General November Weather

[David]

Managed to fix it by cleaning around the sensor a bit (rubbing/scraping around it)... very strange. It's come right for now, will very likely buy a new sensor anyway to be safe.

Sensor failed again right after I left for work, this time in the other direction... to -28C

[mikestormchaser]

Thursday showing better for the whole country thunderstorm wise now. Big cold pool!

[Dean.]

Metservice going all out with a snow watch for the Canterbury high country.Snow down to 600 metres with a high freezing level,seems a warm advection set up.

http://www.metservice.com/warnings/snow-otago-warnings

Perhaps Metservice should edit snow Otago warnings to include Canterbury in the title for the future

[mikestormchaser]

Metservice going all out with a snow watch for the Canterbury high country.Snow down to 600 metres with a high freezing level,seems a warm advection set up.

http://www.metservice.com/warnings/snow-otago-warnings

Perhaps Metservice should edit snow Otago warnings to include Canterbury in the title for the future

Never quite understood that, they have a snow warning for Otago in winter but not for Canterbury

[Dean.]

Metservice going all out with a snow watch for the Canterbury high country.Snow down to 600 metres with a high freezing level,seems a warm advection set up.

http://www.metservice.com/warnings/snow-otago-warnings

Perhaps Metservice should edit snow Otago warnings to include Canterbury in the title for the future

Never quite understood that, they have a snow warning for Otago in winter but not for Canterbury

Would be more user friendly yes...
Steady rain here becoming heavier as per forecast

[Bradley]

This rain and is breaking up severely over mid Canterbury, can't see Christchurch getting the 30mm forecast

[Dean.]

This rain and is breaking up severely over mid Canterbury, can't see Christchurch getting the 30mm forecast

Looks like a southerly surge south of Ashburton slowly moving north increasing the rainfall

[Richard]

Steady rain here so far, had 7mm.

[Storm Struck]

A very typical sheltering going on today as expected really, this is more an inland rain event possibly just under 1mm here so far.
Although going by the maps rain should increase overnight from 1am, 15-20mm possible about the coast and clearing around 2ish tomorrow afternoon.
Much more interested in next weeks weather though, potential for a few decent storm days over much of the country.

[Dean.]

Nudging 10mm here

[Richard]

Best rain since Jan with 28mm, very useful.

[Dean.]

30mm here and still raining

[trickytiger]

27.8mm here yesterday and 9.6mm today

[03Stormchaser]

less than 10mm in Christchurch so far and don't think much more is on the cards. Not alot of snow has fallen either looking at the webcams in the high country.

[03Stormchaser]

Looking ahead Tues-Thursday could be days we have a storm or two in Canterbury

[NZstorm]

The Tasman Sea should light up like a Christmas tree on the lightning tacker tomorrow. Good instability numbers progged. Some of these storms reaching the South Island Monday.

[Bradley]

Is it overstating it that this southerly system for Thursday for Canterbury looks to be as vicious winds-wise as the one in early September? That particular one caused a bit of damage around the property with gates buckled etc!!

[NZstorm]

Looks like Wellington get the wind overnight Monday. Normal for them though!

Possibility of severe hail for the country with this system mid to late week given time of year and strength of dynamics+cold air.

[ryant1234]

What day do you think has the highest potential for severe thunderstorms?

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Just came back from Geraldine.
We had 38mm of rain from Friday afternoon to yesterday morning , all up

[mikestormchaser]

What day do you think has the highest potential for severe thunderstorms?

Wensday if anything for Canterbury

[NZstorm]

What day do you think has the highest potential for severe thunderstorms?

Wensday if anything for Canterbury

Modelling showing a k index of 30 for Ashburton later today. That number is a good signal for a storm.

[mikestormchaser]

Hmm looking at this morning today does seem the better day indeed actually. Strong jet at 500mb to!

[NZstorm]

The front coming into the west of the North Island late tomorrow looks supportive of squally thunder. Will cross Auckland very early Thursday with chance of 50knot (90km/h) squall.

[einzack]

We're up to 25mm of rain since yesterday, which is a decent drop for us. Looks like we'll get a bit more over the next few days too. Lawns going bananas!