Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
Thanks for those stats Nev.
Yea today’s forecast is is terrible. Seems like there isn’t a strong convergence anywhere. Will one still fire this arvo?
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Yea today’s forecast is is terrible. Seems like there isn’t a strong convergence anywhere. Will one still fire this arvo?
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- David
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
Really glad I picked up that 13mm early Monday morning. Only 2mm yesterday and 3mm so far today. Should pick up a few more mm this afternoon as well, and I see we have thunder chances tomorrow too (though I'm highly sceptical after the last few days )
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
Wind has turned westerly here. 18mm so far for the thread, some large misses from the models and MS in the last 48 hours. It's up to tomorrow's cold uppers to save the thread from a major bust locally.
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
looks like the showers are getting beefier moving into northern and eastern waikato....they have missed out so far
I was just in the Miranda area today..still very dry there
I was just in the Miranda area today..still very dry there
Brian Hamilton
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
Totally agree! The only thing that was on point was the rain for parts of central and upper Waikato.Cyclone Tracy wrote: ↑Wed 31/03/2021 13:44 Wind has turned westerly here. 18mm so far for the thread, some large misses from the models and MS in the last 48 hours. It's up to tomorrow's cold uppers to save the thread from a major bust locally.
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
so what key ingredient was missing that the models expected ?
Brian Hamilton
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
I think tomorrow will deliver some storms particularly if the sun can come out in the afternoon, there will be convergence tomorrow.
- Nev
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
Finally got a nice little 1.5mm here this arvo, so just 2.3mm for this event so far.
It's also just become eerily still here, after 4-5 days of relentless fresh northerlies…
It's also just become eerily still here, after 4-5 days of relentless fresh northerlies…
- Rogue
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
Won the storm chasing lottery today, interesting all strikes I have seen are out to sea
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- NZstorm
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
Looks convective Northland to Waikato. The left over surface NE flow will converge with a S. Upper level trough will be timed for afternoon convection. 500mb -18C surface dp 15C.
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/124720 ... ds-rotorua
Looks like a massive thunderstorm and downpour in Rotorua this evening.
Looks like a massive thunderstorm and downpour in Rotorua this evening.
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
good heating by the sun here currently
could go off this afternoon!
could go off this afternoon!
Brian Hamilton
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
Clouds also breaking to the NW of Auckland on the 9:40am image.
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
Some T Cu clouds in our skies now. I'm driving north to Russell today.
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
Heavy shower in the CBD just before 11am. Sun was out at the same time even
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
we had very heavy shower.sun out again
Brian Hamilton
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
18/19 degree DP's, Suns out, conditions ripe for some action!
CB tops should top out at around 9.5ks
CB tops should top out at around 9.5ks
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
Hoping your weather up there doesn't stuff up the cricket. NZ Women due to start shortly but delayed at this stage. Men this evening.
Christchurch Rocks
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
strikes
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Brian Hamilton
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
nice blow up to the south of me
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Brian Hamilton
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
To the north
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- NZstorm
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Re: Rain & storms NI- 29 Mar 1 Apr
So far most of the lightning activity today has been over the warmer sea. Not a lot of heating over land today although the dewpoint is 17C in Auckland. That cell south of Brian had a hail core but it is over the sea near Port Waikato.