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Re: General October Weather
Posted: Wed 24/10/2018 21:42
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Richard wrote: ↑Wed 24/10/2018 21:06
Yes and there were many more towns down your way too
I won't reveal today's maximum until my report after 10pm, but it was sure a hot day here as mucking around in the sun with some firewood I bought for next winter from the local Rotary.
Anyway, there some weak looking Cu clouds lurking around the 4 Peaks/Mt. Peel area, this afternoon.
Here's the best shot I took.
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Thu 25/10/2018 12:03
by Cyclone Tracy
It seems a powerful upper cold core cyclone will deform and interact the polar jet with the subtropical jet early next week around the top of the NI. The associated propagating Rossby wave trough and upper polar injection, makes this very interesting. If enough subtropical atmospheric fuel is drawn into this set up, it may become a cyclonic cut off surface low and deepen somewhere near the east coasts of the NI and SI.
MS will be monitoring this one quite closely, I would expect this to start coming onto the severe weather outlook today or tomorrow. Back to the popcorn
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Thu 25/10/2018 14:47
by TonyT
Cyclone Tracy wrote: ↑Thu 25/10/2018 12:03
It seems a powerful upper cold core cyclone will deform and interact the polar jet with the subtropical jet early next week around the top of the NI. The associated propagating Rossby wave trough and upper polar injection, makes this very interesting. If enough subtropical atmospheric fuel is drawn into this set up, it may become a cyclonic cut off surface low and deepen somewhere near the east coasts of the NI and SI.
MS will be monitoring this one quite closely, I would expect this to start coming onto the severe weather outlook today or tomorrow. Back to the popcorn
The 12Z EC and UK runs had this feature deepening only a little and moving away fairly quickly, but I agree, its the type of system which could very easily sit for a day east of Cook Strait deepening as it does so.
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Thu 25/10/2018 16:01
by tich
TonyT wrote: ↑Thu 25/10/2018 14:47
The 12Z EC and UK runs had this feature deepening only a little and moving away fairly quickly, but I agree, its the type of system which could very easily sit for a day east of Cook Strait deepening as it does so.
I hope not - I'm visiting Kaikoura early next week. (Mon-Wed)
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Thu 25/10/2018 17:43
by melja
Good drop of rain here in Rangiora this arvo, up to 15mm so far.
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Re: General October Weather
Posted: Thu 25/10/2018 18:20
by Chris W
Increasingly poor driving conditions heading back from Kaikõura this afternoon, and very heavy rain around Amberley as indicated by the large red radar echo. It is now dry in Chch, but some good rain for the garden and hopefully the hydro lakes.
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Thu 25/10/2018 18:46
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Lovely day here in Geraldine with 21mm to 6pm and nice to see decent falls recorded at Levels as well
Lots of people I spoke today have really welcomed the rain
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Thu 25/10/2018 20:16
by Richard
Not as much rain here with only 9mm
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Fri 26/10/2018 07:36
by David
3mm here early morning which is the best rain in 2 weeks
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Fri 26/10/2018 08:22
by jamie
Heard the rain in the night. Looks like a couple mm but no idea why the station recorded nothing. No spiders to blame this this. Maybe new leaves blocking the reception
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Re: General October Weather
Posted: Fri 26/10/2018 13:34
by cbm
5.0mm at Hamilton Aero AWS but only 1.4mm on a Davis I administer where family farm only 10km SE of there.
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Sat 27/10/2018 08:12
by NZstorm
Looking like some rain for the North island later today. I don't expect too much precip here but 10mm on the cards. Fronts in this type of set up typically get a bit more active over eastern Northland/Auckland. So maybe some brief heavy falls will make it onto east Auckland overnight. Possible thunder eastern Northland as well.
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Sat 27/10/2018 09:23
by spwill
There has been plenty of settled weather this October, one of the better Octobers.
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Sat 27/10/2018 12:50
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
spwill wrote: ↑Sat 27/10/2018 09:23
There has been plenty of settled weather this October
I agree, but however looks like a cool wet weather scenario to end the month off down here.
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Sat 27/10/2018 17:05
by BeaconHill
Some amazing clouds over Napier this afternoon via
https://mobile.twitter.com/brenakiwi
FE3EB03C-F9EE-4C9D-AD36-0D0F25B46107.jpeg
030E5551-8F38-4362-8052-59983038D31D.jpeg
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Sat 27/10/2018 17:36
by Richard
Wow they are neat looking Mammatus cloud
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Sat 27/10/2018 18:27
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Nice Boobs
This photograph should on TVNZ's or TV3's weather.
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Sat 27/10/2018 18:54
by spwill
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: ↑Sat 27/10/2018 12:50
spwill wrote: ↑Sat 27/10/2018 09:23
There has been plenty of settled weather this October
I agree, but however looks like a cool wet weather scenario to end the month off down here.
Some heavy rain arrived here late afternoon for the start of an unsettled spell across the country. The rain will be needed.
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Sat 27/10/2018 19:27
by NZstorm
Looks like Whangarei Airport got the high today with 23C.
Dunedin Airport had thunder on the 4.30pm ob.
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Sat 27/10/2018 20:33
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
NZstorm wrote: ↑Sat 27/10/2018 19:27
Dunedin Airport had thunder on the 4.30pm ob.
I wouldn't be surprised as the sky today this afternoon looked interesting.
Just had a heavy shower move through with some hail. No sound of thunder though
Took some photos which I will post later.
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Sat 27/10/2018 21:13
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
A heavy shower with some hail moved through here moving west to east abot 8pm this evening.
Some photos
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Sun 28/10/2018 07:31
by David
Collected 17mm of welcome rain here since 5pm yesterday.
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Sun 28/10/2018 07:38
by Nev
We had 36mm of very welcome rain here since just before 6pm (72mm mtd).
Sun's breaking through now.
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Sun 28/10/2018 07:50
by Cyclone Tracy
12mm for here. The next Tasman low looks good but it lacks a significant atmospheric river from the subtropics to make it pop. Should still deliver some reasonable falls in the next few days.
Re: General October Weather
Posted: Sun 28/10/2018 10:43
by mikestormchaser
Next week is looking unsettled, with a couple of thunder chances.
Thursday the gfs has been indicating something for a few days now the 500mb temp for a start is -32!!