Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by David »

Distant thunder heard here, looks like S/SE Auckland from the radar
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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by melja »

Nothing happening in kaikoura, cloudy and dry as far as 130pm.
SH 1 south of kaikoura closing at 6pm for some reason, not sure why as no water anywhere.

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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by Chris W »

Overnight tonight through Wednesday looks very wet for Kaikõura, so they're likely getting ahead of that.
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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by Chris Raine »

Drying out in Southland with a fresh to strong easterly and temps in the low 20's .Good for gardening and lawn mowing .No sign of any substantive rain here until end of next week may be
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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by Thunder081 »

All the rain in the lower North Island so far the Tararuas and Rimutakas are blocking a lot of that easterly rain.

Wellington southerly front timelapse: www.youtube.com/watch?v=MBl3hsuIg2Q
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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by spwill »

Non thunderstorm showers here around the middle of the day( photo) otherwise partly cloudy and a little on the humid side.

I see last hr the Whangarei area has had thunderstorms, the city showing 33.2mm on the 4pm MS reading
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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by Twister »

Quite an energized thunderstorm to the north and West of Mangawhai right now...
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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by GraemeWi »

IMG_2346a.JPG
Quite a nice anvil off to the north - not sure if it the Whangarei one or something closer that isn't showing on the radar
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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by NZstorm »

Can see that cb to north too. Radar showing hail core heading toward Leigh.
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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by David »

PWS near Whangarei shows >100mm rain this afternoon https://www.wunderground.com/personal-w ... =INTLHORA4
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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by snowchaser01 »

Certainly looking wet for much of Canterbury tomorrow afternoon. Mostly north of Christchurch...but the city could see 50mm I'd say... more the further north you go.
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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by David »

A cell blew up south of here this evening. Here's a pic I took on my evening walk.
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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by Richard »

This weather system has completely bamboozled the computer models, like so many before, only had 14mm so far and may not break the 20mm mark.
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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Yes. I've given up on this topic now as the only weather to expect from this system is overcast and boring days for the rest of the week :o :-# #-o

Roll on the next trough :-w
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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by Dean. »

Yes a lot of whoohaa over a little rain really
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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by spwill »

David wrote: Mon 26/11/2018 19:54 A cell blew up south of here this evening. Here's a pic I took on my evening walk.
Photo I took on my evening walk
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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by melja »

No rain over night again, only 3mm of drizzle yesterday.
If you were to read FB we should be underwater by now.

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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by Chris Raine »

The models show the rain is coming your way melja tomorrow
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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by Richard »

Chris Raine wrote: Tue 27/11/2018 05:14 The models show the rain is coming your way melja tomorrow
Is and will are two words that all the TV3 weather presenters deliberately use instead of 'could, may' etc, why i dont know.
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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by 03Stormchaser »

While the heavy rain is still forcasted, we should have already had 30-50mm based on model runs and forecasts, not the 10mm were sitting on.
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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by 03Stormchaser »

Also over 80mm this month compared to the 1mm in November 2017!
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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by NZstorm »

Tomorrow Wednesday looks potentially a very thundery day for Waitomo through to Bay of Plenty.
GFS showing lifted index values of -5.
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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by jamie »

NZstorm wrote:Tomorrow Wednesday looks potentially a very thundery day for Waitomo through to Bay of Plenty.
GFS showing lifted index values of -5.
Those major days seem to often blow out early


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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by melja »

The forecast says rain today with some heavy falls this afternoon for chch but clouds are breaking and it's sunny in Woolston currently.

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Re: Deep Low to Impact NZ... AGAIN (24th to 28th Nov)

Unread post by Tornado Tim »

jamie wrote: Tue 27/11/2018 08:01 Those major days seem to often blow out early
Yes, the lack of a cap can really hinder a setup where stuff initiates early then the cold outflow and cloud remnants hinder any decent remaining dtsh.

Also with the setup tomorrow winds are variable and light with height which means a cell collapse will be quick.
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