General November Weather

[mikestormchaser]

Tuesday/ Wednesday next week could be one to keep eye on for Canterbury next week. A long way off though. Just something to watch

Monday looks a possibility for inland areas too.

Nice to see an unsettled week ahead. November into dec/ jan seems to be good months for storms for us. The severe hail/ supercell potential starts from now

[Cyclone Tracy]

EC next week is displaying that the Hadley cell has been shoved equatorward by the polar vortex. I don't think we'll see a La Nina influence for NZ in the 2nd half of November. Good news for those who like a parade of upper troughs, especially for the SI

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Cloud eventually clearing away to become a fine, sunny day.
Today's maximum was 17.6C.

[spwill]

EC next week is displaying that the Hadley cell has been shoved equatorward by the polar vortex. I don't think we'll see a La Nina influence for NZ in the 2nd half of November. Good news for those who like a parade of upper troughs, especially for the SI

A negative phase in the SAM coming up but outlook not strongly negative.

[tornado]

looks like we do get two fronts next week. those our next rain chance.with patchy rain or showers for auckland. not sure about thunder risk.

83mm here so far for the month 4 thunder days so far. i swear last november was drier

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

There could be good prospects for thunderstorms here, next week. Have to weight and sea

[Dean.]

Felt the heat today up in the Mid Canterbury high country ...4 days ago there was snow on the ground here Lake Heron

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Sunny day here in Geraldine with light SE breezes. Today's maximum being 21.7C.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Felt the heat today up in the Mid Canterbury high country ...4 days ago there was snow on the ground here Lake Heron

Good catch

[spwill]

The new pattern favours dry stable weather ahead for northern NZ but we had plenty of rain earlier in the week.

[tornado]

The new pattern favours dry stable weather ahead for northern NZ but we had plenty of rain earlier in the week.

Yes we did get plenty of thunderstorms and downpours. We will get rain again. Lovely day today despite the threat of another lockdown .

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

A warm and fine day here today. Today's maximum was 25.2C. Light SE to East again.

[spwill]

The new pattern favours dry stable weather ahead for northern NZ but we had plenty of rain earlier in the week.

Yes we did get plenty of thunderstorms and downpours. We will get rain again. Lovely day today despite the threat of another lockdown .

The government has its covid leaking facility (Jet Park) right in the middle of Auckland but atleast the weather was nice for the day off.

[jamie]

While I got decent rain in the period last week I missed out compared to many. 53mm for the month when some had that in 2 hours. The rest of the month doesn’t look too promising so perhaps another month below average rainfall, then again it only needs to get to 67mm and I reach average for the month. November is my direst month typically.


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[Storm Struck]

The models have been flip flopping abit for mid week, but there's still instability numbers there.
I like the abruptness line of the strong upper jet mixing with open ridging and coolish upper air, especially on the wind change.
Could offer some severity in any storms that get going, in the form of large hail and maybe some rotation.
There also looks to be an upper trough later on which may allow for coastal convergences.
Something to keep an eye on anyway.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Another hot day here, touching 28C.
Temuka got up to 30C today, from some local weather sites, so that would of been the nation's top temperature ?

[David]

Running 1.1C above average here for November so far

[Awhituobs]

1.4c here
https://www.weather-display.com/windy/g ... taout.html

[spwill]

Little or no rain here tomorrow. Model trend has had isolated thunderstorms over Northland tomorrow afternoon.

[tornado]

Little or no rain here tomorrow. Model trend has had isolated thunderstorms over Northland tomorrow afternoon.

I agree. Just a shower possible. I don't know why metservice has us under low risk. I don't think it even a risk. Anyway not complaining after the storms earlier this week

[NZstorm]

I don't know why metservice has us under low risk. I don't think it even a risk.

There is an upper trough crossing the country tomorrow so that creates a low risk.

[Nev]

While I got decent rain in the period last week I missed out compared to many. 53mm for the month when some had that in 2 hours. The rest of the month doesn’t look too promising so perhaps another month below average rainfall, then again it only needs to get to 67mm and I reach average for the month. November is my direst month typically.

64mm at Ruakura and 88mm at Hamilton Aero so far this Nov.

Ruakura 2020 ytd rainfall = 676mm - lowest annual record is 840mm set in 1932 (records from 1905).
Hamilton Aero 2020 ytd rainfall = 794mm - lowest annual record is 853mm set in 2019 (records from 1935).

And the Waikato's problem could also be Auckland's problem…
https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/new-zeal ... ilton.html

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Fine day here today with some high cloud. Nothing much to report about. 25C the max for today with a light northerly.
There is a low risk for thunderstorms tomorrow and Wednesday. Weight and sea.

[Nev]

Auckland also still on track for a record low rainfall year...

Mangere ytd rainfall = 664mm - lowest annual record is 841mm set in 1974 (records from 1959).
Auckland Aero ytd rainfall = 725mm - lowest annual record is 833mm set in 1982 (records from 1962).

[David]

Tracking similar to the airport here, 728mm year to date. My driest year in records beginning 2010 is 2015 with 1025mm, so this year is likely to be driest by a wide margin, barring some extreme rainfall in December...