General February Weather

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Fri 19/02/2016 06:44

Looks like BOP is getting a lot.

I just heard some big totals on breakfast around the North Island.

Nev · Unread post by **Nev** » Fri 19/02/2016 06:55

Picked up another 46mm last night, or 100mm since about 5pm yesterday. Total for this system since Tuesday arvo is 125mm.

Manukau heads obs · Fri 19/02/2016 07:03

that's big rain totals...Heavy Rain warnings did eventually come out..but only as it was occuring...
I did point out to Met Service on Facebook that the rain band that was feeding onto the far north had drifted slighly west and would keep the shower lines going...this was like early afternoon..and they said they expected it to move off to the east...that might have been model guidence..but where has good old fashioned carefull monitoring of what is actually happening -> forecasting, gone?

David · Unread post by **David** » Fri 19/02/2016 08:06

Nev wrote:Picked up another 46mm last night, or 100mm since about 5pm yesterday. Total for this system since Tuesday arvo is 125mm.

Impressive! Event total was 44mm for Howick

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Fri 19/02/2016 08:26

Thames was under the evening convergence line and showing 71.6mm for yesterday, much of that would have fallen after 5pm.

Manukau heads obs · Fri 19/02/2016 08:33

GFS did have big rain totals due to the slow moving front, so Kudos to it

Nev · Unread post by **Nev** » Fri 19/02/2016 08:48

Here's a 24 hr rainfall graphic to 6am this morning. MS's Waiheke total is a bit conservative methinks.

On Twitter MetService wrote:Auckland: Yesterday's stalled front meant ~100mm of rain last 24hrs Whangaparaoa & Waharau, with Waiheke 70mm+ ^GG

MetService Ak 24 hr rainfall to Feb 19, 6am.jpg

treetop · Unread post by **treetop** » Mon 22/02/2016 07:34

Looks like the humidity is back at the end of the week. Winston's influence being pushed back a few more days. The westward track will bring in some good tropical moisture and maybe some good pm storms for central N Is ? Temps should be good too[High 20's with all the warm seas around] .

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Mon 22/02/2016 08:04

Some very moist air heading our way later in the week.
I was at Opoutere, Coromandel camping over the weekend, certainly noticed the cooler nights with the humid weather clearing out.

Manukau heads obs · Mon 22/02/2016 08:17

That's a great spot...long way to get there though...get some great waves/swell there too from cyclone swell

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Mon 22/02/2016 08:34

Manukau heads obs wrote:That's a great spot...long way to get there though...get some great waves/swell there too from cyclone swell

Its near Whangamata but not so well known, rich in bird life, lots of dotterels on the sand dunes and saw Kaka near the camp ground.

Manukau heads obs · Mon 22/02/2016 08:49

ah, I was thinking of another spot, but have been to this spot surfing beore too

(a bit of a walk through the trees)

Bradley · Unread post by **Bradley** » Mon 22/02/2016 12:21

Absolutely fascinating video (time-lapse) of the weather in 2015 for the world - well worth a look

http://www.iflscience.com/environment/a ... apse-video

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Mon 22/02/2016 12:51

Fascinating alright, thanks for posting

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Mon 22/02/2016 21:54

A weak convergence line is still alive just to the west of me. It formed late afternoon and has hardly moved. We caught a few spit around 7pm. Hope it moves a bit further east!

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Tue 23/02/2016 18:28

WeatherWatch.co.nz has gone into partnership with global weather giant Weather.com/Wunderground

http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/content/w ... -forecasts

Manukau heads obs · Tue 23/02/2016 18:41

free app is always good
just trying that out..says cant connect...? (cannot refresh data, check your connection error)
(maybe overloaded?)
I see lots more coverage of smaller towns for forecasts..and up to 10 days out....
but that would be computer generated forecasts I presume..I wonder if they would be sanity checked by a human operator too though?

Manukau heads obs · Tue 23/02/2016 19:12

app working now...must have been a temporary thing
seems to work well , good stuff

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Tue 23/02/2016 19:31

As far as I know the 10 day is computer forecasted still. Maybe Aaron can shed some light on it?

David · Unread post by **David** » Tue 23/02/2016 20:06

Interesting, as I recall they used to be opposed to long range computer generated forecasts with no human input.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 23/02/2016 20:23

David wrote:Interesting, as I recall they used to be opposed to long range computer generated forecasts with no human input.

The Met Service haven't minded them. They seem to use it in their 6-10day forecasts at least.

I think the high cost of human input make the long range computer generated forecasts viable.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 23/02/2016 20:48

Looking like a warmer air mass coming across the Tasman with higher temps next few days over NZ.

einzack · Unread post by **einzack** » Wed 24/02/2016 16:35

It's certainly a hot one today. 32.3°C.
Was thinking of going for a run, but decided to have a beer instead.

treetop · Unread post by **treetop** » Thu 25/02/2016 07:59

I see parts of Cantebury mid 20's before 8 am. Going to be steamy up north, still on track for high humidity and mid to high 20's.

einzack · Unread post by **einzack** » Thu 25/02/2016 08:53

We were on 24.9°C just before 6am when the wind changed to a southerly and the temp dropped to something more pleasant. Was a very tough night sleeping thats for sure.

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