Australian Weather

Discussion of weather and climate outside of NZ's waters. Australian weather, tropical cyclones and USA storm chasing feature here.
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Willoughby
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by Willoughby »

https://twitter.com/MattHope4/status/11 ... 08480?s=19

The latest:

Two people have died near Glen Innes,

seven others remain unaccounted for

100 homes have been destroyed in New South Wales, says the NSW RFS 

At least 30 people have been injured

Two fires remain at Emergency level of threat in NSW

One fire is at Emergency level in QLD

From : https://mobile.abc.net.au/news/2019-11- ... g/11688594
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by tgsnoopy »

I'm currently at BNE soon heading back to AKL. I was shocked at the amount of smoke. Lets hope no more lives are lost, material things can be replaced.
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by Willoughby »

The BoM and the NSW Rural Fire Service upgrade Tuesday's fire danger to a rare Catastrophic over greater Sydney and the Blue Mountains and northwards to the Central Coast.
Based on latest forecasts from the Bureau of Meteorology, the following fire danger ratings are expected on Tuesday. These are subject to change as forecasts are updated:
› Catastrophic – Greater Sydney and Greater Hunter (including the Blue Mountains and Central Coast areas)
› Extreme – North Coast, Illawarra/Shoalhaven, Central Ranges, Northern Slopes and North Western
› Severe – Far North Coast, New England, Far South Coast, Southern Ranges, Lower Central West Plains

This is the first time since new Fire Danger Ratings were introduced in 2009 that Catastrophic fire danger has been forecast for Sydney.
https://www.rfs.nsw.gov.au/news-and-med ... r/_nocache
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by Willoughby »

Thoughts with the NSW people today, any new fires will get well out of control, with only a respite coming late with the southerly buster - but even that will be blustery.

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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by Cyclone Tracy »

1.20pm Sydney time water vapour image with surface obs showing the surface trough ahead of the cold front with humidity readings increasing behind the trough....but humidity in single figures in many areas ahead of the trough. Mean winds currently strong, multiple gusts over 90 km/h around the Illawarra and south coast.
OZ water vapour 1.20pm Sydney local time.jpg
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by Cyclone Tracy »

Radar showing a fire is getting hold about 70 km NW of Sydney in the last hour. Wind gusting around 60 to 80km in this area, embers would travel several km's with those speeds.
Radar 2.20pm.jpg
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by Richard »

Smoke doesn't seem as bad so far as Friday
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by Chris W »

So I'm in Noosa, this was not planned but right in the firing line. Can't cover the hire car, but nothing to be done about that now!
Screenshot_20191116-163046_Firefox.jpg
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by Chris W »

Mostly just heavy rain in Noosa, but got the works on the drive back to Brisbane! Wow.
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by tgsnoopy »

Chris W wrote: Sun 17/11/2019 00:42 Mostly just heavy rain in Noosa, but got the works on the drive back to Brisbane! Wow.
Hopefully some photo's or videos for us later :-)
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by Chris W »

Sorry, it was all as I was driving so I couldn't get anything! Today has a high risk of storms for Brisbane so I'll see what I can get. Also a severe fire danger, extreme in parts.
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by Chris W »

Had a few rumbles earlier this afternoon in Chapel Hill, likely from a storm to the north that became a supercell near Caloundra. Between Caloundra and Noosa is where all the action happened yesterday on the drive back. Looks like today's action is done.

In the morning it was really hazy due to smoke, I took this from Mt Coot-tha around lunchtime:
20191117_120342.jpg
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by Willoughby »

Crazy video from the Sunshine Coast... Softball size and even bigger!
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by BeaconHill »

The smoke from the bush fires is affected Sydney badly again this morning. Here’s yesterday:
03D48B78-38A3-486C-A1CA-22E90B0EE866.jpeg
Vs today:
F436FAB9-357E-4EAF-918B-8DC5E351A735.jpeg
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by tgsnoopy »

I do hope they get some rain soon...
https://www.weatherwatch.net.au/weather ... nd-beyond/
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by Cyclone Tracy »

30 to 50cm across the Australian Alps so far. Powerful southerly fetch from the southern ocean into NSW.
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Re: Australian Weather

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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by Richard »

But has that snow disappeared already, cant see it on satellite
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by Willoughby »

Sydney, Newcastle once again shrouded in thick smoke - more out of control fires today with the extreme fire weather conditions.
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by Willoughby »

Another valuable way of looking at anomaly maps can be used with standard deviation to see how many steps above (or below) the data is outside of the bell-curve for any given location.

Temperature anomalies (standard deviation) at 1000 hPa for 0600 UTC today:
A massive 5 steps above standard deviation for SW WA, SE QLD, Top End and Kimberley.
image.png
Perth forecast high 42C, Brisbane 36C, Timber Creek NT 46C

This is seriously CRAZY !!!
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by Richard »

Brisbane up to 39deg today, Gatton 43deg 8-o 8-o
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by Awhituobs »

I see that the sea temperatures around much of Australia are warming up quickly and the indian ocean di pole is lessening fast too as the sea is quickly warming up off indonesia.
could be a pattern change occur in a month or , i.e could be a good monsoon low form in the center and more rain to eastern areas etc as could switch to la nina type pattern? (but a la nina pattern without actually having a la nina?)
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by Awhituobs »

wow, water temperatures around OZ (except Tasy) just keep on getting warmer and warmer
the way its trending with the current stuck weather pattern its got to be heading for some sort of record?
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by Willoughby »

Absolutely horrendous smoke in Sydney today:
image.png
https://webcamsydney.com/

Sydney forecast high 36C and severe fire dangers
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Re: Australian Weather

Unread post by BeaconHill »

Friend in Sydney said their building was evacuated late morning as smoke alarm went off. From the picture below, I can see why!)
Seen reports on twitter of other buildings in CBD are having similar issues.

Yesterday afternoon
Yesterday.jpg
Today 1120am
Today 1120am.jpg
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