 times
- Been thanked: 832 times
- Contact:
Re: General November Weather
It's been sort of summery here recently, 24 degrees again this afternoon.
- Richard
- Posts: 8378
- Joined: Tue 14/07/2009 07:32
- Location: Medbury, Inland North Canterbury
- Has thanked: 1661 times
- Been thanked: 802 times
Re:
Was warm alright, reached 27.5deg.melja wrote:Very hot dry and windy in North Canterbury yesterday, I would say 70% of the non irrigated land has browned off now and looks mid summer like.
Today Niwa are installing a solar powered weather station in one of my paddocks, data will be sent through the cellular network which i will be able to access.i'll get photos later.
-
- Posts: 5907
- Joined: Fri 25/02/2011 21:35
- Location: Hamilton NZ
- Has thanked: 22 times
- Been thanked: 273 times
- Contact:
- Richard
- Posts: 8378
- Joined: Tue 14/07/2009 07:32
- Location: Medbury, Inland North Canterbury
- Has thanked: 1661 times
- Been thanked: 802 times
Re: General November Weather
Yes pretty much all the bells and whistles, i'll get the list of whats on it later.
- NZstorm
- Posts: 11333
- Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 19:38
- Location: Grey Lynn, Auckland
- Has thanked: 342 times
- Been thanked: 361 times
Re: General November Weather
Looking like some convection on the cards over the Waikato/Auckland/Coromandel area tomorrow afternoon. Will depend on just how much of the upper level cooling can get this far north?
-
- Moderator
- Posts: 5138
- Joined: Fri 10/02/2006 15:14
- Location: Halswell, Christchurch
- Has thanked: 725 times
- Been thanked: 932 times
Re: General November Weather
Another total flop of a front this one. Maybe a few showers tonight but the dry continues...
Christchurch Rocks
- Richard
- Posts: 8378
- Joined: Tue 14/07/2009 07:32
- Location: Medbury, Inland North Canterbury
- Has thanked: 1661 times
- Been thanked: 802 times
- TonyT
- Moderator
- Posts: 2883
- Joined: Thu 08/05/2003 11:09
- Location: Amberley, North Canterbury
- Has thanked: 354 times
- Been thanked: 1156 times
Re: General November Weather
About 5mm. Most fell between about 10am and midday. Light drizzle at other times during the day.Richard wrote:Yet Amberley had some rain,not sure how much though
-
- Posts: 18491
- Joined: Wed 12/03/2003 22:08
- Location: Raukapuka Geraldine
- Has thanked: 1769 times
- Been thanked: 1412 times
Re:
Where's farmlands?melja wrote:Yeah had a delivery to farmlands and the said about 3 hours light rain.
I notice that Blue skies weather do forecasts for them
JohnGaul
NZThS
NZThS
- TonyT
- Moderator
- Posts: 2883
- Joined: Thu 08/05/2003 11:09
- Location: Amberley, North Canterbury
- Has thanked: 354 times
- Been thanked: 1156 times
Re: Re:
Farmlands in Amberley is off Courage Road in the north part of the town. But Farmlands have stores all over rural New Zealand. Yes, we have provided forecasts for the old CRT for many years, and now rebranded as Farmlands for a few years. Its the only publicly accessible place on the web where you can read our forecasts. We do some other rural websites but they require login access.NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:Where's farmlands?melja wrote:Yeah had a delivery to farmlands and the said about 3 hours light rain.
I notice that Blue skies weather do forecasts for them
- Richard
- Posts: 8378
- Joined: Tue 14/07/2009 07:32
- Location: Medbury, Inland North Canterbury
- Has thanked: 1661 times
- Been thanked: 802 times
Re: Re:
Installation has been put off till next WednesdayRichard wrote:
Today Niwa are installing a solar powered weather station in one of my paddocks, data will be sent through the cellular network which i will be able to access.i'll get photos later.
Getting some good rain now though it doesn't show much on the radar