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General November Weather
Posted: Thu 29/10/2020 15:08
by tornado
Looks like convergence showers continue for the first week of November. For north island.
Re: General November weather
Posted: Thu 29/10/2020 15:30
by David
Have next week off and keen to have a swim at Muriwai on one day, anyone want to suggest which day looks best (including this Sunday). My recent thoughts were Monday, which then shifted to this Sunday (which looks a tad warmer), but now Thursday is actually looking the best...
Due to how early it is in the season and marginal temperature wise for swimming, trying to avoid a day with breezy SW for example
Re: General November weather
Posted: Thu 29/10/2020 17:55
by Cyclone Tracy
David wrote: ↑Thu 29/10/2020 15:30
Have next week off and keen to have a swim at Muriwai on one day, anyone want to suggest which day looks best (including this Sunday). My recent thoughts were Monday, which then shifted to this Sunday (which looks a tad warmer), but now Thursday is actually looking the best...
Due to how early it is in the season and marginal temperature wise for swimming, trying to avoid a day with breezy SW for example
At this stage, I would aim for Wednesday. Probably the most likely day for an east to north easterly flow into Muriwai and less chance of rain. Still 6 days out though
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Thu 29/10/2020 19:18
by Orion
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Thu 29/10/2020 20:50
by Cyclone Tracy
GFS 00Z projecting a hybrid TUTT cell between Queensland and New Caledonia for mid next week. The break off upper cell will enhance surface convergence and rainfall above NZ soon afterwards. Models will get volatile in the next few days I'd say, with surface low pressure to the north of NZ fairly likely.
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Fri 30/10/2020 07:03
by spwill
A moist flow spreads back onto NZ first week of November, will feel humid at times. No proper rain here for the last couple of weeks, any showers or rain will be welcome
Re: General November weather
Posted: Fri 30/10/2020 07:38
by David
Cyclone Tracy wrote: ↑Thu 29/10/2020 17:55
At this stage, I would aim for Wednesday. Probably the most likely day for an east to north easterly flow into Muriwai and less chance of rain. Still 6 days out though
And now Wednesday looks like rain in the afternoon, it's been varying so much
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Fri 30/10/2020 20:47
by Richard
Monday at this stage looking like there could be a dam good rain maker going by the MS chart
Monday.png
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Sun 01/11/2020 08:38
by Cyclone Tracy
Polar vortex is loosen the belt with upper lows to start calling the shots. Multiple ensembles producing 3 cut off surface lows to effect NZ in the first 10 days from the North and South with the long wave trough lining up. Volatile first week or 2 of November is arriving.
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Sun 01/11/2020 20:32
by Orion
Pretty pink sunset sky at the moment.
17.4°C.
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Sun 01/11/2020 22:23
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
A mild to a slightly milder day to start off the month here with today's maximum being 22.1C with a move back to westerly winds, however another dry southerly moved through after 6pm, but not with any stratus which was nice.
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Sun 01/11/2020 22:33
by David
Went to Muriwai and had a swim today. Water was cool but felt more like December temps.
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Mon 02/11/2020 08:32
by NZstorm
We might get lucky with a random heavy shower over Auckland later in the day but more likely in the west. Tomorrow looks more like random drizzle with a NE wind.
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Mon 02/11/2020 13:48
by tornado
NZstorm wrote: ↑Mon 02/11/2020 08:32
We might get lucky with a random heavy shower over Auckland later in the day but more likely in the west. Tomorrow looks more like random drizzle with a NE wind.
chance of a isolated thundrstorm for the far north but metservice has the moderate risk down to northern auckland. yes rain this week yah. guy fawkes night will be RAINED OUT BUT KNOWING MY LUCK PEOPLE WILL STILL SET OFF FIREWORKS LIKE 2013
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Mon 02/11/2020 16:08
by Awhituobs
23.9C here just now
thats a record November temperature for me here
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Mon 02/11/2020 17:27
by spwill
Radar shows a crop of heat showers heading south onto north Auckland from Kaipara region.
Been a fine day here with some high cloud, a little on the humid side with dps up to 16C.
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Mon 02/11/2020 17:30
by Awhituobs
ohhhh, we might get that group of showers here
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Mon 02/11/2020 20:27
by cbm
23C with sun and not a breath of wind at 6:45pm tonight. Got a sweat on biking home from work. Last year did have a very warm spell this same week, but this warmth is way longer lasting.
Sent from my SM-N950F using Tapatalk
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Mon 02/11/2020 21:56
by David
Modelling looking great for good rainfall late week, best since August perhaps
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Mon 02/11/2020 22:03
by spwill
A humid evening for the time of year here , dp is 17C, temp 18-19C at 10pm.
The moist air hangs around to help set up for a period of wet weather from Thursday
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Mon 02/11/2020 22:10
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
A cloudy and dull today with southerlies dying out early this morning, tending a light easterly for much of the day.
16.5C for today.
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Tue 03/11/2020 06:12
by Awhituobs
was like a mid summer evening here.
weird
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Tue 03/11/2020 07:45
by David
18.2C min here overnight, felt like January. My highest daily minimum record for November is 17.8, so if it stays above that until midnight there's another record...
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Tue 03/11/2020 08:01
by Awhituobs
crazy
the much warmer than normal sea temperatures around the North Island is the key
it means the warm air mass moving down from the north is not cooling as much
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Tue 03/11/2020 08:10
by NZstorm
GFS total rainfall for next 15 days. Looks wet for the North Island and upper South Island.
