Yes indeed, more and more tendency for a progression further east than models initially first run.
EC has hardly any precip affecting Waikato and BOP, while NCEP has a bit more with the system trending closer than EC.
It needs to be said the even though EC is good model, the UKMO and NCEP models are much more aligned and in agreement than EC is.
Acum Precip charts for reference:
Ex-TC Cody - impacts on NZ
- Tornado Tim
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Re: Ex-TC Cody - impacts on NZ
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Re: Ex-TC Cody - impacts on NZ
12Z ensemble prognostic output compared to GFS and GEPS:
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Re: Ex-TC Cody - impacts on NZ
Current GFS keeps Auckland sunny and dry with the more easterly track now.
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Re: Ex-TC Cody - impacts on NZ
GFS ensemble now well aligned with EC ensemble for a miss to the east.
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Re: Ex-TC Cody - impacts on NZ
its a gone burger
Brian Hamilton
www.weather-display.com/windy/gb/grahamsbeach.htm
www.weather-display.com/windy/gb/grahamsbeach.htm
- Tornado Tim
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Re: Ex-TC Cody - impacts on NZ
A shame in one respect as so many ppl need the rain from it.
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Re: Ex-TC Cody - impacts on NZ
Yea the big D word won’t be far from being thrown around.
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Re: Ex-TC Cody - impacts on NZ
Metservice heavy rain watch for eastern North Island areas was cancelled this morning, looking like an almost total miss except for some potential strong winds.