General July Weather
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For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
These topics are a read-only archive and may be subject to out-of-date information.
For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
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General July Weather
I think July's weather will be similar to Junes.
Not much happening down here but thunderstorms and wet weather for the North Island. I hope I am wrong.
Not much happening down here but thunderstorms and wet weather for the North Island. I hope I am wrong.
JohnGaul
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Re: General July Weather
I hope the latter half of July won't echo June - locally 102.9 hrs sun in 18 days, a record-setting pace - then for the last 12 overcast skies and plenty of rain with just 6.6 hours of sun, virtually all of it on a single day.Nev wrote:Yep, like June, a nice cooler, clear anticyclonic spell to start to July…
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General July Weather
Was cold enough for puddles of water to freeze here. My deck is an ice skating rink with last nights rain freezing on it.
Cracker day ahead and good frost tonight by the looks.
Cracker day ahead and good frost tonight by the looks.
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Re: General July Weather
I think July will be a month of Anticyclones and Lows, no big westerly pattern.
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Re: General July Weather
July looks to be the month that at least for the first 10 days delivers little for the South Island skifields
Christchurch Rocks
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Coronet peak been closed for a week now, the entire winter fest so big money losses there with at least 7000 people expected through. with global warming will struggle to operate in a decade or so being a relatively low altitude ski area.
Edit- been closed for 10 days now.
Edit- been closed for 10 days now.
Last edited by melja on Fri 01/07/2016 16:44, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: General July Weather
yes, by 2010 our children won't know what snow is.....
“Children just aren’t going to know what snow is,” Dr. David Viner, a scientist with the climatic research unit at the University of East Anglia, told the UK Independent in 2000.
“Children just aren’t going to know what snow is,” Dr. David Viner, a scientist with the climatic research unit at the University of East Anglia, told the UK Independent in 2000.
Last edited by James J. on Fri 01/07/2016 21:56, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: General July Weather
2010??aardvark wrote:yes, by 2010 our children won't know what snow is.....
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Re: General July Weather
I think he means 2100
there will still be snow on the mountains...if you go high enough
but snow to sea level might be a rare event by 2100?
there will still be snow on the mountains...if you go high enough
but snow to sea level might be a rare event by 2100?
Last edited by Manukau heads obs on Fri 01/07/2016 19:33, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: General July Weather
It won't be if the next Maunder sun spot cycle comes into effect which has already started
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Re: General July Weather
But thats only a 15 year long cycle is it not. I can see it being disastrous for the campaign to curb green house gases, that will be all the ammunition needed by the deniers camp to back up there claim that there is no such thing as globed warming.Bradley wrote:It won't be if the next Maunder sun spot cycle comes into effect which has already started
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Re: General July Weather
Looking like our first frost of the season coming up tonight, clear skies and down to 7C already.
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Re: General July Weather
Worth a read Richard: http://www.news.com.au/technology/scien ... 8ced31a4e2Richard wrote:But thats only a 15 year long cycle is it not. I can see it being disastrous for the campaign to curb green house gases, that will be all the ammunition needed by the deniers camp to back up there claim that there is no such thing as globed warming.Bradley wrote:It won't be if the next Maunder sun spot cycle comes into effect which has already started
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Re: General July Weather
it might might last 22 years say...a big minimum...and that will certainly slow down or even halt global warmingit won't be if the next Maunder sun spot cycle comes into effect which has already started
but then that will get going again after that...with still 60 years of warming before 2100
yes/no?
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Re: General July Weather
I see Kaitaia is forcasted to go down to +1deg, a deg colder than Culverden on +2 deg. already on -1.3degDavid wrote:Looking like our first frost of the season coming up tonight, clear skies and down to 7C already.
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Re: General July Weather
InterestingBradley wrote:
Worth a read Richard: http://www.news.com.au/technology/scien ... 8ced31a4e2
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Re: General July Weather
There are a lot of off-topic posts in here for the first page of the July weather thread. Please either keep on topic or start a new thread for other subjects, if you dont the moderators will do it for you.
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Re: General July Weather
Good bit of strong Lightning going on in the Tasman with quite significant amplitudes, unfortunately the system will weaken tomorrow as it start to interact with the ridge on-top of us.
Although quite a few of us in the North Island will appreciate a decent dry spell, till around Wednesday.
Thursdays forecast next week even though a considerable time away is very interesting as most models have it in prognostic guidance already, potential for rapid deep cyclogenisis if the upper level analysis forecast stay on similar trend....
Although quite a few of us in the North Island will appreciate a decent dry spell, till around Wednesday.
Thursdays forecast next week even though a considerable time away is very interesting as most models have it in prognostic guidance already, potential for rapid deep cyclogenisis if the upper level analysis forecast stay on similar trend....
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Re: General July Weather
That system coming into Northland tomorrow is in decline but the airmass is cold, seas still relatively warm, maybe a little bit of lightning in the far north. Also a waterspout risk.
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Re: General July Weather
GFS is starting to become quite consistent in forecasting a major cold front next weekend whereas EC wants nothing to do with it - will be very interesting to see what EC forecasts in the next run or two...I still trust it over GFS lately
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Re: General July Weather
Looks cold with 850 hPa temps of -9, that must be about a 200m freezing level..Bradley wrote:GFS is starting to become quite consistent in forecasting a major cold front next weekend whereas EC wants nothing to do with it - will be very interesting to see what EC forecasts in the next run or two...I still trust it over GFS lately
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Re: General July Weather
And once again GFS going for an extremely cold outbreak this weekend on the latest model run and once again EC is showing absolutely nothing, I have never seen this before with them both being so consistent over a few days with a particular forecast but differing so much to the other model