Models won't be taking into account the UHI effect over Christchurch. Flow is too parallel to the coast to push showers any further inland than the city. One of those days when folks in Akaroa are wondering if it could get any worse, and folks in Avonhead are shrugging their shoulders.mikestormchaser wrote: ↑Mon 28/06/2021 10:58 The models on 18z run has even bit of moisture inland now. Not much at all but there was nothing there yesterday.
I'm thinking the models are either over estimating the precip on the coast and chch city may not see anything at all. Or it's underestimating how far inland it might go which will then put say a dusting on the ground in chch and surrounding areas. I'm thinking model guidance to me is suggesting a 50/50 call
End of June cold shot.
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TonyT
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Re: End of June cold shot.
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snowstormwatcher
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Tracy Herbert
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Re: End of June cold shot.
Sunny weather in Methven at the moment. Was 5 degrees when I arrived for work this morning.
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Chris W
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Re: End of June cold shot.
Looking more active Timaru-way on radar so not surprised at that report. Nice day right now in Amberley with some grey clouds passing occasionally.
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Bradley
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Re: End of June cold shot.
Interestingly enough NIWA has 15mm of rain/snow for Christchurch for tonight and Tuesday....
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darcyplumb
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Re: End of June cold shot.
Sky is very dark here now. Need the lights on inside.
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Orion
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Re: End of June cold shot.
Southerly wind just banged a window shut; 8.4°C at the moment.
And ?rattly rain just arrived.
And ?rattly rain just arrived.
Last edited by Orion on Mon 28/06/2021 12:27, edited 1 time in total.
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darcyplumb
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Orion
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Chris W
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Re: End of June cold shot.
More going on inland than I might have expected, unfortunately some flood-hit paddocks maybe getting some less than welcome top-ups.
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Dean.
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Re: End of June cold shot.
Over in 5 minutesChris W wrote:More going on inland than I might have expected, unfortunately some flood-hit paddocks maybe getting some less than welcome top-ups.
Sent from my SM-G398FN using Tapatalk
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Orion
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Lawrence
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Re: End of June cold shot.
Just thought I heard thunder here about 5 minutes ago.
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Lawrence
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Re: End of June cold shot.
Gust front coming through. Temperature has dropped considerably.
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mikestormchaser
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Re: End of June cold shot.
Nice grapaul shower gone through in city. Temp has considerably dropped
Mike
Stormchasers.co.nz
Stormchasers.co.nz
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Lawrence
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Tracy Herbert
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Re: End of June cold shot.
Still lovely sunshine up here in Methven. Back down in Rakaia - husband reports he had that hail shower that had gone through Ashburton earlier.
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Lawrence
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Re: End of June cold shot.
Hail stopped now,blue sky over towards the divide to the west
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Chris W
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Re: End of June cold shot.
Looks chilly in town at 4.5C and feels like temperature of -2, brr.
Edit 2pm - wind change through Amberley, looking grey.
Edit 2pm - wind change through Amberley, looking grey.
Last edited by Chris W on Mon 28/06/2021 13:58, edited 1 time in total.