Possible tropical storm 5th - 10th March

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Blowy
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Possible tropical storm 5th - 10th March

Unread post by Blowy »

Interesting times early March?
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Awhituobs
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Re: General February Weather

Unread post by Awhituobs »

ECMWF was all over this...but has now decided the high pressure will not let it in
maybe it will show up again
harleyb
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Re: General February Weather

Unread post by harleyb »

Awhituobs wrote: Fri 25/02/2022 08:28 ECMWF was all over this...but has now decided the high pressure will not let it in
maybe it will show up again
GFS has been favouring the high too but the latest run is quite different. Still too early to take it literally, but worth watching...
rain-nz-thumb-2022022500-192.gif
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Awhituobs
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Re: Possible tropical storm 5th - 10th March

Unread post by Awhituobs »

Euro has it back in its sights too
it fits within the pattern of the next MJO
Awhituobs
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Re: Possible tropical storm 5th - 10th March

Unread post by Awhituobs »

looks like its not going to happen now
but there does still look to be a pattern change coming 2nd week to mid march
Blowy
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Re: Possible tropical storm 5th - 10th March

Unread post by Blowy »

Very confused system....or two... surely not another WC SI hit?
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Richard
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Re: Possible tropical storm 5th - 10th March

Unread post by Richard »

Well at this stage all the models agree it may well slam the hand break on
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Re: Possible tropical storm 5th - 10th March

Unread post by Awhituobs »

more likely Fiordland will get rain next week from the system that has been giving record rain to eastern Aus instead of an ex TC
I am tramping there next week..bound to rain
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