General October Weather

[melja]

Nearly 7mm of rain here today with it being quite heavy in the early hours for a time, almost up to 80mm for the month.

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[mikestormchaser]

Hope that Geraldine gets some interesting weather when we move, much more than the boring stuff we get up here.

Annand then Murphys law comes in to play and we get thunderstorms up this way and nothing in Geraldine lol.. ull have to drown ur sorrows in alot of Johnnie walker's

[NZstorm]

A very moist front coming into the west of the North Island later tomorrow will have some heavy showers and possible thunder.
South of Raglan looking more favourable.

[tgsnoopy]

A very moist front coming into the west of the North Island later tomorrow will have some heavy showers and possible thunder.
South of Raglan looking more favourable.

Nice, I'm working over that way tomorrow.

[spwill]

Looking ahead, some quite moist air on an easterly over the upper North Island Sunday under very cold upper level air.

[Nev]

Mod Note: For ease of ref, I created a new thread for the possible tornadoes in New Plymouth & Nelson.

[mikestormchaser]

A risk of a thunder/hail southerly buster for me tomorrow. From about ashburton up coastal canterbury

[Richard]

A risk of a thunder/hail southerly buster for me tomorrow. From about ashburton up coastal canterbury

Yet MetS say inland.

Amazing difference in the weather today in Canterbury, working in and around Rangiora where the sun did come out a bit, mostly cool and cloudy, more so after 4.00pm, got home to clear sky&warm and a NW wind

[mikestormchaser]

A risk of a thunder/hail southerly buster for me tomorrow. From about ashburton up coastal canterbury

Yet MetS say inland.

Amazing difference in the weather today in Canterbury, working in and around Rangiora where the sun did come out a bit, mostly cool and cloudy, more so after 4.00pm, got home to clear sky&warm and a NW wind

Looks more coastal for me. Sqaully southerly change about 4pm going by gfs

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Got photographers coming around tomorrow to take photos of the property to be put on the market.
Would look good to show this house with a very dramatic sky in the background, saying this place used to belong to the president and founder of the NZ Thunderstorm Society

[Richard]

Looks more coastal for me. Sqaully southerly change about 4pm going by gfs

MetService still have the main area of moderate risk more inland accordingly to there 8:44pm update, time will tell Mike

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Doesn't look dynamic for me, so yet again, nothing, sadly

[Richard]

Doesn't look dynamic for me, so yet again, nothing, sadly

You sound like a man who's lost all hope in the weather gods John

[Orion]

Southerly arrived and temperature has dropped 7° in the past hour or so;
merely raggedy cloud to the south at present, with some bubbly stuff to the north.
Some red and purple bits in South Canterbury on the rain-radar...

[spwill]

Some big Cbs/thunderstorms showing up South Canterbury way.

I'm picking we will see more in the way of cold troughing than usual coming NZs way next few weeks however for northern NZ we tend to get more ridging this time of year.

[03Stormchaser]

That S Canterbury storm has been firing away since about 4pm, didn't think it would have lasted this long and thought it would have moved further North.

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[mikestormchaser]

Some big Cbs/thunderstorms showing up South Canterbury way.

I'm picking we will see more in the way of cold troughing than usual coming NZs way next few weeks however for northern NZ we tend to get more ridging this time of year.

I'm picking the same will, some big thunderstorms down south this afternoon with one small cell loping up just north of Ashburton.

[Richard]

Only received 0.2mm from the front that went through over night, pathetic.

[melja]

We got 8mm yesterday and 4mm so far today, just over 20mm for the week.

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[einzack]

Driving over the northern motorway into Dunedin just after 10am this morning and car was reading 2C at the top with snow flurries. Was 3C in town with rain.

[Orion]

Looks very black towards the foothills from here just now, and a Spy reports "rain, hail and snow" at times in the Staveley area.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Can see the glaciated tops from here towards TC.

[Thunder]

One rumble of thunder here so far. Plenty of hail too but not huge stuff just little hail but lots of it especially up the road from me up the gorge more. Might be a few more waves come through so we'll see if we get anything else.

[NZstorm]

Another disturbed week ahead on the 500mb pattern but not that much rainfall in the model.
For thunder chances a shortwave crosses the South Island on Tuesday and then another progged to cross the North Island Wednesday.
Extended outlook is for systems on Friday and next Monday but do we believe the gfs that far out!

[Manukau heads obs]

Reports of hail in bay if plenty