Moist and unstable week starting Jan 27th

shovelopikis · Unread post by **shovelopikis** » Fri 29/01/2016 11:35

Looks like something is brewing around tokoroa area.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Fri 29/01/2016 14:01

Surface temps looking great down there. High 20's!

shovelopikis · Unread post by **shovelopikis** » Fri 29/01/2016 14:14

28c around mangakino area

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Fri 29/01/2016 14:25

Things are developing on the lee side of anything with a high altitude (kaimais and Ruapehu) judging by the radar

David · Unread post by **David** » Fri 29/01/2016 14:50

Some tropical air showing up on GFS in the north early Feb, possible overnight lows 20-22C around 4-7 Feb! Though it is still a week out.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Fri 29/01/2016 15:00

Some lightning showing up on the central ranges now.

Tornado Tim · Unread post by **Tornado Tim** » Fri 29/01/2016 15:12

Looking much better this way with Cumulus bubbling.....

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Fri 29/01/2016 15:51

MetService YourWeather is showing some nice heat and converging winds. Its only a matter of time for something decent to fire.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Fri 29/01/2016 16:56

I'm in North Waikato. I have been hearing thunder from a nice looking Cb near Te Aroa but it is in the Ranges

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Fri 29/01/2016 17:04

Where are you spwill?

I shot out of my office at Morrinsville and headed that way but noticed it was too far into the ranges.Im back at the office but due to finish up for the day reasonably soon.

shovelopikis · Unread post by **shovelopikis** » Fri 29/01/2016 17:26

Rolling thunder every minute or so here in western bays....first showers are starting now.

shovelopikis · Unread post by **shovelopikis** » Fri 29/01/2016 17:47

Non stop thunder now for last 20mins just keeps on rolling and rolling with flashes.

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Fri 29/01/2016 18:19

Nice one shovelopikis.

I have a very nice buildup to my SE. I'm getting tempted to chase. But then you see how far away it is on radar. About an hour away and moving away. Looks much closer than that by the naked eye. Must be a sign of its strength.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Fri 29/01/2016 18:42

Sorry I missed you Jamie, I'm currently just east of Pataru, the thunder is non stop here with the odd lightning flash, heavy rain

Rogue · Unread post by **Rogue** » Fri 29/01/2016 20:15

Looks like a great storm ongoing for a few hours around Taupo, hope to see some photos.

Chase is on the cards for me tomorrow, GFS seems to have spread the instability further south, not a great setup but I will chase pretty much anything.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Fri 29/01/2016 22:35

Rogue wrote:Looks like a great storm ongoing for a few hours around Taupo, hope to see some photos.

.

This was the Cb seen from near Tirau.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Fri 29/01/2016 22:50

I headed down to Waikato mid afternoon, watched a storm develop east of Morrinsville late afternoon but it moved into the Kaimai Ranges, a couple of photos.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Fri 29/01/2016 22:58

Saw another storm near Tirau early evening, the thunder under this storm was continuous.

treetop · Unread post by **treetop** » Sat 30/01/2016 07:06

Lots of high cloud around ,may hold things back for a while. Back from overseas and sorry to have missed a couple of good days. Mid next week looks promising again. Love this weather .

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Sat 30/01/2016 07:11

Great photos spwill

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sat 30/01/2016 07:33

Well done on chasing yesterday spwill.

Sunday still looking like western Waikato to Northland. But timing of shortwave will be a factor.
UKmet has mid level lapse rates upto 7C tomorrow which is a good number to get hail. Northland showing the highest probs tomorrow but have to see how quickly the upper level trough moves.

Orion · Unread post by **Orion** » Sat 30/01/2016 08:03

Juicy-looking storm pictures, spwill: I especially like the second photo in your post at 2250

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Sat 30/01/2016 09:10

I have a gut feeling about today. I know we are right on the boundary of mod risk but this morning has had all the signs of an unstable day.

The outlook today looks juicy for a few areas today.

treetop · Unread post by **treetop** » Sat 30/01/2016 10:42

High cloud has gone, warming up quickly now ,26 here [tepuna]

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sat 30/01/2016 11:29

Orion wrote:Juicy-looking storm pictures, spwill: I especially like the second photo in your post at 2250

That was near Te Aroha, there was a good Cb hidden behind that updraught, another photo taken from a distance

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