General July Weather

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tornado
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General July Weather

Unread post by tornado »

The first week of July looks to be warm and wet. both are what we needing. warmth and rain.
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Richard
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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by Richard »

looking warm and dry down this way though till at least mid week
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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by Razor »

Yes looks mild and disturbingly dry. A real crisis for the snow industry looming soon I fear

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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Razor wrote: Sun 30/06/2019 22:04 . A real crisis for the snow industry looming soon I fear ImageImage
Yes with another intense anticyclone coming our way :-$
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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by melja »

Most club ski areas aren't going to be round in 10years time with the current rate of snow level rise.

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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by Orion »

Red, red pre-sunrise sky with NW arch at present, +3.8°C.
Colour turning quickly to orange.
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Richard
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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by Richard »

melja wrote: Mon 01/07/2019 05:05 Most club ski areas aren't going to be round in 10years time with the current rate of snow level rise.

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looking around the webcams Dobson and Rainbow dont look good
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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by Cyclone Tracy »

My 2 cents worth for July.

Subtropical moisture is finally arriving around the NZ longitudes, a few days later than expected from mid June observations but it should deliver some decent totals to parts of the NI and SI this week as per TT's new thread https://www.weatherforum.nz/phpBB3/view ... f=2&t=5982.

The stratosphere and troposphere are starting to couple. A warming signal in the stratosphere has been developing through June, especially over the mid latitudes. A mild warming occurred over parts of the polar cap around 2 weeks ago. Ensembles are now showing negative zonal wind anomalies around the polar jet stream in 10 days time. The SAM index is now projecting to become negative in around 10 days from now. An aggressive outbreak of upper polar lows and strong fronts is becoming more likely in mid July when stronger long wave troughs propagate towards NZ.
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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by NZstorm »

Just glancing the latest gfs, looks like a heavy warm advective snow event possible for the volcanic plateau end of the week. Snow on Canterbury foothills as well.
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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by David »

It feels weird that it rained today with the pressure around 1030 hPa. Can't be a very common occurrence.
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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by tornado »

David wrote: Mon 01/07/2019 21:43 It feels weird that it rained today with the pressure around 1030 hPa. Can't be a very common occurrence.
it was nice and sunny for the whole morning and then light rain for the afternoon. 1 minute it did not look like it was gonna rain and then bang clouds came in started raining.
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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by Orion »

Temperature 16.5°C here at present, was around 13° a couple of hours ago.
Sounds like a gusty wind outside, cloudy sky.
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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by Richard »

18.2 here at 6.00am in July is crazy stuff, there will be heaps of snow gone I would think too.
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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by Dean. »

16 at 5am July....must be close to July minimum records around Canterbury
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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by Richard »

Dean. wrote: Wed 03/07/2019 07:42 16 at 5am July....must be close to July minimum records around Canterbury
Was that the overnight minimum?

Noticed the 10cm soil temps out in my paddock have climbed from 2.3deg on 29/6 to 6.7deg atm
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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by Dean. »

Balmy for July
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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by Skywatcher »

A new record July high temp for my station of 22.0C in a breezy NW (previous was 21.4).
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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by Captain Salty »

Is there a problem with Himawari? The same sat picture's been stuck for 24hrs on metservice and another site
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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by melja »

Not been great for the ski areas, hardly looks like mid winter.
Cheeseman and Mt Hutt.ImageImage

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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by Skywatcher »

Captain Salty wrote: Wed 03/07/2019 15:23 Is there a problem with Himawari? The same sat picture's been stuck for 24hrs on metservice and another site
Looks ok on satview: http://satview.bom.gov.au/
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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by jamie »

17.9 degrees today. My record is 18.1 back in 2012 and it was on the 28th of the month. Not the start!


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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by cbm »

Quite a drop of rain for models to predict for lowland/inland area.
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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Rained overnight but cleared away to be a nice sunny warm day for July. :smile:
NW freshoned up a bit later this afternoon.
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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by melja »

Canterbury weather updates pushing a story about snow to sea level in chch mid month, very unprofessional so far out!

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Re: General July Weather

Unread post by Bradley »

melja wrote: Fri 05/07/2019 11:56 Canterbury weather updates pushing a story about snow to sea level in chch mid month, very unprofessional so far out!

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They will say they prefaced that statement with "remember we're a long way out" so they have effectively managed people's expectations...it's a fine line that's for sure, everyone wants to be the first to forecast a big event on social media!
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