As we know the CFSv2 scored quite the coup back in February this year when it predicted a La Nina event for this spring when no other models were seeing a colder equatorial Pacific. As I have shown in my livestreams this matches with the expected pattern at the trough of a solar cycle.
Now the CFS is backing the current Nina to fade over the late summer and be replaced by an El Nino by June 2021. I will note that this also corresponds with what is expected from the ramping up of the new solar cycle 25, which NOAA/NASA declared to have started in a press release today. Many of our strongest Ninos have occurred in the early upswing of a new solar cycle.
El Nino on the way?
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These topics are a read-only archive and may be subject to out-of-date information.
For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
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TonyT
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El Nino on the way?
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tornado
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Re: El Nino on the way?
yes and sure this will give Auckland a good winter thunderstorm season but hopefully no drought.
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Awhituobs
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Re: El Nino on the way?
seems legit
Brian Hamilton
www.weather-display.com/windy/gb/grahamsbeach.htm
www.weather-display.com/windy/gb/grahamsbeach.htm