General February Weather

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 08/02/2021 23:17

A lovely day here today. It got up to 26.7C.

Awhituobs · Unread post by **Awhituobs** » Tue 09/02/2021 07:20

a few showers around in the humid NE flow, 2mm here
a good sign...hopefully a change in the weather pattern (rain tomorrow at least)

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 09/02/2021 07:30

Tomorrow's front over the upper North Island has some instability with it so some heavy showers possible for many areas as the front crosses. Fingers crossed for a decent shower here but areas with good exposure to the northerly have the best chance.

Isolated thunderstorms/hail in east Otago tomorrow if the NE can get onshore.

David · Unread post by **David** » Tue 09/02/2021 07:34

Picked up an unexpected 16mm here this morning. It was particularly torrential just before 4am with the rain rate hitting 200 mm/hr

Nev · Unread post by **Nev** » Tue 09/02/2021 07:35

^ Noticed that, crikey!

Just 1.3mm here from a couple of very brief showers this morn.

David · Unread post by **David** » Tue 09/02/2021 07:56

GFS currently looking great for rain next week... showing 80+mm now

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 09/02/2021 08:44

Those showers this morning in the Auckland area from a weak warm front. Low topped shower cloud. GFS has it clearing away early afternoon.

And tomorrows front is bubbling away nicely with cb's in the Tasman on sat pic.

Cyclone Tracy · Unread post by **Cyclone Tracy** » Tue 09/02/2021 14:52

The circulation from ex-TC Lucas is still swirling south of New Caledonia, I have admiration for ex-TCs that cling to life and refuse to give up their closed circulation. One last encore in the next 24 hours as he gets mixed in with the Tasman front. I only had 0.4mm overnight, the first rain drops for Feb but that is all about to change for the next 10 days.

Awhituobs · Unread post by **Awhituobs** » Tue 09/02/2021 15:58

i wonder if the currently colder than normal sea temperatures north of NZ (due to persistant cloud cover) will help cool down and rain out more humid air masses moving down from the tropics?

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 09/02/2021 19:50

Awhituobs wrote: ↑Tue 09/02/2021 15:58 i wonder if the currently colder than normal sea temperatures north of NZ (due to persistant cloud cover) will help cool down and rain out more humid air masses moving down from the tropics?

There is so much moisture in those tropical air masses that I can't see regional sea temperatures having too much impact. You would think the additional coolness would keep the warm front active if there is an effect.

post edited

Awhituobs · Unread post by **Awhituobs** » Tue 09/02/2021 21:12

also the large area of warmer than normal sea temperatures way to the east of NZ seems to be a magnet for tropical lows to move to currently
i.e we are missing them as they move to the east of us
hopefully the idea of a sharpening easterly trough and then slow moving cut off low idea in the models for next week comes true

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Tue 09/02/2021 21:31

Very moist air modelled for the upper North Island for early next week, GFS has dp up to 21C.

tgsnoopy · Unread post by **tgsnoopy** » Tue 09/02/2021 21:52

spwill wrote: ↑Tue 09/02/2021 21:31 Very moist air modelled for the upper North Island for early next week, GFS has dp up to 21C.

I hope not. I start getting uncomfortable at DP of about 16°C, lets hope it doesn't get up there done here. Yay for heat pumps.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Tue 09/02/2021 22:57

Southerly through around 4 o'clock this afternoon and gradually clouded over with low stratus from then on.
Clouding over this morning with high cloud from the west. NW arch developing. Mild temperatures overnight down to 17.5C.
Today's maximum was 24.3C but then it cooled down with the southerly this evening. Some drizzle later with the southerly. 0.3mm for today.

Chris Raine · Unread post by **Chris Raine** » Wed 10/02/2021 04:11

Got 7.6mm yesterday.Depressingly overcast all day but first rain this month.Now awaiting for forecasted deepening low.Pressure was rising when I went to bed sitting at 1002hpa at midnight

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Wed 10/02/2021 07:34

EU total rainfall chart for Auckland region today.

Chris W · Unread post by **Chris W** » Wed 10/02/2021 07:55

Some heavy rain overnight in Lyttelton, now I'm in the central city with more steady but welcome rain settling in. Might delay the bike ride slightly...

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Wed 10/02/2021 08:07

Chris W wrote: ↑Wed 10/02/2021 07:55 Some heavy rain overnight in Lyttelton, now I'm in the central city with more steady but welcome rain settling in. Might delay the bike ride slightly...

Yep 15mm of goodness. Its been a long time since the garden got such a nice water

Chris W · Unread post by **Chris W** » Wed 10/02/2021 08:56

Rain band passing on now and I see blue sky, excellent. Great drop of rain.

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Wed 10/02/2021 10:46

Ten mil here over night, nice refresher as it was just starting to dry out, next Tuesday looking likely for more

Happy Feet · Unread post by **Happy Feet** » Wed 10/02/2021 12:52

We have had very welcome, light. but steady rain since early morning here near Kaikohe and it's still raining and very humid. Kaikohe has just re-introduced water restrictions in town and the water table here on the farm was getting nearly as low as it was during last summer's record drought, so this will provide some relief. Hopefully there will be some more rain next week.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Wed 10/02/2021 13:45

Very purply/red images from the Otago radar off the coast of the Peninsula at the moment. Looks quite thunderous.

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Wed 10/02/2021 14:19

What’s the ICON model that we have access on windy as of today?

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Nev · Unread post by **Nev** » Wed 10/02/2021 14:40

jamie wrote: ↑Wed 10/02/2021 14:19 What’s the ICON model that we have access on windy as of today?

ICON is the German model.

Awhituobs · Unread post by **Awhituobs** » Wed 10/02/2021 16:53

14mm here in total
nice

I see the far north got 31mm

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