General November Weather

[tornado]

sunday and monday there is a chance of thunderstorms over the north island. cant confirm yet. but i see there is a chance

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Nice Guy Fawkes night here.
The dry southerly came through around 9pm and I haven't heard a single firework yet.

[tornado]

Nice Guy Fawkes night here.
The dry southerly came through around 9pm and I haven't heard a single firework yet.

theres been lots of man made fireworks here. I see theres been a bit of lighning onn the south island according to blitz so nateral storm fireworks may of happened

[David]

Low cloud base in Auckland this morning

[Chris W]

GFS has amped up the low that crosses the South Island over the weekend, some packed isobars over Chch and rainfall totals looking high as well for North Canterbury. That might change but it might be worth its own thread depending how modelling goes over the weekend.

https://www.weatheronline.co.nz/cgi-bin ... &RES=0

[tornado]

quite a bit of rain coming this weekend for the upper north island. thunder possible for sunday and maybe monday.

[Awhituobs]

Auckland city's turn to have a cooling ocean effect (reverse situation of the SW wind)
24.5c here but only now 21 c At Ricky's place as the wind increases from the NE (was nearly 24c)
update : we nearly made it to 26C before the sea breeze..and with a dew point of 17c now with the sea breeze its like summers day here
I see Jamie in the Waikato is on 26C too (a new Nov record for him) (and M/S has Hamilton City on 27.5c currently)

[Cyclone Tracy]

Interesting Sunday coming up initially for the NI. Interacting Jets, total totals over 50, K index near 38 projecting on EC. Might be quite a few rumbles. Then a robust upper trough kick starts a Cook strait surface low that cuts off east of the SI. These set ups can escalate quite quickly.

[JP.]

Very balmy evening in Christchurch, Metservice currently 20.4c at 10:45pm

[NZstorm]

A lot of storms in the Tasman tomorrow and South Island West Coast in the firing line for those. Looks like the thunder chance comes onto the upper North Island very early Sunday.

[tornado]

according to the blitz the central/western south island had lots of thunderstorms overnight. quite a bit of strikes recorded.

[spwill]

Possibly a NE flow running into a northerly for local convergence on Sunday.

[Awhituobs]

that setup, with the high humidity, has produced a nado in Auckland before...(more of an autumn thing though?)

[Razor]

What a stunningly warm start to November. 26 degrees already again as at 9am here in SW ChCh.

If the forecast holds true we'll be easily running 2.5-3 degrees warmer than average for month to date by Sunday, certainly offsetting the "cooler" September and October

[Awhituobs]

certainly has been a topsy turvy spring temperature wise
wasn't that long ago we were getting hail showers here lol

[JP.]

What a stunningly warm start to November. 26 degrees already again as at 9am here in SW ChCh.

If the forecast holds true we'll be easily running 2.5-3 degrees warmer than average for month to date by Sunday, certainly offsetting the "cooler" September and October

Sure is! Has been an absolutely stunning start to November in Christchurch. 5 out of 8 days above 28c already

[RWood]

After a dry 4-5 days' start, Cropp Waterfall is now at 583mm for the month, more than half of that in the last 24 hours or so.

[Chris W]

Flew from Chch at 5:45am today to get to Auckland, it was warm but the NW was getting up a bit and made for a few bumps on takeoff. Very pleasant in Auckland right now, sunny with just a few clouds dotted around.

[spwill]

A good weather pattern for the past week under a strongly negative SAM.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Woken up to very strong gale force NW around 6am this morning. Things flying around everywhere. Not seen winds this strong in Geraldine.
Seems it was a local event ?

[Richard]

Yes certainly a warm start to the month, my maize crop is doing better than normal thanks to having these warm nights of late, last nights low was 18deg

[snowstormwatcher]

Woken up to very strong gale force NW around 6am this morning. Things flying around everywhere. Not seen winds this strong in Geraldine.
Seems it was a local event ?

Strong NW here also, Arrived around 6.30/7am along with some brief spillover rain, Fine and warm now with 27c.

[Chris W]

22C but getting humid in Auckland, not used to this down in Chch

[JP.]

22C but getting humid in Auckland, not used to this down in Chch

28-29c back here with a lovely 35% humidty

[Richard]

22C but getting humid in Auckland, not used to this down in Chch

ya poor bugger, not a great fan of high humidly myself.

I'm liking the look of Monday's storm potential at this stage, something to keep an eye on.