Moist and unstable week starting Jan 27th

Paul Mallinson · Unread post by **Paul Mallinson** » Sat 30/01/2016 12:35

The midday Whenuapai sounding shows a low level cap at the time the balloon was lauched. It looks like once this is broken, vigorous convection will ensue.
Paul

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Sat 30/01/2016 12:46

Yea the cap is quite obvious here. It has completely clouded over. I was assuming that this cap would be too strong but great to hear that if/when it breaks it will be all on.

David · Unread post by **David** » Sat 30/01/2016 12:56

Mainly clear and sunny up here, but not much convection at all so far. Humid again with dewpoint 19-20C.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sat 30/01/2016 13:53

David wrote:Mainly clear and sunny up here, but not much convection at all so far. Humid again with dewpoint 19-20C.

A NE will try to come into Auckland later in the day. Could see convection result near Howick over Hunua.

Can see distant cb to south. Radar has it over Taranaki!

Tornado Tim · Unread post by **Tornado Tim** » Sat 30/01/2016 13:55

Paul Mallinson wrote:The midday Whenuapai sounding shows a low level cap at the time the balloon was lauched. It looks like once this is broken, vigorous convection will ensue.
Paul

Hey Paul,
Can you post the Skew-T obs for that Sounding please. Its almost impossible to get access to that data now via public means.

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Sat 30/01/2016 14:00

Here it is Tim: http://weather.uwyo.edu/cgi-bin/soundin ... STNM=93112

Tornado Tim · Unread post by **Tornado Tim** » Sat 30/01/2016 14:11

Willoughby wrote:Here it is Tim: http://weather.uwyo.edu/cgi-bin/soundin ... STNM=93112

Thanks Willo

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sat 30/01/2016 14:20

Some small towering Cu over the hills NW of Auckland.

GraemeWi · Unread post by **GraemeWi** » Sat 30/01/2016 15:46

Quite a strong tilt on the towers that have gone up NW of Auckland, just watched one turn into a turkey, more going up

treetop · Unread post by **treetop** » Sat 30/01/2016 15:52

Going up around Tauranga now.No sea breeze here yet. and 30 deg.As usual strongest convection between Taranaki and East Cape

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sat 30/01/2016 16:57

Towers north of Auckland going up and down, distant Cb over Northland, thunderstorm up there.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sat 30/01/2016 17:23

Yes, the convergence has developed over north Auckland and Hunua but no signs of any convective energy yet. A weak shower to the north.

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Sat 30/01/2016 17:23

Now that the westerly has calmed down we should see some action weather forming in the eastern Waikato.

Tornado Tim · Unread post by **Tornado Tim** » Sat 30/01/2016 17:47

Hamilton seems to be under a convergence line atm. Hopefully it stays relatively stationary.

treetop · Unread post by **treetop** » Sat 30/01/2016 17:55

still westerly here. convection near Tauranga blown out to sea.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sat 30/01/2016 17:57

A couple of showers developed as expected but I can't see anything further happening convection wise today in the Auckland region.

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Sat 30/01/2016 18:18

Can't see anything here today either. Hopefully tomorrow!

shovelopikis · Unread post by **shovelopikis** » Sat 30/01/2016 19:02

Thunder and heavy shower in north taranaki....I'm always in he right place at the right time it seems.

dogmelon · Unread post by **dogmelon** » Sat 30/01/2016 19:09

Those Ranges behind the Galatea basin seem to be the magical spot for storms to fire it all situations.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Sat 30/01/2016 19:27

You are lucky baresarks in the North Island with this useless El Nino as far as we are considered down here.
Useful the rains have been but HOW MANY THUBNDERSTORMS HAVE WE HAD IN CANTERBURY ??
ZERO
The WEATHER HAS BEEN so boring

All we get is this effing boring CLAGG
Need more artificial development in the atmosphere, for change to get thunderstorms here ?

dogmelon · Unread post by **dogmelon** » Sat 30/01/2016 20:23

Did that "cap" thing hold for today and so many areas didn't get thunderstorms today?

Yes John, it has been the worst summer in some time. I'd like some sunshine for once. My garden is so SLOW.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sat 30/01/2016 20:33

The eastern high country and Northland looked the prime areas for a storm today and they got storms.

Some weak heat showers north of the city otherwise a fine day.
I drove north to Owera late afternoon, beaches packed up there, some convergence showers up there, photo

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Sat 30/01/2016 20:35

dogmelon wrote:Did that "cap" thing hold for today and so many areas didn't get thunderstorms today?

Yes John, it has been the worst summer in some time. I'd like some sunshine for once. My garden is so SLOW.

Really? My Grass is growing like its spring atm!

treetop · Unread post by **treetop** » Sat 30/01/2016 21:36

Great light show between Rotorua and Whakatane [again !]Hopefully the weak trough may push it this way, weakening now but at 8 pm was lighting up every 1 or 2 secs ,still going now, anyone down in Whakatane ?

Tornado Tim · Unread post by **Tornado Tim** » Sat 30/01/2016 23:05

Quite Lightning Active over the BOP from Papamoa Beach:
Video courtesy of my mother:

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