General October Weather

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 26/09/2016 20:52

At the moment, it looks like a return to the westerlys to start off October, once this late September upper level "Clagg" clears away.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Fri 30/09/2016 06:53

Here comes the westerlies!

Thunderstorm chances for both the North Island and Otago/South Canterbury on Sunday.

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Sat 01/10/2016 00:02

Monday looking another unstable day for Canterbury and Sunday for Otago

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Orion · Unread post by **Orion** » Sat 01/10/2016 07:32

First foggy morning for the month

GreggWard · Unread post by **GreggWard** » Sat 01/10/2016 17:23

Just had a nice little afternoon thunderstorm pass over Palmy. Temperature has dropped from 20C to 13C, in the last hour.

einzack · Unread post by **einzack** » Mon 03/10/2016 08:01

So this cool cloudy weather is over 2 weeks old now and am getting over it. I'd guess we've had maybe 6 hours of sunshine over that time. Pretty tough school holiday weather. Change to westerlies will at least give us something different but cool cloudiness looks like it'll be continuing.

Orion · Unread post by **Orion** » Mon 03/10/2016 13:04

Foggy morning yesterday, did see the sun for a while in the afternoon, then I think it was foggy again last night;
currently overcast, sunless, and it has been drizzling.

Had been hoping to view the crescent Moon and Venus together in the evening sky yesterday or this evening:

http://earthsky.org/tonight/moon-and-ve ... -october-3

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Mon 03/10/2016 17:45

Going to be an interesting looking first week of October. Looks as though some cold upper troughs making there way up over the country with potential thunderstorm set ups. Have to see how it all pans out

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 03/10/2016 18:45

.....as long as we get rid of the 'Clagg', timing or whatever?
That's why we're moving to Geraldine, for more exciting weather

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Mon 03/10/2016 19:39

mikestormchaser wrote:Going to be an interesting looking first week of October. Looks as though some cold upper troughs making there way up over the country with potential thunderstorm set ups. Have to see how it all pans out

Yeah deaf can see a couple days in the next week to keep an eye on.

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mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Mon 03/10/2016 20:02

03Stormchaser wrote:
mikestormchaser wrote:Going to be an interesting looking first week of October. Looks as though some cold upper troughs making there way up over the country with potential thunderstorm set ups. Have to see how it all pans out
Yeah deaf can see a couple days in the next week to keep an eye on.

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Thursday is one day I'm watching and if Sunday stayed the way it is, would be a big day! Certainly gfs suggesting some upper troughs

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Mon 03/10/2016 20:21

Thursday is one day I'm watching and if Sunday stayed the way it is, would be a big day! Certainly gfs suggesting some upper troughs

Yup both days I have my eye on as well

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Bradley · Unread post by **Bradley** » Mon 03/10/2016 20:55

Some good signs in around 5-7 days of some good rain in Canterbury, let's hope this is the start of a wetter pattern much the same as what most of Australia experienced in September...

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Tue 04/10/2016 13:35

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:At the moment, it looks like a return to the westerlys to start off October, once this late September upper level "Clagg" clears away.

It is very depressing John! I'm sick of this cloudy crap myself. And a cold dreary NE. Time for a strong NW front to blow it all away, followed by a very unstable day with thunderstorms!

David · Unread post by **David** » Wed 05/10/2016 06:17

Another 17mm of unneeded rain here overnight!

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Wed 05/10/2016 07:04

David wrote:Another 17mm of unneeded rain here overnight!

I don't mind the rain coming through at night. Looks like a fine Wednesday with westerly.

Looking squally over the west and north of the North Island Thursday and Friday. Severe squalls possible later tomorrow.
Western areas should hear some thunder at some stage in the 2 days. Maybe Canterbury Thursday pm too.

500mb 1am Friday

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Wed 05/10/2016 07:41

Unneeded rain 15mm here too and everywhere between Waikato and Auckland. Another 30mm potentially to come in the next two days.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Wed 05/10/2016 08:01

Yes, looking manly fine for the upper North Island today then a messy few weather days coming up. Thundery squalls later Thursday into Friday.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Thu 06/10/2016 11:18

jamie wrote:Unneeded rain 15mm here too and everywhere between Waikato and Auckland. Another 30mm potentially to come in the next two days.

Send some down here!

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Thu 06/10/2016 14:32

Razor wrote:
jamie wrote:Unneeded rain 15mm here too and everywhere between Waikato and Auckland. Another 30mm potentially to come in the next two days.
Send some down here!

I wish I could. Nearly had 20mm since midnight. We are wet here but nothing like South Auckland. Boy are they wet!

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Fri 07/10/2016 23:31

Bad wording for tomorrow's forecast for Canterbury.
Brief rain , followed by a few showers
What's the difference between brief rain and a few showers?
Maybe the rain will last about 5 minutes and the showers, if they do fall, will be in periods of about one minute at a time,

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sat 08/10/2016 07:50

Could be some pm thunder south of Timaru today? Looks very cold aloft, but will the convergence be too far inland as has been the problem for the east of the South Island so far this spring.

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Sat 08/10/2016 08:08

Up at Mt cook for the half marathon and its a bit bloody rough weather wise today.

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03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Sat 08/10/2016 09:11

NZstorm wrote:Could be some pm thunder south of Timaru today? Looks very cold aloft, but will the convergence be too far inland as has been the problem for the east of the South Island so far this spring.

Have had my eye on this most of the week, always seemed like something was missing though.

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David · Unread post by **David** » Sat 08/10/2016 13:06

So great to have the beautiful weather today in Auckland, not been much weather like this of late. My station has recorded 215 mm of rain in the last 30 days.

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