General February Weather

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Wed 31/01/2018 23:04

A cooler month than Janaury, maybe?

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Thu 01/02/2018 22:17

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: ↑Wed 31/01/2018 23:04 A cooler month than Janaury, maybe?

Heres hoping...not so far tho!

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Fri 02/02/2018 21:17

Interesting with low temperatures in the south today with some snow there on the hills.
Quite a contrast to the last week or so of last month.

RWood · Unread post by **RWood** » Fri 02/02/2018 23:34

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: ↑Wed 31/01/2018 23:04 A cooler month than Janaury, maybe?

According to that well-known weather expert Kate Hawkesby, we are now in the hottest month of the year.

I'd like to know just when the advocates for moved holidays plan to keep the kids in school ...

Chris W · Unread post by **Chris W** » Sat 03/02/2018 12:04

Interesting storm risk for tomorrow, first real risk I've seen for Christchurch for a while with Metservice going for moderate along the south island east coast. Severe risk up north.

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Sat 03/02/2018 21:19

Got to wonder about metservice forecasts at times.. There saying a chance of thunderstorms, for Canterbury tomorrow but iv checked the models and see nothing.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Sat 03/02/2018 22:35

Have to wait and see, there Mikey

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sun 04/02/2018 07:58

mikestormchaser wrote: ↑Sat 03/02/2018 21:19 Got to wonder about metservice forecasts at times.. There saying a chance of thunderstorms, for Canterbury tomorrow but iv checked the models and see nothing.

The wider Dunedin area looks the most likely spot today. 700mb temps quite cold at -3.5C.

A significant polar trough affecting the South Island late tomorrow/early Tuesday. Coastal to offshore lightning looking likely from Southland to Canterbury.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sun 04/02/2018 08:07

Cool grey morning in Auckland with temp on 15C. Hoping the skies clear up a bit for pm convection chances.

David · Unread post by **David** » Sun 04/02/2018 12:20

Some very heavy downpours up north today. Some stations near Kamo, Whangarei showing a particularly heavy one early this morning. This one shows 74mm in 40 minutes https://www.wunderground.com/personal-w ... ?ID=IKAMO2

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sun 04/02/2018 23:15

A lightning flash /thunder observed here just now, rain about to arrive according to the radar.

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Mon 05/02/2018 06:23

I see a low risk of a storm witch may skirt up the coast of Canterbury later on tonight.
Looks like a wee trough whips a cross about midnight with cold upper air.
Very coastal though

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Mon 05/02/2018 06:34

spwill wrote: ↑Sun 04/02/2018 23:15 A lightning flash /thunder observed here just now, rain about to arrive according to the radar.

Short downpour here last night with a quick 13mm.

Already have the Feb rainfall quota of 75mm.

Gfs has a cyclone about 16th?

Cyclone Tracy · Unread post by **Cyclone Tracy** » Mon 05/02/2018 09:56

Just missed last night's little downpour again, only 1mm. Might be luckier with the good showers coming from the north this morning.

GFS scenario certainly is interesting for the cyclone, decent size warm core in transition. IMO, a little too early to take serious but GFS has liked similar scenario's a few times now in the last few days.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Mon 05/02/2018 10:29

The radar showed some nice heavy showers on the North Shore last night, hit and miss.

Some convergence to cross Auckland next two or 3 hrs, showers developing now, timing is better for thunder out to the east this afternoon.
Current weather, building clouds, 22C, dp18C

David · Unread post by **David** » Mon 05/02/2018 11:10

Good heating today, 24C with 18C dewpoint here currently

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Mon 05/02/2018 11:25

Just came through an intense shower with some light flooding in Mt Roskill

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Mon 05/02/2018 13:25

Thunder in Hamilton.

Tornado Tim · Unread post by **Tornado Tim** » Mon 05/02/2018 13:43

Good rumbles of Thunder now.....going to get hit soon

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 05/02/2018 13:48

Gone stiff southerly here after a brief period of westerlies.
Temperature dropping and clouding up.

Cyclone Tracy · Unread post by **Cyclone Tracy** » Mon 05/02/2018 14:02

26c and 21c DP here, full sun and its bubbling all around.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Mon 05/02/2018 14:57

Getting some beefy showers in central Auckland. 10mm last hr.

David · Unread post by **David** » Mon 05/02/2018 15:15

Convergence line surprisingly weak here, pretty dark clouds that went over only delivering light rain

Cyclone Tracy · Unread post by **Cyclone Tracy** » Mon 05/02/2018 15:38

Another fizzer here. Big drops and then it all collapsed. Another 1mm

Edit: zero wind here now, clouds still bubbling around here.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 05/02/2018 17:31

Fizzer down here too. Cold southerly moved in around 2pm, with low stratus moving in and covering the sky but then I see it is still NW in ChCh.
According to MS, it's supposed to go back to the west here??

Cant see it, should remain uninteresting through to, whenever

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