General February weather

TonyT · Unread post by **TonyT** » Fri 01/02/2019 08:00

A windy day for many to start the month, will we see another "southerly buster" event push up the east coast of the South Island during the day?

Dean. · Unread post by **Dean.** » Fri 01/02/2019 08:28

People looking forward to the cooler changel Gore on 11 degrees Dunedin 26...on its way ☺

Cyclone Tracy · Unread post by **Cyclone Tracy** » Fri 01/02/2019 10:39

Weather pattern is about to change in the next 7 days IMO. Hadley cell is now as south as it’s been since last summer, adjusting the subtropical ridge and giving an opportunity for tropical depressions to find an exit door towards the mid latitudes. At the same time, upper polar troughs dig into the ridge from the south and change the polar jet with sea surface temperatures simmering in the region. This will erupt around NZ towards mid Feb if the synoptics line up. Here is my 2 cents worth

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Fri 01/02/2019 11:40

GFS showing moist easterlies and upper level cooling next week, a recipe for showers and possible Tstorms, see how this looks in the models over the next few days, will be a change from the southwesterlies.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sat 02/02/2019 17:31

Hamilton Airport the warmest on the airport data today with 28C.

cbm · Unread post by **cbm** » Sat 02/02/2019 18:00

And still 27C , I'm only 10km East there but cool Easterly has arrived and dropped temp down to 24C. First time it's not hot in 6 days ( apart from early morning)

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NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sun 03/02/2019 18:09

I see Pukaki was 29C today after a chilly low of 4C.

Hamilton looks to be the runner up with a high of 27C after a low of 17C.

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Sun 03/02/2019 18:21

Reached 28.7 here today but not quite as cold as Pukaki on 5.4deg

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Mon 04/02/2019 06:50

Temperature 5C at Pukaki airport this morning but 19C at Mt Cook airport with a NW.

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Mon 04/02/2019 06:53

And 19 is very warm considering how high Mt Cook airport is. The NW wind has just arrived here as well.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Mon 04/02/2019 10:47

Feeling like a very hot one in the making today, as yet no sign of the dreaded easterly cooling factor. Cicada's going haywire in Hagley Park

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Mon 04/02/2019 12:08

I have experienced a warm fohn NW wind at Mt Cook at 8am and the area has miles of dry rocky river bed which will more easily heat up.

Rain chances for the North Island this week have been reducing, very dry conditions here but it is February.

Chris W · Unread post by **Chris W** » Mon 04/02/2019 13:46

33C on the Amberley weather underground site, feels about right!

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 04/02/2019 13:49

Haven't seen a cloud in the sky all day, yet, so far.
Light wind, nearly touching 30C here.

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Mon 04/02/2019 14:44

Just over 30 here and yes not a cloud to be seen

TonyT · Unread post by **TonyT** » Mon 04/02/2019 14:45

35deg in Amberley, feels like the warmest day of the summer so far.

Chris W · Unread post by **Chris W** » Mon 04/02/2019 15:44

Yes wunderground is saying 34 and it is scorching outside. Wonderful.

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Mon 04/02/2019 16:37

TonyT wrote: ↑Mon 04/02/2019 14:45 35deg in Amberley, feels like the warmest day of the summer so far.

What a contrast to Oamaru that hasn't got over 18deg today

Dean. · Unread post by **Dean.** » Mon 04/02/2019 17:06

Common for Oamaru

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 04/02/2019 17:38

Dean. wrote: ↑Mon 04/02/2019 17:06Common for Oamaru

Dunno about that. I can remember morris dancing in Oamaru one November and it was 33C

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Mon 04/02/2019 18:35

Pukaki got the high on the airport data 33C after that low of 5C.

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Mon 04/02/2019 20:58

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: ↑Mon 04/02/2019 17:38
Dean. wrote: ↑Mon 04/02/2019 17:06Common for Oamaru
Dunno about that. I can remember morris dancing in Oamaru one November and it was 33C

It is really, When it comes to that cooling onshore wind its by far the eastern SI most effected town/city.

cbm · Unread post by **cbm** » Mon 04/02/2019 21:16

If assume today's high at Ruakura was 29.0 (airport was 28.6 at 6pm), means average high for the last 7 days is 29.94! This run will extend to 9 days before it cools to a forecast 25 on Thursday.

Edit: Was eating dinner outside at 7:45pm, thinking gees, not cooling off yet. This is a Davis PWS just down the road. Wonder what caused the dewpoint to spike like that, that late. Other stations saw it to.

temp.jpg

cbm · Unread post by **cbm** » Mon 04/02/2019 21:25

Certainly getting dry now. Pain that decent plume of moisture from the tropics this weekend is too far East to be of much use to anywhere except maybe East Cape to Gisborne now.

RWood · Unread post by **RWood** » Mon 04/02/2019 22:35

Richard wrote: ↑Mon 04/02/2019 20:58
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: ↑Mon 04/02/2019 17:38

Dunno about that. I can remember morris dancing in Oamaru one November and it was 33C
It is really, When it comes to that cooling onshore wind its by far the eastern SI most effected town/city.

Musselburgh, Dunedin bests it - the 30-year means for both Oamaru AWS and Oamaru Aero AWS show their average Tmaxes are higher than Musselburgh's all year round, and by about 0.9C in December and January.

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General February weather

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