General October Weather

[Richard]

Sleet was reported here today though I didn't really notice it, 9mm fall from today's system.

[NZstorm]

I see Napier Airport on 23C this afternoon. Ashburton looked the coldest main town with the temps in single figures all day.

[Chris Raine]

Feels like winter ,Been cold here all day, cleared up by by 1100 but remained cold and the breeze did not help

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Cold day here too. The sun came out this afternoon.
Where is the ooomph in the weather?
I thought that with climate change we would get more thunderstorms and action oriented weather ??
This is pathetic?

[Dean.]

Cold day here too. The sun came out this afternoon.
Where is the ooomph in the weather?
I thought that with climate change we would get more thunderstorms and action oriented weather ??
This is pathetic?

I had a good day...jump in the car and head for the hills

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

I had a good day...jump in the car and head for the hills

Nice photos

[David]

Things starting to dry out slowly here, only 7mm rain last 10 days. Looks like we might get a moderate drop late week though.

[Cyclone Tracy]

Locally, daily mean temperature for the first week of October is 13.2c. That's a drop of 1.8c from the first week of October 2018. I've yet to crack 20c this spring, closest was 19.5c on 5 September. This time last year I'd had 11 days over 20c for spring.

[tornado]

Things starting to dry out slowly here, only 7mm rain last 10 days. Looks like we might get a moderate drop late week though.

yes you right. seems the west coast will be getting most of the rain and we get less. although rain for auckland is looking likely on friday. and next week.

[Awhituobs]

Locally, daily mean temperature for the first week of October is 13.2c. That's a drop of 1.8c from the first week of October 2018. I've yet to crack 20c this spring, closest was 19.5c on 5 September. This time last year I'd had 11 days over 20c for spring.

warming temperatures arriving now for the rest of the week (20c highs) and next week is looking warmer than normal too

[wembley]

October is traditionally the cruellest month weather wise

[tornado]

lots of lightning in the tasmin which i suspect will weaken as it gets closer.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Yes, I see that, however MS has a low or non-existence of thunderstorms for this current rain event on another thread on this forum.

[NZstorm]

lots of lightning in the tasmin which i suspect will weaken as it gets closer.

Those events are not uncommon in the western to central Tasman in mid to late spring as instability moves off Aussie. If they are going to affect NZ, they typically track toward Fiordland/Westland.

Looks like sunny 21C in Auckland today before the cloud and precip comes back tomorrow.

[tornado]

lots of lightning in the tasmin which i suspect will weaken as it gets closer.

Those events are not uncommon in the western to central Tasman in mid to late spring as instability moves off Aussie. If they are going to affect NZ, they typically track toward Fiordland/Westland.

Looks like sunny 21C in Auckland today before the cloud and precip comes back tomorrow.

yes finally a sunny day after the overcast (claggy) weather. summer is on its way.

[David]

Beautiful calm sunny morning on the harbour. Photo of fog trying to spread from the NW over the city about 8am

IMG_20191009_080649.jpg

[Cyclone Tracy]

Locally, just hit 20c for the first time since 30 May with a nice and juicy 15c DP as well.

[Cyclone Tracy]

GFS 18z starting to align with EC 12Z with the current Tasman cut off upper cold pool that originated from the polar trough over SE OZ, injecting the next Tasman low next Tuesday. This produces an upper level fujiwhara effect that fuels a mid latitude cold core cyclone around the upper NI on both models. Still plenty of time for things to change but a rogue cold pool is always interesting when interacting with moisture.

GFS 0810 18Z.jpg

[Razor]

Locally, just hit 20c for the first time since 30 May with a nice and juicy 15c DP as well.

We just hit that for the 3rd day in a row...

[David]

19.6C on my station today which makes it second warmest of Spring so far

[tornado]

beautiful day today. 20 degrees here. although the wet weather is coming back

[cbm]

Hit 22.7 on my station. Warmest day since last Autumn by a large margin. I had just cleaned and repainted the screen bright white a week or two back so should be reading as correct as can in urban environment.

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[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Looks like a week of 'clagg' coming up for the rest of the week and into next week.
I hope not.

[NZstorm]

With a bit of luck weekend will end up mainly fine for a lot of areas.

The low pressure system early next week will likely be a wind problem for exposed parts of Northland/Auckland with power cuts is those areas.

[David]

Both EC and GFS has the northern NZ low next week getting down to about 982hPa.