General July Weather

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Sun 02/07/2017 20:21

TonyT wrote:
Richard wrote:Hoping the hydro lakes have had a top up in the last few days. nil rainfall here and not looking like there's going to be any in the next 10 days either, surely we cant have a third dry winter in a row. Lowest ive seen the water table here during July in 16 years
Hydro lakes dont tend to get topped up in winter as most of the precip falls as snow. Its the amount of snow which falls which is significant, because that dictates how much streamflow there is when it melts.

Yep, that would be right too, but if we get any warmer northerly weather in the coming weeks there could be increased flows from the lower level snow.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Mon 03/07/2017 07:01

Looks like a significant polar trough for the deep south tomorrow.

snowykiwi · Unread post by **snowykiwi** » Mon 03/07/2017 14:22

A lovely day here in Rakaia, although the wind is starting to get a chill to it now after a rather pleasant midday temperature of 7 degrees. I see metservice have snow for Methven showing on their ten day forecast for Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday next week. I sure hope that is wrong.

Bradley · Unread post by **Bradley** » Mon 03/07/2017 16:20

snowykiwi wrote:A lovely day here in Rakaia, although the wind is starting to get a chill to it now after a rather pleasant midday temperature of 7 degrees. I see metservice have snow for Methven showing on their ten day forecast for Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday next week. I sure hope that is wrong.

Not sure where they are getting snow down to 300m asl from for next week - none of the 3 major models are forecasting that...

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Mon 03/07/2017 18:10

Bradley wrote:
snowykiwi wrote:A lovely day here in Rakaia, although the wind is starting to get a chill to it now after a rather pleasant midday temperature of 7 degrees. I see metservice have snow for Methven showing on their ten day forecast for Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday next week. I sure hope that is wrong.
Not sure where they are getting snow down to 300m asl from for next week - none of the 3 major models are forecasting that...

MetS website for Methven, i certainly wouldn't read into that though, looking like the weather system will be more a east to north east flow.

Orion · Unread post by **Orion** » Tue 04/07/2017 08:30

Some dense and snowy-looking cloud going over here at the moment; 4.2deg.
Just raining

Edit to add: Methven Spy reports graupel and very cold there.

Orion · Unread post by **Orion** » Tue 04/07/2017 08:42

Very dark mammatus cloud to north-east of Ashburton now.

snowykiwi · Unread post by **snowykiwi** » Tue 04/07/2017 09:00

hail showers here in rakaia

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Tue 04/07/2017 09:13

Largely breaking up and fizzling before it gets here. Some brief patchy rain and that's about it

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Tue 04/07/2017 09:17

Just a couple of showers here too

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Tue 04/07/2017 11:50

Woke up to a hail shower at a quarter to six this morning and that was it .
Fine and sunny for the morning with a light westerly blowing.

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Tue 04/07/2017 12:48

A beautiful afternoon in chch with sun and little wind and still some warmth in the sun despite it being winter.

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einzack · Unread post by **einzack** » Tue 04/07/2017 12:58

A chilly showery day here. Started out ok, with a mostly sunny, but cool morning, but from about 11:30 it's turned a bit nastier with some showers coming through on a gusty at times SW. Currently 5.9°C.

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Tue 04/07/2017 16:54

Received .6mm from a couple of showers this morning, then its been a moderate NW since 1.00pm.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Tue 04/07/2017 22:14

Early to mid next week I am interested in. Looks cold, but will the moisture hold?

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Wed 05/07/2017 07:24

Airmass looking unstable over next few days for Auckland with heavy showers. Mild temperatures.
Thunder may to be heard at same stage over the next few days.

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Wed 05/07/2017 07:48

I'm going to the game Saturday how's it looking then?

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Bradley · Unread post by **Bradley** » Wed 05/07/2017 08:01

Razor wrote:Early to mid next week I am interested in. Looks cold, but will the moisture hold?

EC has gone cold on it though GFS is still interested, let's hope we get something - this winter has been extremely uninteresting to date!

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Wed 05/07/2017 09:19

Bradley wrote:
Razor wrote:Early to mid next week I am interested in. Looks cold, but will the moisture hold?
EC has gone cold on it though GFS is still interested, let's hope we get something - this winter has been extremely uninteresting to date!

Yes it could just as easily be a 'critical SW' flow and everything staying to sea

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Wed 05/07/2017 10:31

melja wrote:I'm going to the game Saturday how's it looking then?

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Unfortunately heavy showers will arrive from the west Saturday evening.

Thunder081 · Unread post by **Thunder081** » Wed 05/07/2017 10:56

A boring winter so far indeed.

Thunder081 · Unread post by **Thunder081** » Wed 05/07/2017 11:28

Lots of rain in westland last week.

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Wed 05/07/2017 11:36

Was indeed, 140 odd mm in the 2 days I was there and that was down on the flat not the mountains.

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Bradley · Unread post by **Bradley** » Wed 05/07/2017 16:35

Bradley wrote:
Razor wrote:Early to mid next week I am interested in. Looks cold, but will the moisture hold?
EC has gone cold on it though GFS is still interested, let's hope we get something - this winter has been extremely uninteresting to date!

Latest GFS has it more of a straight southerly, let's hope that holds!

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Wed 05/07/2017 22:27

Next week suggests the coldest week of the year so far. Will be keeping eye on it. But not getting excited unless it stays that way 48 hrs prior to the event. Then will make a prediction.. the models as of late have been a teaser in witch iv been keeping quiet about things for awhile.

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