General June Weather

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snowchaser01
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General June Weather

Unread post by snowchaser01 »

Looks like a wet start to the month in the north, then a potential cold snap in the south during the first weekend of the month.
Hopefully overall a more active month than May...
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Re: General June Weather

Unread post by Chris W »

The polar jet is warping significantly at the moment, with the energy that was going west-east to the south of us - and keeping the cold air at bay - now breaking up and potentially taking more of a track towards us for a time. This seems to be due to some early distortions in the stratospheric polar vortex from a few weeks ago west of us now taking effect in the troposphere. GFS today looks to throw up an Omega block over southeast Australia which could mean further cold blows mid-month.

https://www.weatheronline.co.nz/cgi-bin ... mp;PERIOD=

Or will the super ridge defy that and hold.
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Re: General June Weather

Unread post by Orion »

Sun coming out from clouds and ducking back in again here at present, 9.0°C.

I observe some high clouds in the west/northwest whose appearance makes me think there may be some wintry weather on its way sometime soon... 0_o
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Re: General June Weather

Unread post by tich »

Rain wasn't forecast in Chch until this evening, but it's been dull and drizzly here all day.
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Re: General June Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Another blue-dome day here today, 3rd in a row, forgotten what clouds look like? although you could see some high cloud way to the N/NE, today. :smile:
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Re: General June Weather

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Mostly a fine day here dispute the rain that was forecast, little to no wind too.
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Re: General June Weather

Unread post by Chris W »

Pretty solid day’s worth of drizzle there. Looking like something more substantial inland on Thursday.
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Re: General June Weather

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Quite an energetic shortwave moving through the upper North Island late afternoon/early evening tomorrow. While instability looks marginal, strong forcing/strong shear should favour some lightning. 500mb temperature will be about -18C and surface dp maybe 15C.

12Z EU total rainfall for later tomorrow for Auckland region.
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Re: General June Weather

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yes another low pressure system is on its way in already. but not sub tropical. just tasmin sea low.
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Re: General June Weather

Unread post by Chris W »

GFS today is pushing that Tasman low/southerly combination for Thursday a little further north, one to keep an eye on.
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Re: General June Weather

Unread post by Chris W »

Meanwhile, the fog is supremely thick tonight.
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Re: General June Weather

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hmm metservice has only low risk for thunderstorms for auckland tommorow. moderate for northland and taranaki. hope for a storm tommorow. i wonder if this years gonna not have much decent thunderstorms?
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Re: General June Weather

Unread post by David »

First half of June is looking to be on the dry side here.
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Re: General June Weather

Unread post by snowchaser01 »

both GFS and EC have some very cold pulses of air over the next 10 days...
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Re: General June Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Another good frost this morning. Another fine and settled day eventuated but some cloud moving in from the west during the later morning and afternoon.
Today's maximum was 12C.
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Re: General June Weather

Unread post by NZstorm »

Looks a good set up for a tornado in Taranaki tomorrow. Thunderstorms there as well, also Waitomo. Models vary on the progression of cold upper air further north tomorrow.

Saw a Magnolia in full bloom yesterday. Normally July to September for Magnolia.
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Re: General June Weather

Unread post by Orion »

^ Maybe the dry weather has inspired it to flower?

Red sky earlier this morning; now 3.9deg.C, rising quickly now from 2deg. an hour ago.
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Re: General June Weather

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NZstorm wrote: Wed 03/06/2020 06:41 Looks a good set up for a tornado in Taranaki tomorrow. Thunderstorms there as well, also Waitomo. Models vary on the progression of cold upper air further north tomorrow.

Saw a Magnolia in full bloom yesterday. Normally July to September for Magnolia.
yes the taranaki "tornado season" might start tommorow. metservice has mod risk for us this evening so lets see what happens shall we?
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Re: General June Weather

Unread post by Razor »

Chris W wrote: Tue 02/06/2020 18:38 Meanwhile, the fog is supremely thick tonight.
It was magnificent above it on Mt Pleasant last evening
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Re: General June Weather

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Heavy shower here, briefly up to 90mm/hr on the weather station
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Re: General June Weather

Unread post by spwill »

Some Cbs on the front but hit and miss, nothing much here so far.
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Re: General June Weather

Unread post by Awhituobs »

heavy bursts of rain here just gone through
that sure was a quick change in the weather...was sunny at 1pm!
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Re: General June Weather

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A reasonably pleasant winter day with a light N-NW wind, sunny early on but the high cloud thickened during the afternoon, 17deg the high
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Re: General June Weather

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heavy shower here. 10mm from it. more showers tommorow. friday too. hoping for thunder but i dont think auckland will get much thunder at all this year. i did get a storm on the 5th of may however .


amazing how it went from a mostly fine day to cloudy then brief rain.
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Re: General June Weather

Unread post by Nev »

Lots of thunder and lightning here. Going ballistic! :smile:

Heavy rain since about 5:15pm.
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