General October Weather

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NZ Thunderstorm Soc
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Richard wrote: Wed 24/10/2018 21:06 Yes and there were many more towns down your way too :D
I won't reveal today's maximum until my report after 10pm, but it was sure a hot day here as mucking around in the sun with some firewood I bought for next winter from the local Rotary.
Anyway, there some weak looking Cu clouds lurking around the 4 Peaks/Mt. Peel area, this afternoon.
Here's the best shot I took.
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by Cyclone Tracy »

It seems a powerful upper cold core cyclone will deform and interact the polar jet with the subtropical jet early next week around the top of the NI. The associated propagating Rossby wave trough and upper polar injection, makes this very interesting. If enough subtropical atmospheric fuel is drawn into this set up, it may become a cyclonic cut off surface low and deepen somewhere near the east coasts of the NI and SI.

MS will be monitoring this one quite closely, I would expect this to start coming onto the severe weather outlook today or tomorrow. Back to the popcorn :smile:
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TonyT
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by TonyT »

Cyclone Tracy wrote: Thu 25/10/2018 12:03 It seems a powerful upper cold core cyclone will deform and interact the polar jet with the subtropical jet early next week around the top of the NI. The associated propagating Rossby wave trough and upper polar injection, makes this very interesting. If enough subtropical atmospheric fuel is drawn into this set up, it may become a cyclonic cut off surface low and deepen somewhere near the east coasts of the NI and SI.

MS will be monitoring this one quite closely, I would expect this to start coming onto the severe weather outlook today or tomorrow. Back to the popcorn :smile:
The 12Z EC and UK runs had this feature deepening only a little and moving away fairly quickly, but I agree, its the type of system which could very easily sit for a day east of Cook Strait deepening as it does so.
tich
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by tich »

TonyT wrote: Thu 25/10/2018 14:47 The 12Z EC and UK runs had this feature deepening only a little and moving away fairly quickly, but I agree, its the type of system which could very easily sit for a day east of Cook Strait deepening as it does so.
I hope not - I'm visiting Kaikoura early next week. (Mon-Wed)
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by melja »

Good drop of rain here in Rangiora this arvo, up to 15mm so far.

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Chris W
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by Chris W »

Increasingly poor driving conditions heading back from Kaikõura this afternoon, and very heavy rain around Amberley as indicated by the large red radar echo. It is now dry in Chch, but some good rain for the garden and hopefully the hydro lakes.
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Lovely day here in Geraldine with 21mm to 6pm and nice to see decent falls recorded at Levels as well :smile:
Lots of people I spoke today have really welcomed the rain :D
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Richard
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Re: General October Weather

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Not as much rain here with only 9mm
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by David »

3mm here early morning which is the best rain in 2 weeks
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by jamie »

Heard the rain in the night. Looks like a couple mm but no idea why the station recorded nothing. No spiders to blame this this. Maybe new leaves blocking the reception


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cbm
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by cbm »

5.0mm at Hamilton Aero AWS but only 1.4mm on a Davis I administer where family farm only 10km SE of there.
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Re: General October Weather

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Looking like some rain for the North island later today. I don't expect too much precip here but 10mm on the cards. Fronts in this type of set up typically get a bit more active over eastern Northland/Auckland. So maybe some brief heavy falls will make it onto east Auckland overnight. Possible thunder eastern Northland as well.
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by spwill »

There has been plenty of settled weather this October, one of the better Octobers.
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

spwill wrote: Sat 27/10/2018 09:23 There has been plenty of settled weather this October
I agree, but however looks like a cool wet weather scenario to end the month off down here. :-k
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by BeaconHill »

Some amazing clouds over Napier this afternoon via https://mobile.twitter.com/brenakiwi
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Richard
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by Richard »

Wow they are neat looking Mammatus cloud
NZ Thunderstorm Soc
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

BeaconHill wrote: Sat 27/10/2018 17:05 Some amazing clouds over Napier this afternoon via https://mobile.twitter.com/brenakiwi
Nice Boobs ;)
This photograph should on TVNZ's or TV3's weather. :D
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by spwill »

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: Sat 27/10/2018 12:50
spwill wrote: Sat 27/10/2018 09:23 There has been plenty of settled weather this October
I agree, but however looks like a cool wet weather scenario to end the month off down here. :-k
Some heavy rain arrived here late afternoon for the start of an unsettled spell across the country. The rain will be needed.
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NZstorm
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by NZstorm »

Looks like Whangarei Airport got the high today with 23C.

Dunedin Airport had thunder on the 4.30pm ob.
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

NZstorm wrote: Sat 27/10/2018 19:27 Dunedin Airport had thunder on the 4.30pm ob.
I wouldn't be surprised as the sky today this afternoon looked interesting.
Just had a heavy shower move through with some hail. No sound of thunder though :smile:
Took some photos which I will post later.
JohnGaul
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

A heavy shower with some hail moved through here moving west to east abot 8pm this evening.
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David
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by David »

Collected 17mm of welcome rain here since 5pm yesterday.
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by Nev »

We had 36mm of very welcome rain here since just before 6pm (72mm mtd). :smile:
Sun's breaking through now.
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by Cyclone Tracy »

12mm for here. The next Tasman low looks good but it lacks a significant atmospheric river from the subtropics to make it pop. Should still deliver some reasonable falls in the next few days.
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by mikestormchaser »

Next week is looking unsettled, with a couple of thunder chances.
Thursday the gfs has been indicating something for a few days now the 500mb temp for a start is -32!!
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