General January Weather

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NZ Thunderstorm Soc
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Re: General January Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Another warm day with it getting up to 31.2C before high cloud clover moved in from the west after noon.
Not much wind but a bit of a westerly picked up this afternoon.
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Re: General January Weather

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An active polar trough crossing Canterbury today otherwise quiet weather for NZ for a while.

GFS 10day rainfall.
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Re: General January Weather

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Southerly change came through Kaikoura at 7:30am, nice and fresh after the melt-fest that was the past two days! Ocean is a little choppy as well. See how the post-frontal showery regime goes, I initially wrote that it seemed low risk going by Metservice even though the numbers had looked good and now I see a moderate inland and also coastal North Canterbury risk from MS.
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Re: General January Weather

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Chris W wrote: Thu 28/01/2021 08:33 I initially wrote that it seemed low risk going by Metservice even though the numbers had looked good and now I see a moderate inland and also coastal North Canterbury risk from MS.
Yes this morning its now a moderate risk for much of Canterbury, fingers crossed
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Re: General January Weather

Unread post by mikestormchaser »

NZstorm wrote: Thu 28/01/2021 07:32 An active polar trough crossing Canterbury today otherwise quiet weather for NZ for a while.

GFS 10day rainfall.
Saw this to. But thought maybe just low risk Thunderstorm this afternoon? Maybe its abit higher on latest gfs numbers
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Re: General January Weather

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Thunder and lightning just south of here now.
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Re: General January Weather

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Heavy rain now with small hail. Pretty much Continuous thunder.
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Re: General January Weather

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Just turned a mod-strong NW wind here, that should change this avo.
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Re: General January Weather

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Heavy raindrops on roof at the moment: rain radar shows another belt of rain with thunderstorms to the south so will seize the opportunity to go out briefly as soon as this present shower is over.

15.2°C, temp. falling, clouds making it seem quite dark at the moment.
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Re: General January Weather

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Just turned a mod-strong NW wind here, that should change this avo.
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Re: General January Weather

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Strange weather here just before, sunshine + light drizzle falling from a mostly blue sky containing remains of a low cloud deck.Image

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Re: General January Weather

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Orion wrote: Thu 28/01/2021 12:31 Heavy raindrops on roof at the moment: rain radar shows another belt of rain with thunderstorms to the south so will seize the opportunity to go out briefly as soon as this present shower is over.

15.2°C, temp. falling, clouds making it seem quite dark at the moment.
Do you think the activity down towards Timaru will move up this way?
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Re: General January Weather

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Do you think the activity down towards Timaru will move up this way?
It gives every indication it's heading this way.
Sometimes they blow out to sea, but I won't take any chances :smile:
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Re: General January Weather

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Orion wrote: Thu 28/01/2021 12:44
Do you think the activity down towards Timaru will move up this way?
It gives every indication it's heading this way.
Sometimes they blow out to sea, but I won't take any chances :smile:
Ah yes I’ve been disappointed many times watching storms smash Timaru and then skip past Ashburton. Fingers crossed that doesn’t happen today!
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Re: General January Weather

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whats with the banding of the precipitation on the cant. radar? Are they where convergences have set up somehow?
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Re: General January Weather

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Thunderstorm at Geraldine at the moment moving north.
Sadly I have to go to work so not been chasing it,
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Re: General January Weather

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Storm in south Canterbury is now severe warned.
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Re: General January Weather

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dogmelon wrote: Thu 28/01/2021 12:47 whats with the banding of the precipitation on the cant. radar?
Jet stream/divergence aloft creating that effect.
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Re: General January Weather

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Severe thunderstorm watch now also issued from timaru to rolleston with a note to say it may extend to chch later on.
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Re: General January Weather

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Very strange conditions today, on top of what has been a quite remarkable few days
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Re: General January Weather

Unread post by dogmelon »

These storms must be being powered in part by the residual heat left over from the two previous baking days. Well maybe. Its anticylonic gloomlike in chc. It doesn't seem like storm chance weather at all.
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Re: General January Weather

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Now raining in Chch, and about 23C colder than this time yesterday.
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Re: General January Weather

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about 23C colder than this time yesterday
Ya, currently 12.2°C at my place, and falling.
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Re: General January Weather

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First crash of thunder heard.
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Re: General January Weather

Unread post by Chris W »

Furious drizzle in Kaikoura, alert.
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