Page 1 of 2
A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Mon 21/12/2020 19:34
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Could there be a few thunderstorms leading up to Christmas Day, this week and there after?
Interesting as to what the models and forecasts are saying, especially down here.
Could be like January 1017 when we got those heat thunderstorms drifting east from off the Mt. Peel area, which was under a La Nina era.
No lightning observed but you could hear the distant sound of thunder way up there in the cloud.
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Mon 21/12/2020 20:38
by spwill
For the North Island we keep an eye on the 27th at this stage, Waikato south.
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Tue 22/12/2020 22:43
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Judging by today's effort, it doesn't look likely, just boring claggy weather
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Tue 22/12/2020 23:10
by TonyT
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: ↑Tue 22/12/2020 22:43
Judging by today's effort, it doesn't look likely, just boring claggy weather
Disagree. Look to Southland/South Otago and Marlborough for the action.
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Wed 23/12/2020 00:20
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
TonyT wrote: ↑Tue 22/12/2020 23:10
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: ↑Tue 22/12/2020 22:43
Judging by today's effort, it doesn't look likely, just boring claggy weather
Disagree. Look to Southland/South Otago and Marlborough for the action.
Good luck to them
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Wed 23/12/2020 01:25
by Chris Raine
Adjacent showers at Thornbury No Cb's just Ac spreading out as convective growth stalled by an inversion at about 15000 ft
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Thu 24/12/2020 09:35
by mikestormchaser
Tomorrow night looks interesting. Onshore winds and Southerly change later Christmas night posts a risk of thunder/ hail up eastern south island.
Some good surface moisture there. Heating not an issue at this time of year for a night time storm if conditions over ride
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Thu 24/12/2020 11:00
by mikestormchaser
TonyT wrote: ↑Tue 22/12/2020 23:10
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: ↑Tue 22/12/2020 22:43
Judging by today's effort, it doesn't look likely, just boring claggy weather
Disagree. Look to Southland/South Otago and Marlborough for the action.
Otago higher risk, but later in the evening tony for Canterbury, more around midnight.
1am sounding, shifty winds at the surface, quite strong at 500mb so there is forcing there, and good moisture at surface. Definitely one to watch, ill be chasing at midnight if it happens.
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Thu 24/12/2020 13:03
by Richard
Cloud buildups all round here now, this one to the east.
buildup.JPG
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Thu 24/12/2020 14:10
by Richard
Thunder heard to the NE from a small cell near Waiau
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Thu 24/12/2020 15:34
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Richard wrote: ↑Thu 24/12/2020 14:10
Thunder heard to the NE from a small cell near Waiau
Yes. A few "Hitz on the Blitz" (excuse the pun) with that system
Gone all claggy down here with a light East to SE, and a few drizzle showers.
Hopefully, I will get my gift from Santa tomorrow
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Fri 25/12/2020 22:40
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: ↑Thu 24/12/2020 15:34
Richard wrote: ↑Thu 24/12/2020 14:10
Hopefully, I will get my gift from Santa tomorrow
No I didn't
Yes. I posted that but I don't how your name got tangled up in that, as I originally posted that comment?????????????????
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Sat 26/12/2020 05:55
by Richard
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: ↑Thu 24/12/2020 15:34
Richard wrote: ↑Thu 24/12/2020 14:10
Hopefully, I will get my gift from Santa tomorrow
No I didn't
I dont remember posting that
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Sat 26/12/2020 06:38
by Orion
^ looks like post #11 got misquoted somehow, Richard
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Sat 26/12/2020 07:10
by Richard
I think we need an inquiry, how did John pull that off?
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Sat 26/12/2020 07:25
by Orion
^ clever editing, I suspect
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Sat 26/12/2020 07:41
by Richard
A man of many talents so it seems
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Sat 26/12/2020 09:05
by Chris W
A good day to be inland today, high risk for much of the interior South Island. Thundersnow for the high passes perhaps?
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Sat 26/12/2020 09:31
by Richard
I'm tempted to hop in the car and head to Springs Junction this afternoon, after all its not far from here.
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Sat 26/12/2020 10:02
by spwill
Richard wrote: ↑Sat 26/12/2020 09:31
I'm tempted to hop in the car and head to Springs Junction this afternoon, after all its not far from here.
That would be a good starting point today
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Sat 26/12/2020 10:10
by Chris W
Do it man, take some photos.
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Sat 26/12/2020 10:16
by Richard
Chris W wrote: ↑Sat 26/12/2020 10:10
Do it man, take some photos.
All right then, bugger it, I will.
, the better camera is fully charged, shame I have no one as co-pilot
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Sat 26/12/2020 13:02
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: ↑Fri 25/12/2020 22:40
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: ↑Thu 24/12/2020 15:34
No I didn't
Yes. I posted that but I don't how your name got tangled up in that, as I originally posted that comment?????????????????
It's happened again??????
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Sat 26/12/2020 13:08
by mikestormchaser
The chance of storms last night nearly eventuated in early hours. I stayed up until 2am waiting incase and there were CBs that blew up and heavy showers over the plains just not quite enough ommph to get it going fully.
Areas today would be inland north Canterbury/ nelson would be best spots to be. Although enough heating this afternoon could trigger storms inland mid Canterbury
Re: A Thunderstormic Christmas?
Posted: Sat 26/12/2020 19:28
by Richard
Wasn't overly interesting in and around Springs Junction, thought of heading north as I could see there was more action up Nelson way, decided not to, did get one photo looking north towards Nelson
Springs.JPG