Possible Snow event North Canterbury 17-19th June

[Bradley]

Don’t take any notice of the 48 hour guidance rainfall figures when it suddenly jumps up massively like that, it’s happened many times before in moderate rain events and will be corrected tomorrow morning

It's actually ramped up. Over 100mm now

It will be corrected at some point today, it needs a human touch lol

[Razor]

It's actually ramped up. Over 100mm now

It will be corrected at some point today, it needs a human touch lol

If that's true on the day of a forecast then someone needs firing at Metservice for letting such poor information stay online

Given how steadily its falling right now I believe a warning is appropriate

[Richard]

We do have a developing low above us so it is possible we could get near to 80-100mm, We are long over due for such an event. 100+mm events were more common for Canterbury during the later half of last century than this century.

[Razor]

We do have a developing low above us so it is possible we could get near to 80-100mm, We are long over due for such an event. 100+mm events were more common for Canterbury during the later half of last century than this century.

Interesting as that's the sum total of the rain there in the past 6 months!

[Razor]

Torrential here now

[Bradley]

It will be corrected at some point today, it needs a human touch lol

If that's true on the day of a forecast then someone needs firing at Metservice for letting such poor information stay online

Given how steadily its falling right now I believe a warning is appropriate

If they genuinely believed Christchurch would be getting 100mm there would have been a warning put out by now or at least a watch - it's a computer error that needs human intervention to temper the results being spat out by obviously a rogue computer model run...

[Bradley]

It will be corrected at some point today, it needs a human touch lol

If that's true on the day of a forecast then someone needs firing at Metservice for letting such poor information stay online

Given how steadily its falling right now I believe a warning is appropriate

At the end of the day they ARE only forecasting another 10-15mm today in Christchurch, the data you are referring to is tomorrow so let's all just stay calm and wait for the Metservice to do it's thing

[Razor]

At the end of the day they ARE only forecasting another 10-15mm today in Christchurch, the data you are referring to is tomorrow so let's all just stay calm and wait for the Metservice to do it's thing

We had 10mm in the last hour here in Halswell and its showing no sign of letting up. Great to see real rain!

[mikestormchaser]

Rain/ showers most of day here, rain looks like it might come back later overnight for a time.
Might get 50/60mm

[Chris W]

Warning out for Kaikoura/Marlborough coast for 100-150mm from 4pm today to 11am tomorrow - I'm in Kaikoura until Saturday. It's been raining steadily but moderately this morning so far, after the southerly came through overnight.

[Bradley]

Been clear here in town for a while and eastern suburbs have had very little rain at all, looking at the radar it looks to be clearing out completely over Christchurch in the next hour or two

[Chris W]

Heavy rain now in Kaikoura, this is us for the next 24 hours

Edit - backed off a little to moderate rain now, but it'll pick up again.

[Razor]

Been clear here in town for a while and eastern suburbs have had very little rain at all, looking at the radar it looks to be clearing out completely over Christchurch in the next hour or two

Still raining steadily here no let up

[Storm Struck]

Strong gusty SE winds here in Nelson, bordering on gale force at times and seems to be gradually strengthening as the flow gets established.
Just occasional light showers also.

[snowchaser01]

Concerned about this potential rainfall in North Canterbury and Christchurch tonight and tomorrow.. if I'm honest I cant see much getting anywhere past Amberley.
In saying that if 60mm falls in the city in the space of 12 hours so.. would cause issues.

[Razor]

Yup....little dilution of the 'computer projections' ... a very wet night ahead if so

[snowchaser01]

Yup....little dilution of the 'computer projections' ... a very wet night ahead if so

Can't see much sign of it on the radar currently...

[snowstormwatcher]

A welcome 13mm of Rain here from this event.
Snow settled down to around 500-600m on the hills

[Chris W]

Moderate rain continues in Kaikoura, but the heaviest falls are projected for this evening into the morning. Can't see the mountains at all.

[snowchaser01]

Moderate rain continues in Kaikoura, but the heaviest falls are projected for this evening into the morning. Can't see the mountains at all.

Looking at current radar images, I cannot fathom how the projected rainfall can occur from what is currently on radar, and just off the coast...

[Chris W]

Moderate rain continues in Kaikoura, but the heaviest falls are projected for this evening into the morning. Can't see the mountains at all.

Looking at current radar images, I cannot fathom how the projected rainfall can occur from what is currently on radar, and just off the coast...

It isn't picking up the rain here that well, we've rained reasonably solidly today here though we've just hit a slight pause. Heavier stuff now approaching via the central North Island and Wellington, but let's see if it eventuates as the models are predicting.

[snowchaser01]

Looking at current radar images, I cannot fathom how the projected rainfall can occur from what is currently on radar, and just off the coast...

It isn't picking up the rain here that well, we've rained reasonably solidly today here though we've just hit a slight pause. Heavier stuff now approaching via the central North Island and Wellington, but let's see if it eventuates as the models are predicting.

Good point, my current thoughts are Kaikoura Coast/Ranges and maybe Amberley north at a push... Can't see it all the way down here.

[Richard]

Looking at current radar images, I cannot fathom how the projected rainfall can occur from what is currently on radar, and just off the coast...

It isn't picking up the rain here that well, we've rained reasonably solidly today here though we've just hit a slight pause. Heavier stuff now approaching via the central North Island and Wellington, but let's see if it eventuates as the models are predicting.

Its not picking up the rain north of Amberley, its raining here atm but not showing anything.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Off to Reefton on Friday via Arthurs Pass, so will interesting to see the snow there ....and along the Alps.

I doubt NZTA will let you through under current policy

Yes saw the meeting at Castle Hill on the TV One news this evening and decided to cancel our trip.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

On that. Big meeting at 6pm. Castlehill village. NZTA and Selwyn Mayor fronting up. Hall holds 40 odd people. Yet word is hundreds are expected. Lol.

Would be a laugh if NZTA got caught up there by snow and isaacs closed the road. Lol. Hahaha

Would be funny
I see they don't allow chains any more.
Thank goodness for the railway. We didn't have any issues during snowfall events when I was driving trains on the Midland Line, you just ploughed through it..