General September Weather

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General September Weather

Unread post by Nev »

Looking like quite a warm, summery start to spring.
Could even be some record Sept temps around Sunday/Monday?
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by Razor »

Its certainly looking warm and dry for a prolonged period in the areas where we were hoping that might not be so
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

I hope not here >_<
Looks very uneventful to start off Spring, anyway.
hope it changes in the months ahead <3
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by Orion »

It seems to be quite misty here at the moment. Very fragrant "New Zealand bush" smell in the air :-)
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Last edited by Orion on Thu 01/09/2016 06:39, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by Nev »

Spring is in the air.jpg
Spring is in the air...
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by Richard »

Certainly is this morning, lovely warm NW wind arrived about 8.00am
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by BeaconHill »

Might be time to change the banner image on this forum? Says something about the winter we have had when it never got changed from Autumn ;)
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

BeaconHill wrote:Might be time to change the banner image on this forum? Says something about the winter we have had when it never got changed from Autumn ;)
Maybe ,we never had a winter?? :?: <3
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by Nev »

Stupid headline from the NZ Herald this morn, 'Sodden Saturday in store for Auckland'...

Auckland forecasts for today were for never more than the risk of a few showers.
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Interesting spongy looking SC layers extending out from the SW late this afternoon and this evening with some elongated billowing extensions stretching out through the clear sky.
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by Nev »

Mod Note:
Have moved all the posts relating to the next few day's 'southerly blast' to NZstorm's new thread.
Also amended that thread's date-range.
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by NZstorm »

Weather looks sunny for the next fews days.

Update on ENZO.

ENSO-Neutral conditions are slightly favoured (between 55-60%) next 6 months.
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by Richard »

Lovely spring day with no wind and 20deg, a 23 deg spread between the low and high today
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by Andy »

Richard wrote:Lovely spring day with no wind and 20deg, a 23 deg spread between the low and high today
Yes some here -2 to 20 degrees with some high cloud this afternoon, just stunning. :smile:
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by tunster »

NZstorm wrote:Weather looks sunny for the next fews days.

Update on ENZO.

ENSO-Neutral conditions are slightly favoured (between 55-60%) next 6 months.
I remember about 3 months ago someone on this forum saying that NOAA were behind the play, and that La Nina had already arrived! And now here we are.
I think 2013/2014 was another case where there were initial predictions of an El Nino spring and summer, that never eventuated. Or perhaps it was another year.
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by spwill »

With neutral positive we can still see some la Nina like affects.
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by Tornado Tim »

Last time we had ENSO Neutral we had a terrible Thunderstorm Season over the Summer with really warm upper level temps, hopefully it doesnt repeat.
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by wembley »

Neutral (non El Nino/La Nina) summers can either be good or crap and I don't know which it will be
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by Orion »

Observed interesting Mammatus cloud here, half an hour ago.
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by SnwAddct »

Nice day here for most of the day, couple cloudy periods. We are shifting house this Saturday and it doesn't quite look like the weather we were hoping for. Is it likely it will be raining for the most of the day in Waitakere? Heavier in AM or PM? Such a tricky thing to plan
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by NZstorm »

SnwAddct wrote:Nice day here for most of the day, couple cloudy periods. We are shifting house this Saturday and it doesn't quite look like the weather we were hoping for. Is it likely it will be raining for the most of the day in Waitakere? Heavier in AM or PM? Such a tricky thing to plan
GFS shows an am frontal passage whereas ukmet pm.
Its a fast moving front but potentially active.

On the topic of ENSO nuetral, this is very good news for Auckland's summer. The earlier modeled La Nina can kill off a summer like we suffered in 2011.
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by spwill »

Regarding Saturdays rain I would wait until Thursday for the timing of it.

The 2011 Summer was poor for many areas.( la Nina)
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by David »

Are you sure you don't mean 2012? Temps were well down that summer. In 2011 it wasn't that bad at all, apart from the two heavy rain events in late January.
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by spwill »

David wrote:Are you sure you don't mean 2012? Temps were well down that summer. In 2011 it wasn't that bad at all, apart from the two heavy rain events in late January.
Yes 2012 was the lousy Summer
The 2011 Summer was La Nina as well and okay.
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Re: General September Weather

Unread post by NZstorm »

Friday looking a warm day across the country.

Could be some decent rain overnight tonight for Auckland.
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