General February Weather

Manukau heads obs · Sun 19/02/2017 16:20

Looks good on radar.raglan sticks out a bit. And so catches
Those northerly shower lines nicely

A few showers on pukekohe.sultry

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Sun 19/02/2017 17:51

Heavy shower to my south has been dumping it down over one spot for the last hour, had been expecting to maybe hearing a rumble from it looking at the radar.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Sun 19/02/2017 18:18

Looks very isolated.
Seems to be dying now.

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Mon 20/02/2017 15:50

Stunning late summer day here, high so far of 28.6deg with a light NE

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Mon 20/02/2017 16:57

Richard wrote:Stunning late summer day here, high so far of 28.6deg with a light NE

Cracked 30deg when the NW came through

Manukau heads obs · Mon 20/02/2017 17:19

Another warm day

TonyT · Unread post by **TonyT** » Mon 20/02/2017 17:41

Richard wrote:Stunning late summer day here, high so far of 28.6deg with a light NE

Interesting language there Richard, "late summer" and its the middle of February! I notice some of the trees round here showing the tell tale signs of a transition to autumn. Could be a long winter...

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Mon 20/02/2017 17:53

Autumn transition well underway down Mackenzie country in the weekend

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Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Mon 20/02/2017 17:58

I dont think it has anything to do with the transition to autumn Tony, most of northern North Canterbury have gone through two winters with rainfall below what is needed to top up deep down, if we go through a third winter like this many older trees will be doomed. When it comes to the overall climate of North Canterbury you need to separate north to south because the north is historically always dryer.

Tornado Tim · Unread post by **Tornado Tim** » Mon 20/02/2017 19:48

TonyT wrote:
Richard wrote:Stunning late summer day here, high so far of 28.6deg with a light NE
Interesting language there Richard, "late summer" and its the middle of February! I notice some of the trees round here showing the tell tale signs of a transition to autumn. Could be a long winter...

Some of the Peach Trees here have already started dropping leaves on mass just after fruiting which is rather strange.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Mon 20/02/2017 21:53

Tornado Tim wrote: Some of the Peach Trees here have already started dropping leaves on mass just after fruiting which is rather strange.

Trees go into the autumn phase early if they become stressed. Dry summers typically trigger this.

Jordan M · Unread post by **Jordan M** » Mon 20/02/2017 22:27

Hi all, it's another warm muggy evening here in Wellington, and it got me thinking - what's the New Zealand record for the highest minimum daily temperature? I searched through a list of forum topics but couldn't quite find the answer I'm looking for

Manukau heads obs · Mon 20/02/2017 22:35

Could be a long winter...

based on drought stressed trees starting to have an autumn look
or based on something else?

sea temperatures in the southern ocean are above normal currently, right around antartica..I have never seen that before...if that trend continues then any southerly outbreaks might not be as cold (but could have more moisture -> more snow?)

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Tue 21/02/2017 07:45

NZstorm wrote:
Tornado Tim wrote: Some of the Peach Trees here have already started dropping leaves on mass just after fruiting which is rather strange.
Trees go into the autumn phase early if they become stressed. Dry summers typically trigger this.

Quite lucky where we are here in that the water never goes lower than 5m so once trees get there roots down they are fine.

Another hot day coming up. Wish TV1's Dan would stop referring to Hanmers temperatures, its not situated ideally for accurate recordings, MetS knows that and so does Dan. There would have been little difference yesterday between here (30) Culverden(29), Hanmer(33*?)and Waiau(30.5)

TonyT · Unread post by **TonyT** » Tue 21/02/2017 08:10

Manukau heads obs wrote:
Could be a long winter...
based on drought stressed trees starting to have an autumn look
or based on something else?

sea temperatures in the southern ocean are above normal currently, right around antartica..I have never seen that before...if that trend continues then any southerly outbreaks might not be as cold (but could have more moisture -> more snow?)

Both. There are some trees here which are used to drought and drought tolerant, but which are starting the move to autumn colours quite early. Probably due to the cold nights we have been seeing at times in the last 2 weeks. However, my comment was also picking up the thought that with anticyclones likely dominant for the next 2-3 months and ocean temperatures around NZ below normal we will see more cold nights and probably earlier than usual frosts, which will make people think winter has started early...

As for the Southern Ocean, yes it may be warmer than normal (although its colder near NZ), but the air is still very cold, and would have no problem generating the usual winter cold symptoms if it arrived intact. Which its bound to do at some point.

Nev · Unread post by **Nev** » Tue 21/02/2017 08:17

Jordan M wrote:Hi all, it's another warm muggy evening here in Wellington, and it got me thinking - what's the New Zealand record for the highest minimum daily temperature? I searched through a list of forum topics but couldn't quite find the answer I'm looking for

Hi Jordan M.

Not exactly sure what the highest ever daily T-min recorded in NZ is, but Napier's Nelson Park T-min of 25.4C in March 1955 would probably be a strong contender…

Manukau heads obs · Tue 21/02/2017 13:53

sea surface temps are getting closer to normal around NZ now though, with this period of warmer weather we are currently getting

TonyT · Unread post by **TonyT** » Tue 21/02/2017 17:56

Manukau heads obs wrote:sea surface temps are getting closer to normal around NZ now though, with this period of warmer weather we are currently getting

It might be warmer where you are,

but according to NIWA's climate maps most of the country is normal or below normal so far for February, and SSTs remain below normal around the country, but yes, they are trending higher. A month or two of lighter winds under anticyclones should bring those SSTs back to near normal.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Wed 22/02/2017 11:33

That southerly change snuck in early. Hope it doesn't annoy the cricket too much

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Thu 23/02/2017 17:36

Could really do with that westerly sea breeze right now. Seems to be more warm and humid than the figures of 26/18.5 suggest. High of 27.1 so not overly warm but feeling very humid with no to little wind and high DPs

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Thu 23/02/2017 18:21

Looks like we keep the rather humid weather through next week as well, dewpoint mostly in the 15-19C range upper North Island, typical Feb.

cbm · Unread post by **cbm** » Thu 23/02/2017 20:39

Yes. Today notable for no westerly at all. Having late dinner outside under deck lights as inside still uncomfortably warm.

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NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Thu 23/02/2017 20:55

Next 10 days for Auckland look mainly fine/25C daily (Eu model).

However a subtle upper level trough will favour some thundery showers inland NI early to mid next week?

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Fri 24/02/2017 07:50

Generally a sunny week across NZ next week. There will be the isolated inland showers.

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Fri 24/02/2017 08:31

I'm of to Niue in 3 weeks so the cyclone season better stay quiet.

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