A Thunderstormic Christmas?

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Could there be a few thunderstorms leading up to Christmas Day, this week and there after?
Interesting as to what the models and forecasts are saying, especially down here.
Could be like January 1017 when we got those heat thunderstorms drifting east from off the Mt. Peel area, which was under a La Nina era.
No lightning observed but you could hear the distant sound of thunder way up there in the cloud.

[spwill]

For the North Island we keep an eye on the 27th at this stage, Waikato south.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Judging by today's effort, it doesn't look likely, just boring claggy weather

[TonyT]

Judging by today's effort, it doesn't look likely, just boring claggy weather

Disagree. Look to Southland/South Otago and Marlborough for the action.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Judging by today's effort, it doesn't look likely, just boring claggy weather

Disagree. Look to Southland/South Otago and Marlborough for the action.

Good luck to them

[Chris Raine]

Adjacent showers at Thornbury No Cb's just Ac spreading out as convective growth stalled by an inversion at about 15000 ft

[mikestormchaser]

Tomorrow night looks interesting. Onshore winds and Southerly change later Christmas night posts a risk of thunder/ hail up eastern south island.

Some good surface moisture there. Heating not an issue at this time of year for a night time storm if conditions over ride

[mikestormchaser]

Judging by today's effort, it doesn't look likely, just boring claggy weather

Disagree. Look to Southland/South Otago and Marlborough for the action.

Otago higher risk, but later in the evening tony for Canterbury, more around midnight.

1am sounding, shifty winds at the surface, quite strong at 500mb so there is forcing there, and good moisture at surface. Definitely one to watch, ill be chasing at midnight if it happens.

[Richard]

Cloud buildups all round here now, this one to the east.

buildup.JPG

[Richard]

Thunder heard to the NE from a small cell near Waiau

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Thunder heard to the NE from a small cell near Waiau

Yes. A few "Hitz on the Blitz" (excuse the pun) with that system
Gone all claggy down here with a light East to SE, and a few drizzle showers.
Hopefully, I will get my gift from Santa tomorrow

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Hopefully, I will get my gift from Santa tomorrow

No I didn't

Yes. I posted that but I don't how your name got tangled up in that, as I originally posted that comment?????????????????

[Richard]

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: ↑Thu 24/12/2020 15:34

Richard wrote: ↑Thu 24/12/2020 14:10
Hopefully, I will get my gift from Santa tomorrow

No I didn't

I dont remember posting that

[Orion]

^ looks like post #11 got misquoted somehow, Richard

[Richard]

I think we need an inquiry, how did John pull that off?

[Orion]

^ clever editing, I suspect

[Richard]

A man of many talents so it seems

[Chris W]

A good day to be inland today, high risk for much of the interior South Island. Thundersnow for the high passes perhaps?

[Richard]

I'm tempted to hop in the car and head to Springs Junction this afternoon, after all its not far from here.

[spwill]

I'm tempted to hop in the car and head to Springs Junction this afternoon, after all its not far from here.

That would be a good starting point today

[Chris W]

Do it man, take some photos.

[Richard]

Do it man, take some photos.

All right then, bugger it, I will. , the better camera is fully charged, shame I have no one as co-pilot

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

No I didn't

Yes. I posted that but I don't how your name got tangled up in that, as I originally posted that comment?????????????????

It's happened again??????

[mikestormchaser]

The chance of storms last night nearly eventuated in early hours. I stayed up until 2am waiting incase and there were CBs that blew up and heavy showers over the plains just not quite enough ommph to get it going fully.

Areas today would be inland north Canterbury/ nelson would be best spots to be. Although enough heating this afternoon could trigger storms inland mid Canterbury

[Richard]

Wasn't overly interesting in and around Springs Junction, thought of heading north as I could see there was more action up Nelson way, decided not to, did get one photo looking north towards Nelson

Springs.JPG