NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: Fri 24/08/2018 17:28
A bit of rain overnight dropped a bit of snow over Mt' Peel and a sprinkling along the 4 peaks.
First for a while.
Some snow to 900 metres overnight in the high country cleared to a mild day at Lake Emma
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NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: Sun 26/08/2018 12:54
Yes, yet another stunning wall to wall day of blue sky down here.
When will it end?
Wish I could say the same for here... the weather was forecast to be fairly nice today but it turns out to be mostly grey skies, even some drizzly bits around this morning. Not feeling like Spring at all recently.
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: Sun 26/08/2018 12:54
Yes, yet another stunning wall to wall day of blue sky down here.
When will it end?
Wish I could say the same for here... the weather was forecast to be fairly nice today but it turns out to be mostly grey skies, even some drizzly bits around this morning. Not feeling like Spring at all recently.
That was us yesterday. MetService forecast all day said fine with SW dieing away. Well what we had was a strong SW with shower after shower all day. That forecast was a shocker.
Yeah, that SW flow didn't quite tilt S enough as early as thought. At least got the promised sun today here. Hit 18.0C on my outdoor sensor. Have tried hard to prevent it getting heated by solar radiation or in sheltered warmth but that's almost impossible to avoid in suburbia.
Suspect wont quite see frost again in town as too much heat absorbed by urban landscape. In June that was less of a factor.
Ironic in a winter that is running above average temp in large parts and many of us commenting on lack of frosts (or at least hard frosts), the Whakapapa upper snow base has gone over 3m.
Can see no rocks at all from the Westridge cam since the last storm, that means a very solid base down quite low, has not happened for a few years.
David wrote: Sun 26/08/2018 16:17
Wish I could say the same for here... the weather was forecast to be fairly nice today but it turns out to be mostly grey skies, even some drizzly bits around this morning. Not feeling like Spring at all recently.
With El Nino it's possible we could end up with a cruddy cool overcast spring in Auckland due to cool stable SW in Tasman. That trend could establish by October. Hopefully not.
Get ready for some big model downgrades and upgrades over the next 7 days… models struggle with cut off lows and this Tasman cyclonic gyre currently forming off NSW should cut off from the westerly flow within 24 hours. Fairly decent synoptic scale system with an occluded front forming a vigorous moist northerly flow into the NI. Atmospheric river will flow hard from the sub tropics over parts of the NI as the week goes on.
Will be looking at next week too.
Looking a various model sources - in particular if the ECMWF correct there is a significant upper trough sweeping through, forecast early next week.
Severe Squalls/ Storms, Snow the lot.....
Will be def be keeping an eye on the prognostics on that upcoming time frame....
But overall looking like a very disturbed weather pattern in the next fortnight.....
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On the surface , Antarctica is now in the deep freeze stage and will start to warm as the tropospheric polar vortex weakens and balloons towards the mid latitudes.
Long wave trough now has a big target on NZ early next week.
It seems to be all coming together for a wild lead up to the equinox
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Nice one, there, Richard.
I did notice that on the radar.
Dull day here in Geraldine. Cloudy all day and rather cool.
A bit of change to the lovely fine weather we have been getting lately.
Saturday through Tuesday is looking potentially quite wild, minor variations but GFS and EC both going windy and cold. I really should add however, before that it looks very wet for the North Island.
, thought ya must have bought yourself a nice camera for your requirement
