General August Weather

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SnwAddct
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General August Weather

Unread post by SnwAddct »

Thought I would start a thread as we are nearing a new month, except for the potential cold start to the month what is everyones general feeling that August will have in store for us?
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Cold.
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by spwill »

I see higher pressure south of NZ so a better chance of snow perhaps next couple of weeks.
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by matttbs »

I think it will generally follow the same trend that we have seen for July apart from the odd SW. Overall be milder than normal
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by spwill »

The current modelling shows next week to be cold, both GFS and EC.
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

yes, there is a polar high getting parked up way to the south of NZ to shovel cold air north towards NZ
which will get swept onto NZ at times
so , not really a continuation of July pattern in that regard
so expect colder outbreaks interspersed with narrow ridges followed by warmer northerlies....sort of thing..
time will tell...
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by Razor »

Yes looks a bit mucky and changeable for the whole country for early August
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by spwill »

I think the high to the south of NZ and the Tasman Sea low next week create a slight chance for heavy snow somewhere next week, ingredients need to come together though.
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by treetop »

Certainly an unusual winter scenario from next week. A period of NE for the north so it will be relatively warm and wet there. The low in the Tasman and strong NE flow may keep any very cold air off the S Is for now. Really sick of the rain up north here. Missing the frosty clear days
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by NZstorm »

Quite an active polar trough sweeping across the North Island later tomorrow with Auckland well placed to catch some thunder/squalls/hail.

I see subtropical moisture in the modelling over the upper North Island on Thursday which poses the risk of downpours. The ground here is so saturated there will be lots of run off/possible flooding. I went for a run today and the local parks semi submerged.
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by Tornado Tim »

Great looking low to our SE, and then we have the incoming front from the West.
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by NZstorm »

Very heavy rain/hail in Grey Lynn.
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by NZstorm »

Heavy rain/hail mix back again.
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by Orion »

My Methven Spy reports a brief fall of freezing rain there just earlier.
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by spwill »

A heavy shower crossing here, I noticed a very distant lightning flash earlier this evening out west.
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

was great colours /light here at sunset due to a clearance at the time
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by Thunder081 »

Tornado Tim wrote:Great looking low to our SE, and then we have the incoming front from the West.
Hey what website did you get that satellite image from?
Wellington southerly front timelapse: www.youtube.com/watch?v=MBl3hsuIg2Q
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by tunster »

Thunder081 wrote:
Tornado Tim wrote:Great looking low to our SE, and then we have the incoming front from the West.
Hey what website did you get that satellite image from?
It looks like Weatherzone Layers.
http://www.weatherzone.com.au/layers/
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Re: General August Weather

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Re: General August Weather

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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by Thunder081 »

Cheers guys
Wellington southerly front timelapse: www.youtube.com/watch?v=MBl3hsuIg2Q
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by spwill »

Isolated thunderstorm activity on the incoming front is perhaps something to watch for the Auckland area next hr.
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by David »

Some light rain here currently, looks like some possible heavier falls moving in.
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by Tornado Tim »

tunster wrote:
Thunder081 wrote:
Hey what website did you get that satellite image from?
It looks like Weatherzone Layers.
http://www.weatherzone.com.au/layers/
Indeed, Weatherzone Layers.
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Re: General August Weather

Unread post by Nev »

David wrote:Some light rain here currently, looks like some possible heavier falls moving in.
That skinny rainband earlier fed 14mm over our house in about 1.5 hrs, yet a nearby PWS only about 1 km further south got less than 5mm.
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