General October Weather

[melja]

I'm just on 70mm for the month here but yes chch city seems to be missing most of it.

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[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

I wish that MetService would stop being over-rating their forecasts
Thundery showers or heavy rain, my buttocks

[Bradley]

Nearly 80mm of rain for Christchurch in 6 weeks, quite decent to say the least!!

Where's that station Bradley? More like 45mm around our part of town in past two months here. A lot of the rain seems locally heavy wit recent events, very hit and miss. 7mm here so far today

That's the airport and also Jeff''s station in Hoon Hay is actually closer to 100mm for that period

[NZstorm]

Looks like this polar trough coming onto the North Island will play out as a rainfall set up for Gisborne/Hawkes Bay.
Waikato Auckland looking largely dry.

[Richard]

Picked up 13.4mm yesterday, not a lot...but!

[Manukau heads obs]

at least you are getting relatively frequent rain episodes Richard

[Richard]

at least you are getting relatively frequent rain episodes Richard

Yes its helping a little, but whats needed is just one fall of 30mm or more that can soak into the subsoil's, these smallish falls that we've been getting lately are mostly lost after a few days of dry NW, the fact that inland Canterbury gets a lot more of those winds than coastal areas means it drys a lot quicker. But you just learn to except the climate for what it is, and as a small scale seed grower its a great climate, not only because of a lack of diseases but for drying seed also.

[Manukau heads obs]

might be a SE change CB line moving north through the waikato late arvo guys?

[NZstorm]

might be a SE change CB line moving north through the waikato late arvo guys?

The instability doesn't look to be there unfortunately.

But models agree on some showers coming north overnight.

[Chris W]

Heavy rain last night in Spreydon, most of the evening and some heavy showers overnight. Seems it was coming off the western end of the hills, and we had big puddles all over the drive this morning.

[spwill]

might be a SE change CB line moving north through the waikato late arvo guys?

Will keep a watch but timing not the best for us with this system in terms of interesting weather.

Fine conditions for Auckland today, showers coming through in the overnight hrs.

[NZstorm]

A fine weekend for change!

[Richard]

A fine weekend for change!

Yes yet another one.

Whats everyone's thoughts on Tuesday's storm chances, at this stage i think its looking a good possibility for inland SI

[NZstorm]

A fine weekend for change!

Yes yet another one.

Whats everyone's thoughts on Tuesday's storm chances, at this stage i think its looking a good possibility for inland SI

Looks ok provided the convergence is not too far inland. The moisture is near the coast and so you want convergence to tap into that moisture.

[mikestormchaser]

Watching Tuesday indeed.

[melja]

Been a stunning weekend bringing our new launch round from nelson to picton.

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[NZstorm]

Looking like two areas of interest for potential thunderstorm development tomorrow.

A front coming into the west of the North Island later tomorrow evening may support frequent lightning, although this looks to be largely south of about Raglan where convection is deepest. Isolated tornado risk for Taranaki.

And the South Island (Southland to Canterbury set up). GFS drops plenty of rain on inland Otago.

[mikestormchaser]

Looking like two areas of interest for potential thunderstorm development tomorrow.

A front coming into the west of the North Island later tomorrow evening may support frequent lightning, although this looks to be largely south of about Raglan where convection is deepest. Isolated tornado risk for Taranaki.

And the South Island (Southland to Canterbury set up). GFS drops plenty of rain on inland Otago.

Another cold polar trough looks likely to track up the country on fri/sat too. One to watch with the timing of the change

[spwill]

This coming weekend is looking chilly across NZ for the time of year.

It was nice to have the mostly fine holiday weekend .

[Nev]

Today's Herald has a feature on award-winning Slovenian storm-chaser/photographer and meteorologist Marko Korosec…

'Stunning photos: Snapping at angry giants' - NZ Herald

[mikestormchaser]

Some nice storms hovering around the oamaru district at present

[NZstorm]

A few storms from South Canterbury to Southland.

The PWS near Cave in South Canterbury had 21mm in about an hr.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Hope that Geraldine gets some interesting weather when we move, much more than the boring stuff we get up here.

[Rogue]

Heavy rain passed through Kapiti at around 2.30am. No thunder here but Blitzortung picked up quite a bit around Wellington between 6 and 7am which confirmed social media reports.

Quite a good aurora showing last night apparently for those with clear skies.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Improving weather this afternoon with the sky looking more 'upliftish' than the boring weather earlier with this southerly.