NZ Weather Forum

David wrote: ↑Sat 19/02/2022 09:57 Any intel on when we can expect the next decent rainy system up north? Still pretty dry conditions and the outlook is not at all promising from what I can see.

First ten days of March look promising for low pressure systems in the north Tasman and north of New Zealand, but a bit of a lottery to know if they will generate significant rain at your place. Last two thirds of March more high pressure dominated.

Strong cold southerly through here at 12.59pm as predicted. No rain yet. Sky quickly switched from a NW Archy looking appearance to 100% grey low stratus appearance.

Very dusty gusty southerly banging the windows shut here now.
Temp. currently 21.2°C.

Raining now and 14°C.

Orion wrote: ↑Sat 19/02/2022 16:57 Raining now and 14°C.

Been raining here, now for a while. Just come back from Temuka where a wattle tree came down over a few cars parked in a well known fruiterer/greengrocer's place on the north side of town. No damage was reported by he did say that it was a particular very strong gust of wind from the south.

we got a bit of a sea breeze convergence shower

This afternoon’s southerly working it’s way up the Canterbury plains.

Storm params have somewhat weakened for the central and eastern north island on Sunday afternoon.

Upper temps should still be favourable for some Thundershowers and some localised heavy rain.

Hawkes Bay and BOP/Eastern Waikato seem to be the best chance, however there seems to be a more of risk that the global models arnt picking up well for the West Coast Sea Breeze convergence.

If SFC temps can budge the 27-28C mark, central to upper Waikato could be in a fairly good chance of a Thunderstorm.

Fine overnight but clouding up this morning with a strong NW Arch developing. Mild temperatures with today's maximum of 21C recorded then.
Colder southerly wind change came through around 1pm, with strong gusts and associated lower stratus cloud and a cooling of temperatures.
Coming onto rain later with some steady falls around 6pm. 18.9mm for today.

Had 19.8mm fall overnight pushing the month total to 192mm, can we get over 200, a long time since the last 200+ month.

A miserable night in Wellington for the camping protesters, 38.6mm and 13C, that would be Winter weather in Auckland.
Slowly clearing in Wellington today, fine there Mon/Tuesday.
The eastern NI high country looking like the favoured place for a Tstorm today.

A small heavy shower here, we got 2mm. We got 15mm from yesterday mornings shower line, been lucky here.

3.3mm of rain overnight but then it cleared away to become a fine, blue dome day, however some cloud moving in this evening. Moderate NE winds keeping the maximum to 19.7C.

summer is back here
sunny, 27c
21c dew point
I see some heavy showers though eastern NI/BOP

Another fine day but with some cloud around. today's maximum was 21.9C.with NE winds.

Just hit 30 degrees here, good summers day

27c with nearly 22c DP again

Southerly gone through now, nothing much in it. back to clagg as a result

^ wind just changing here now.
Temp. 23.1°C and falling.

Awhituobs wrote: ↑Tue 22/02/2022 15:09 27c with nearly 22c DP again

Seems surprisingly high! DP was around 18-19 here most of the day with gentle N breeze

Nice and sunny and warm this morning but high cloud moving across from late morning into a NW Arch. light winds.
Southerly came through at 5:30pm with associated low stratus moving across.
A reddish hue to the stratus cloud cover this evening as the sun set. No rain except for a scattering of drizzly mist this evening.
Today's maximum was 25.3C this morning.

John - you often mention the NW Arch. What level would this cloud generally be at? Am I correct in thinking it would be medium (Ac or As) and/or high level cloud (Cir + Cs)?

3rd hottest day of the summer here, been up to 28.5 before the NE sea breeze pushed in

I see Grey Lynn peaking at 29.6C, fine conditions. Our stable Summer continues while parts of eastern Australia have yet more Tstorms/flash flooding.

Simon Culling wrote: ↑Wed 23/02/2022 01:56 John - you often mention the NW Arch. What level would this cloud generally be at? Am I correct in thinking it would be medium (Ac or As) and/or high level cloud (Cir + Cs)?

I think the base is typically 15,000 to 20,000 feet, so definitely in the middle to high cross over zone. However, when a front is passing over it will lower to below the mountain tops so could be under 10,000ft for periods of time.