General October Weather

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Richard
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by Richard »

Quite a contrast in temps coming back from CHCH this afternoon, 15-16deg CHCH and 23 deg here.

Yes Monday is starting to look interesting for thunder chances
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Re: General October Weather

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Richard wrote: Fri 28/10/2022 17:58 Quite a contrast in temps coming back from CHCH this afternoon, 15-16deg CHCH and 23 deg here.

Yes Monday is starting to look interesting for thunder chances
Monday is going to be quite the show I reckon.
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Richard
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Re: General October Weather

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TonyT wrote: Fri 28/10/2022 18:33
Richard wrote: Fri 28/10/2022 17:58 Quite a contrast in temps coming back from CHCH this afternoon, 15-16deg CHCH and 23 deg here.

Yes Monday is starting to look interesting for thunder chances
Monday is going to be quite show I reckon.
I like the sound of that Tony \:D/
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Re: General October Weather

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Have entered a humid pattern here, 22C today with dewpoint up to 17C
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Another 6.5mm of rain overnight and early this morning. Remaining cloudy this morning and into the afternoon before clearing away later from the NE.
Warming up this afternoon with 19C the maximum for today this afternoon.
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Re: General October Weather

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Yes, a chance of thunderstorms for both Islands Monday. Looking at the North Island there is currently convergence + moist air with some upper level cooling modelled for Monday afternoon. The negative is the rain feature in the BOP and how much cloud that will generate. See how this looks Monday morning.
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Re: General October Weather

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Dewpoint up to 19.1 here which is a new October record for me
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Re: General October Weather

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A lot warmer than I expected here today. Currently 24.7 degrees C with a decent amount of high cloud.
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Re: General October Weather

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Getting some thunder approaching from the north-west in Hobsonville Auckland. Too much murk around to see any structure
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Re: General October Weather

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A decent looking convergence line out there.
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Re: General October Weather

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Thunder here now from the line in the west.
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Re: General October Weather

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Lightning now.
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Re: General October Weather

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I’m at Eastern beach and even heard that loud and clear from here!
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Re: General October Weather

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Lightning and loud thunder over the top of us now but still dry here
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Re: General October Weather

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Bright lightning and very loud thunder here in grey lynn preceding a quick 20mm of rain, up to 360mm/hr rate of rainfall too!
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Re: General October Weather

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Richard wrote: Fri 28/10/2022 17:58
Yes Monday is starting to look interesting for thunder chances
Mondays set up looks OK but iv seen better. You might be a very good spot if storms get going Richard.
The winds at the surface look very shifty which I like and the shear at 500mb 40 knts is quite good in north Canterbury so that could get thunderstorms to tilt if they can Fire.
Iv got Monday off to chase should things get going. will head out with Steve and Aaron.
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Re: General October Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Looks thunderstormic down inland Otago/Southland way.
Nothing here although some clouding did look interesting to the west, today.
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Re: General October Weather

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Some photos from today.
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Re: General October Weather

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A quick 15mm here with the afternoon Tstorm. Yes some TS activity over Otago/Southland this afternoon as well.
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Re: General October Weather

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Cloudy but warm day here with light variable winds.
Interesting skies by the photos above including a thick pink ray extending out around sunset time, one extending NE ward and the other NW ward.
Today's maximum was 23.4C.
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Re: General October Weather

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Good rain here this morning with 32mm in the last 5 hours
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Re: General October Weather

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Just looking at tomorrow, convergence area looks to be now best inland from Waimak gorge up through Oxford, Rangiora.
Upper jet is 35kts at 4pm pushing down from the north so cells may spread out east over the city and Amberley etc.
Upper air isn't overly cold but other layers are variable and the convergence is the strong point.
Hail 15mm maximum but perhaps localised heavy falls.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
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Re: General October Weather

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4pm sounding tomorrow taken just west of Christchurch city.

Definitely unstable, but it's the dew point that looks good at the surface 9.3 DP but I think this sounding could be under playing that. Probably more 11 degree DP and the temperature line more up around the 21-22 degrees.

The wind at higher levels and at the surface are very favorable tomorrow aswel.
Should be some thunder tomorrow looking at that
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Re: General October Weather

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Looking like some very heavy rain coming down towards central Auckland. I'm on 47mm for the day here.
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Re: General October Weather

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20mm here last hr.
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