General May Weather

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Fri 25/05/2018 15:22

Razor wrote: ↑Fri 25/05/2018 11:54 Incoming Christchurch...

You could see the back end of that cloud from Geraldine.

Thunder081 · Unread post by **Thunder081** » Fri 25/05/2018 16:52

Rain radar timelapse of thunderstorms in the Lower North Island on tuesday night 22nd May 2018

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Fri 25/05/2018 17:10

Drove down to north Waikato at sunrise this morning as there was quite a bit of lightning down that way.
Got this photo of a Cb + distant lightning strike

David · Unread post by **David** » Fri 25/05/2018 17:46

Here's a photo I snapped just after 5pm today out walking in the local area. Shower cloud over central Auckland just before sunset.

Chris W · Unread post by **Chris W** » Fri 25/05/2018 19:36

Coming onshore now, a very heavy shower a little earlier as I returned from the new workplace in Amberley and something intense approaching on the radar now. I was out at Motunau beach earlier in the day and there were some wonderful anvil forms in all directions.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Fri 25/05/2018 20:57

A little bit of lightning seen west of Auckland.

Thunder081 · Unread post by **Thunder081** » Fri 25/05/2018 21:39

Pics from thunderstorms in the manawatu last night

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Dean. · Unread post by **Dean.** » Sat 26/05/2018 06:48

Looks a mainly fine weekend here.Any fronts look very coastal.A clear frosty morning.
Next weekend onwards looks interesting with a low brewing in the Tasman.

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Sat 26/05/2018 07:54

Yes a cut off low thats looking more a certainty now as we get closer.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Sat 26/05/2018 08:55

20mm here overnight, more than expected!

Bradley · Unread post by **Bradley** » Sat 26/05/2018 11:41

Metservice now forecasting snow about the port hills first thing Monday...

Chris W · Unread post by **Chris W** » Sat 26/05/2018 16:05

Richard wrote: ↑Sat 26/05/2018 07:54 Yes a cut off low thats looking more a certainty now as we get closer.

Had a look through on Metvuw’s precipitation and pressure charts yesterday, looks potentially nasty if it comes off.

Cyclone Tracy · Unread post by **Cyclone Tracy** » Sat 26/05/2018 19:09

Latest EC still showing a sharp upper polar injection on system 4 into eastern parts of both Islands early Monday morning. I can see why MS has snow about the Port Hills in there forecast for Christchurch as mentioned by Bradley. If EC and Icon verify, around -30c at 500 hPa, 13c SST, 2c to 4c surface air temps, freezing levels near 500m and a southerly moisture transporter...low snow on that side of NZ is a chance.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sat 26/05/2018 21:00

Looking like snow over the central North Island Monday. Desert Road will probably close as it often does in winter events.

Dean. · Unread post by **Dean.** » Sat 26/05/2018 21:30

Cyclone Tracy wrote: ↑Sat 26/05/2018 19:09 Latest EC still showing a sharp upper polar injection on system 4 into eastern parts of both Islands early Monday morning. I can see why MS has snow about the Port Hills in there forecast for Christchurch as mentioned by Bradley. If EC and Icon verify, around -30c at 500 hPa, 13c SST, 2c to 4c surface air temps, freezing levels near 500m and a southerly moisture transporter...low snow on that side of NZ is a chance.

A non event south of Banks Peninsula...a frosty week to come

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sun 27/05/2018 08:21

A robust shortwave this afternoon may produce isolated thunder for Auckland/Waikato. 500mb temp -25C on ukmet but that looks to be the hieght of the trop as well, so low topped cb's.

850mb temp tomorrow over Auckland could be as low as -2C which corresponds to a max of about 12C.
27 May 2014 was the last time we had a May day that cold.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sun 27/05/2018 08:44

NZstorm wrote: ↑Sun 27/05/2018 08:21
850mb temp tomorrow over Auckland could be as low as -2C which corresponds to a max of about 12C.
2014 was the last time we had a May day that cold.

On a brighter note it will be a mainly sunny week ahead but temperatures below average.
A Tasman low next weekend will bring in milder weather with rain or showers in the mix.

Nev · Unread post by **Nev** » Sun 27/05/2018 08:54

Nev wrote: ↑Fri 25/05/2018 06:25 I see Cape Turnagain went on to record gusts of 220 km/h before 8pm last night, which I think beats its previous record of 213 km/h set just last month on April 10 (although no mention in NIWA's April summary) and its 209 km/h prior to that in Nov 2014. Also makes it the 10th 7th time Cape Turnagain has recorded gusts over 200 km/h during its somewhat checkered 9.5 year history.

Seems I spoke too soon. During the hour to 3am on Friday morning Cape Turnagain recorded gusts to 232 km/h according to MS.

Note though that the Cape Turnagain AWS is an ultrasonic Vaisala WXT520 that was replaced 5 times in 7 months between Oct 2015 and Apr 2016, so possibly not the most reliable WS...

Cyclone Tracy · Unread post by **Cyclone Tracy** » Sun 27/05/2018 09:30

Quick question to the group, when did it last snow in Christchurch in May? (including non settling flurries)

snowykiwi · Unread post by **snowykiwi** » Sun 27/05/2018 10:09

Just looked back at the photos for the years living in Christchurch and the earliest snowfalls (flurries) I can recall in Christchurch have been in June - that's between 1985 and 2013.

snowchaser01 · Unread post by **snowchaser01** » Sun 27/05/2018 10:48

Cyclone Tracy wrote: ↑Sun 27/05/2018 09:30 Quick question to the group, when did it last snow in Christchurch in May? (including non settling flurries)

It snowed to about 200m on the Port Hills on the 28th of May 2013. If that is included as Christchurch? Or were you referring to sea level flurries?

Cyclone Tracy · Unread post by **Cyclone Tracy** » Sun 27/05/2018 12:08

Thanks snowykiwi and snowchaser01, interesting to know.

EC's run this morning (12Z) is suggesting sleet and flurries in central Christchurch in the early hours of tomorrow morning between midnight and 3am, which based on history is very rare in May and not likely it seems. With freezing levels around 500 to 600m, EC is suggesting that super cooling might be taking place in the melting and evaporation process, so snow levels drop well below the freezing level. Time will tell I suppose

snowchaser01 · Unread post by **snowchaser01** » Sun 27/05/2018 12:10

Cyclone Tracy wrote: ↑Sun 27/05/2018 12:08 Thanks snowykiwi and snowchaser01, interesting to know.

EC's run this morning (12Z) is suggesting sleet and flurries in central Christchurch in the early hours of tomorrow morning between midnight and 3am, which based on history is very rare in May and not likely it seems. With freezing levels around 500 to 600m, EC is suggesting that super cooling might be taking place in the melting and evaporation process, so snow levels drop well below the freezing level. Time will tell I suppose

Very interesting indeed... might need a late night so I can witness something that rare. I would be surprised but stranger things have happened.

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Sun 27/05/2018 16:37

Cyclone Tracy wrote: ↑Sun 27/05/2018 09:30 Quick question to the group, when did it last snow in Christchurch in May? (including non settling flurries)

There was a light dusting (mixed with hail) on an evening of late May 2013. Plus non-settling flurries reported in 2006, 2009, and 2014. Back in May 1988, there was a blanketing in the city, which apparently lay around for a week in fine, frosty weather. (I wasn't there at the time)

Orion · Unread post by **Orion** » Sun 27/05/2018 16:52

^ Around May 20, 1988 - snowfall, followed by hard frost in Ashburton.

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